The interpretability of random forest (RF) models is a research topic of growing interest in the machine learning (ML) community. In the state of the art, RF is considered a powerful learning ensemble given its predictive performance, flexibility, and ease of use. Furthermore, the inner process of the RF model is understandable because it uses an intuitive and intelligible approach for building the RF decision tree ensemble. However, the RF resulting model is regarded as a "black box" because of its numerous deep decision trees. Gaining visibility over the entire process that induces the final decisions by exploring each decision tree is complicated, if not impossible. This complexity limits the acceptance and implementation of RF models in several fields of application. Several papers have tackled the interpretation of RF models. This paper aims to provide an extensive review of methods used in the literature to interpret RF resulting models. We have analyzed these methods and classified them based on different axes. Although this review is not exhaustive, it provides a taxonomy of various techniques that should guide users in choosing the most appropriate tools for interpreting RF models, depending on the interpretability aspects sought. It should also be valuable for researchers who aim to focus their work on the interpretability of RF or ML black boxes in general.
University of Bradford（布拉德福德大学）；University of Leeds（利兹大学）；Liverpool John Moores University（利物浦约翰摩尔斯大学）
Model interpretation is one of the key aspects of the model evaluation process. The explanation of the relationship between model variables and outputs is relatively easy for statistical models, such as linear regressions, thanks to the availability of model parameters and their statistical significance. For "black box" models, such as random forest, this information is hidden inside the model structure. This work presents an approach for computing feature contributions for random forest classification models. It allows for the determination of the influence of each variable on the model predi…
Tree ensembles such as random forests and boosted trees are accurate but difficult to understand, debug and deploy. In this work, we provide the inTrees (interpretable trees) framework that extracts, measures, prunes and selects rules from a tree ensemble, and calculates frequent variable interactions. An rule-based learner, referred to as the simplified tree ensemble learner (STEL), can also be formed and used for future prediction. The inTrees framework can applied to both classification and regression problems, and is applicable to many types of tree ensembles, e.g., random forests, regular…
Beijing Key Laboratory of Security and Privacy in Intelligent Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University（北京交通大学智能交通信息安全与隐私保护北京市重点实验室）
Malware is being increasingly threatening and malware detectors based on traditional signature-based analysis are no longer suitable for current malware detection. Recently, the models based on machine learning (ML) are developed for predicting unknown malware variants and saving human strength. However, most of the existing ML models are black-box, which made their pre-diction results undependable, and therefore need further interpretation in order to be effectively deployed in the wild. This paper aims to examine and categorize the existing researches on ML-based malware detector interpretab…
Tree ensembles, such as random forests and AdaBoost, are ubiquitous machine learning models known for achieving strong predictive performance across a wide variety of domains. However, this strong performance comes at the cost of interpretability (i.e. users are unable to understand the relationships a trained random forest has learned and why it is making its predictions). In particular, it is challenging to understand how the contribution of a particular feature, or group of features, varies as their value changes. To address this, we introduce Disentangled Attribution Curves (DAC), a method…
Anomaly detection is concerned with identifying examples in a dataset that do not conform to the expected behaviour. While a vast amount of anomaly detection algorithms exist, little attention has been paid to explaining why these algorithms flag certain examples as anomalies. However, such an explanation could be extremely useful to anyone interpreting the algorithms' output. This paper develops a method to explain the anomaly predictions of the state-of-the-art Isolation Forest anomaly detection algorithm. The method outputs an explanation vector that captures how important each attribute of…
University of Pennsylvania（宾夕法尼亚大学）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）
Interpretability has become incredibly important as machine learning is increasingly used to inform consequential decisions. We propose to construct global explanations of complex, blackbox models in the form of a decision tree approximating the original model---as long as the decision tree is a good approximation, then it mirrors the computation performed by the blackbox model. We devise a novel algorithm for extracting decision tree explanations that actively samples new training points to avoid overfitting. We evaluate our algorithm on a random forest to predict diabetes risk and a learned …
This paper proposes a new method for interpreting and simplifying a black box model of a deep random forest (RF) using a proposed rule elimination. In deep RF, a large number of decision trees are connected to multiple layers, thereby making an analysis difficult. It has a high performance similar to that of a deep neural network (DNN), but achieves a better generalizability. Therefore, in this study, we consider quantifying the feature contributions and frequency of the fully trained deep RF in the form of a decision rule set. The feature contributions provide a basis for determining how feat…
Learning and Interpreting Gravitational-Wave Features from CNNs with a Random Forest Approach
School of Physics and Astronomy, China West Normal University（物理与天文学院，中国西南师范大学）；International Centre for Theoretical Physics Asia-Pacific (ICTP-AP), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (UCAS)（亚洲太平洋理论物理中心（ICTP-AP），中国科学院大学）；Taiji Laboratory for Gravitational Wave Universe (Beijing/Hangzhou), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (UCAS)（引力波宇宙 Taiji 实验室（北京/杭州），中国科学院大学）；Hangzhou Institute for Advanced Study, UCAS（杭州先进研究所，中国科学院大学）；School of Electronic Science and Engineering, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications（电子科学与工程学院，重庆邮电大学）；Institute for Frontiers in Astronomy and Astrophysics, Beijing Normal University（天文与天体物理学前沿研究所，北京师范大学）；School of Physics and Astronomy, Beijing Normal University（物理与天文学院，北京师范大学）
Surrogate Interpretable Graph for Random Decision Forests
Center for Artificial Intelligence in Public Health Research (ZKI-PH)（人工智能与公共卫生研究所以（ZKI-PH））；Robert Koch Institute（罗伯特·科赫研究所）；Department of Mathematics and Computer Science（数学与计算机科学系）；Free University of Berlin（柏林自由大学）
Berlin School of Economics and Law（柏林经济与法律学院）；Humboldt University（洪堡大学）
Tree-based algorithms such as random forests and gradient boosted trees continue to be among the most popular and powerful machine learning models used across multiple disciplines. The conventional wisdom of estimating the impact of a feature in tree based models is to measure the \textit{node-wise reduction of a loss function}, which (i) yields only global importance measures and (ii) is known to suffer from severe biases. Conditional feature contributions (CFCs) provide \textit{local}, case-by-case explanations of a prediction by following the decision path and attributing changes in the exp…
Federal Institute of São Paulo (IFSP)（圣保罗联邦学院（IFSP））；University of São Paulo (USP)（圣保罗大学（USP））；Dalhousie University（达尔豪斯大学）
Over the past decades, classification models have proven to be essential machine learning tools given their potential and applicability in various domains. In these years, the north of the majority of the researchers had been to improve quantitative metrics, notwithstanding the lack of information about models' decisions such metrics convey. This paradigm has recently shifted, and strategies beyond tables and numbers to assist in interpreting models' decisions are increasing in importance. Part of this trend, visualization techniques have been extensively used to support classification models'…
Erasmus University Rotterdam（鹿特丹伊拉斯姆斯大学）；University of Chicago（芝加哥大学）；Migros T.A.Ş（Migros公司）
We propose two algorithms for interpretation and boosting of tree-based ensemble methods. Both algorithms make use of mathematical programming models that are constructed with a set of rules extracted from an ensemble of decision trees. The objective is to obtain the minimum total impurity with the least number of rules that cover all the samples. The first algorithm uses the collection of decision trees obtained from a trained random forest model. Our numerical results show that the proposed rule covering approach selects only a few rules that could be used for interpreting the random forest …
University of Manchester（曼彻斯特大学）；CRUK Manchester Institute（英国癌症研究中心曼彻斯特研究所）；Idiap Research Institute（Idiap研究所）
There is an increasing interest in the use of Deep Learning (DL) based methods as a supporting analytical framework in oncology. However, most direct applications of DL will deliver models with limited transparency and explainability, which constrain their deployment in biomedical settings. This systematic review discusses DL models used to support inference in cancer biology with a particular emphasis on multi-omics analysis. It focuses on how existing models address the need for better dialogue with prior knowledge, biological plausibility and interpretability, fundamental properties in the …
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute（伦斯勒理工学院）；IBM Thomas J. Watson Research Center（IBM托马斯·J·沃森研究中心）
Deep learning as represented by the artificial deep neural networks (DNNs) has achieved great success in many important areas that deal with text, images, videos, graphs, and so on. However, the black-box nature of DNNs has become one of the primary obstacles for their wide acceptance in mission-critical applications such as medical diagnosis and therapy. Due to the huge potential of deep learning, interpreting neural networks has recently attracted much research attention. In this paper, based on our comprehensive taxonomy, we systematically review recent studies in understanding the mechanis…
Interpreting predictions from tree ensemble methods such as gradient boosting machines and random forests is important, yet feature attribution for trees is often heuristic and not individualized for each prediction. Here we show that popular feature attribution methods are inconsistent, meaning they can lower a feature's assigned importance when the true impact of that feature actually increases. This is a fundamental problem that casts doubt on any comparison between features. To address it we turn to recent applications of game theory and develop fast exact tree solutions for SHAP (SHapley …
An algorithmic decision-maker incentivizes people to act in certain ways to receive better decisions. These incentives can dramatically influence subjects' behaviors and lives, and it is important that both decision-makers and decision-recipients have clarity on which actions are incentivized by the chosen model. While for linear functions, the changes a subject is incentivized to make may be clear, we prove that for many non-linear functions (e.g. neural networks, random forests), classical methods for interpreting the behavior of models (e.g. input gradients) provide poor advice to individua…
