人工智能与共同富裕机遇：来自技术与经济史的启示
AI and the Opportunity for Shared Prosperity: Lessons from the History of Technology and the Economy
AI总结：
本文结合技术与创新史研判AI的经济影响，指出AI虽能带来共同富裕机遇，但效益不会自动实现，需多方协同制定政策以释放潜力、应对风险。
摘要：
人工智能（AI）的最新进展标志着人类历史上的一个关键时刻。它为机器提供了学习、适应并执行各类任务的机会，这些任务有望为人类提供协助，覆盖从日常活动到最具创造力和雄心的项目等诸多场景。AI还有望帮助企业和组织利用知识、提高生产力、开展创新、实现转型，并为共同富裕提供动力。\n这一巨大潜力引出了两个根本性问题：（1）AI是否真的会推动国家和全球经济转型，从而惠及整个社会？（2）我们必须解决哪些问题，才能充分实现AI的经济价值、扩大富裕范围并改善各地民众的生活？\n我们以近期技术与创新史为参考来探究这些问题，以此研判AI可能产生的影响，以及我们必须采取哪些行动来释放其经济潜力以造福社会。尽管我们并不认为未来会完全复刻过去——具体原因我们将展开讨论——但我们确实相信，过往技术变革的经验能提供许多有益的启示。\n我们得出的结论是：尽管AI的进步为提升经济繁荣水平和未来福祉带来了历史性机遇，但其经济效益不会自动到来；如果我们不集体且有针对性地采取行动来释放AI的潜力并应对其带来的挑战，AI就有可能加剧现有的经济问题。我们提出了一项集体政策议程——参与方包括AI的开发者、部署者和使用者，基础设施提供商、政策制定者以及劳动力培训相关人员——该议程或有助于实现并驾驭AI的经济潜力，同时应对其对我们共同富裕构成的风险。
英文摘要：
Recent progress in artificial intelligence (AI) marks a pivotal moment in human history. It presents the opportunity for machines to learn, adapt, and perform tasks that have the potential to assist people, from everyday activities to their most creative and ambitious projects. It also has the potential to help businesses and organizations harness knowledge, increase productivity, innovate, transform, and power shared prosperity. This tremendous potential raises two fundamental questions: (1) Will AI actually advance national and global economic transformation to benefit society at large? and (2) What issues must we get right to fully realize AI's economic value, expand prosperity and improve lives everywhere? We explore these questions by considering the recent history of technology and innovation as a guide for the likely impact of AI and what we must do to realize its economic potential to benefit society. While we do not presume the future will be entirely like that past, for reasons we will discuss, we do believe prior experience with technological change offers many useful lessons. We conclude that while progress in AI presents a historic opportunity to advance our economic prosperity and future wellbeing, its economic benefits will not come automatically and that AI risks exacerbating existing economic challenges unless we collectively and purposefully act to enable its potential and address its challenges. We suggest a collective policy agenda - involving developers, deployers and users of AI, infrastructure providers, policymakers, and those involved in workforce training - that may help both realize and harness AI's economic potential and address its risks to our shared prosperity.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
