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arXiv 2306.08096q-bio.QMq-bio.PE
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癌症中细胞增殖速率与表型转换速率的统计推断

Statistical inference of the rates of cell proliferation and phenotypic switching in cancer

Einar Bjarki Gunnarsson, Jasmine Foo, Kevin Leder

AI总结:

本研究针对癌症细胞表型动态转换的参数估计问题,提出一套基于随机动力学的统计框架,可利用细胞系实验的占比或数量数据估计增殖、转换等速率,并通过模拟与公开数据集验证了方法的有效性。

摘要:

近期研究证据表明,非遗传(表观遗传)机制在癌症演化的所有阶段均发挥重要作用。在多种癌症中,已观察到这类机制会诱导两种或多种细胞状态之间发生动态转换,这些状态通常对药物治疗表现出差异性响应。为理解这类癌症如何随时间演化,以及它们对治疗的响应方式,我们需要明确依赖细胞状态的增殖速率与表型转换速率。本研究中,我们提出了一套严谨的统计框架用于估计这些参数,所使用的数据来自常规开展的细胞系实验——实验中会对表型进行分选并在培养体系中扩增。该框架明确建模了细胞分裂、细胞死亡与表型转换的随机动力学,还能为模型参数提供基于似然的置信区间。输入数据既可以是单个或多个时间点下各状态的细胞占比,也可以是各状态的细胞数量。通过理论分析与数值模拟相结合的方式,我们发现:当使用细胞占比数据时,转换速率可能是唯一能够被准确估计的参数;而使用细胞数量数据时,不仅能准确估计每种表型的净分裂速率,甚至还能估计依赖细胞状态的细胞分裂速率与细胞死亡速率。最后,我们将该框架应用于一个公开可用的数据集,完成了方法的实证验证。

英文摘要:

Recent evidence suggests that nongenetic (epigenetic) mechanisms play an important role at all stages of cancer evolution. In many cancers, these mechanisms have been observed to induce dynamic switching between two or more cell states, which commonly show differential responses to drug treatments. To understand how these cancers evolve over time, and how they respond to treatment, we need to understand the state-dependent rates of cell proliferation and phenotypic switching. In this work, we propose a rigorous statistical framework for estimating these parameters, using data from commonly performed cell line experiments, where phenotypes are sorted and expanded in culture. The framework explicitly models the stochastic dynamics of cell division, cell death and phenotypic switching, and it provides likelihood-based confidence intervals for the model parameters. The input data can be either the fraction of cells or the number of cells in each state at one or more time points. Through a combination of theoretical analysis and numerical simulations, we show that when cell fraction data is used, the rates of switching may be the only parameters that can be estimated accurately. On the other hand, using cell number data enables accurate estimation of the net division rate for each phenotype, and it can even enable estimation of the state-dependent rates of cell division and cell death. We conclude by applying our framework to a publicly available dataset.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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