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arXiv 2408.01335math.OC
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偶尔观测的分段确定性马尔可夫过程

Occasionally Observed Piecewise-deterministic Markov Processes

Marissa Gee, Alexander Vladimirsky

AI总结:

针对偶尔观测模式切换的分段确定性马尔可夫过程(PDMPs),本文提出高维信念空间动态规划通用框架及线性成本高效求解假设,推导多场景下最优控制的HJB PDEs和拟变分不等式,验证了方法有效性并给出火星车导航示例。

摘要:

分段确定性马尔可夫过程(PDMPs)常用于建模全局环境或受控系统能力的突变,通常通过考虑一组“运行模式”(每种模式有自身的系统动力学和性能指标)并假设模式可随系统状态演化随机切换来实现。此类模型在工程、经济学、制造业、机器人学和生物科学领域应用广泛。本文介绍并分析了模式切换PDMPs的“偶尔观测”版本,展示了当规划者无法在模式切换发生时收到提醒、仅能获取不频繁的模式观测时,如何对这类系统进行最优控制。首先,我们通过高维模式信念空间上的动态规划开发了处理该问题的通用框架,但由于维度诅咒,该方法实际应用很少。接着,我们讨论了能大幅提升求解效率的假设,其计算成本随模式数量线性增长(而非指数增长)。我们利用该方法推导了汉密尔顿-雅可比-贝尔曼偏微分方程(HJB PDEs)和拟变分不等式,它们编码了多种规划时域(固定、无限、不定、随机)和模式观测方案(固定时间或按需)下的最优行为。我们讨论了各版本相关的计算挑战,并在规避监视路径规划的测试问题上验证了所得方法,还包含一个基于机器人导航的示例:火星车在考虑未观测/增量损坏和动力学改变故障的可能性时,最小化到达目标的预期时间。

英文摘要:

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) are often used to model abrupt changes in the global environment or capabilities of a controlled system. This is typically done by considering a set of "operating modes" (each with its own system dynamics and performance metrics) and assuming that the mode can switch stochastically while the system state evolves. Such models have a broad range of applications in engineering, economics, manufacturing, robotics, and biological sciences. Here, we introduce and analyze an "occasionally observed" version of mode-switching PDMPs. We show how such systems can be controlled optimally if the planner is not alerted to mode-switches as they occur but may instead have access to infrequent mode observations. We first develop a general framework for handling this through dynamic programming on a higher-dimensional mode-belief space. While quite general, this method is rarely practical due to the curse of dimensionality. We then discuss assumptions that allow for solving the same problem much more efficiently, with the computational costs growing linearly (rather than exponentially) with the number of modes. We use this approach to derive Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman PDEs and quasi-variational inequalities encoding the optimal behavior for a variety of planning horizons (fixed, infinite, indefinite, random) and mode-observation schemes (at fixed times or on-demand). We discuss the computational challenges associated with each version and illustrate the resulting methods on test problems from surveillance-evading path planning. We also include an example based on robotic navigation: a Mars rover that minimizes the expected time to target while accounting for the possibility of unobserved/incremental damages and dynamics-altering breakdowns.

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