Specifying reward functions for complex tasks like object manipulation or driving is challenging to do by hand. Reward learning seeks to address this by learning a reward model using human feedback on selected query policies. This shifts the burden of reward specification to the optimal design of the queries. We propose a theoretical framework for studying reward learning and the associated optimal experiment design problem. Our framework models rewards and policies as nonparametric functions belonging to subsets of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHSs). The learner receives (noisy) oracle access to a true reward and must output a policy that performs well under the true reward. For this setting, we first derive non-asymptotic excess risk bounds for a simple plug-in estimator based on ridge regression. We then solve the query design problem by optimizing these risk bounds with respect to the choice of query set and obtain a finite sample statistical rate, which depends primarily on the eigenvalue spectrum of a certain linear operator on the RKHSs. Despite the generality of these results, our bounds are stronger than previous bounds developed for more specialized problems. We specifically show that the well-studied problem of Gaussian process (GP) bandit optimization is a special case of our framework, and that our bounds either improve or are competitive with known regret guarantees for the Matérn kernel.
We analyze the $K$-armed bandit problem where the reward for each arm is a noisy realization based on an observed context under mild nonparametric assumptions. We attain tight results for top-arm identification and a sublinear regret of $\widetilde{O}\Big(T^{\frac{1+D}{2+D}}\Big)$, where $D$ is the context dimension, for a modified UCB algorithm that is simple to implement ($k$NN-UCB). We then give global intrinsic dimension dependent and ambient dimension independent regret bounds. We also discuss recovering topological structures within the context space based on expected bandit performance …
National University of Singapore(新加坡国立大学);Cornell University(康奈尔大学)
Consider a nonparametric contextual multi-arm bandit problem where each arm $a \in [K]$ is associated to a nonparametric reward function $f_a: [0,1] \to \mathbb{R}$ mapping from contexts to the expected reward. Suppose that there is a large set of arms, yet there is a simple but unknown structure amongst the arm reward functions, e.g. finite types or smooth with respect to an unknown metric space. We present a novel algorithm which learns data-driven similarities amongst the arms, in order to implement adaptive partitioning of the context-arm space for more efficient learning. We provide regre…
We propose the Generalized Policy Elimination (GPE) algorithm, an oracle-efficient contextual bandit (CB) algorithm inspired by the Policy Elimination algorithm of \cite{dudik2011}. We prove the first regret optimality guarantee theorem for an oracle-efficient CB algorithm competing against a nonparametric class with infinite VC-dimension. Specifically, we show that GPE is regret-optimal (up to logarithmic factors) for policy classes with integrable entropy. For classes with larger entropy, we show that the core techniques used to analyze GPE can be used to design an $\varepsilon$-greedy algor…
Contextual multi-armed bandit algorithms are widely used in sequential decision tasks such as news article recommendation systems, web page ad placement algorithms, and mobile health. Most of the existing algorithms have regret proportional to a polynomial function of the context dimension, $d$. In many applications however, it is often the case that contexts are high-dimensional with only a sparse subset of size $s_0 (\ll d)$ being correlated with the reward. We consider the stochastic linear contextual bandit problem and propose a novel algorithm, namely the Doubly-Robust Lasso Bandit algori…
We study a multi-armed bandit problem with covariates in a setting where there is a possible delay in observing the rewards. Under some mild assumptions on the probability distributions for the delays and using an appropriate randomization to select the arms, the proposed strategy is shown to be strongly consistent.
Committee on Computational and Applied Mathematics, University of Chicago(计算与应用数学委员会,芝加哥大学);Department of Statistics, University of Chicago(统计学系,芝加哥大学)
Columbia University(哥伦比亚大学);Seoul National University(首尔大学);Shepherd23 Inc.(Shepherd23 公司)
We propose a novel contextual bandit algorithm for generalized linear rewards with an $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{κ^{-1} ϕT})$ regret over $T$ rounds where $ϕ$ is the minimum eigenvalue of the covariance of contexts and $κ$ is a lower bound of the variance of rewards. In several practical cases where $ϕ=O(d)$, our result is the first regret bound for generalized linear model (GLM) bandits with the order $\sqrt{d}$ without relying on the approach of Auer [2002]. We achieve this bound using a novel estimator called double doubly-robust (DDR) estimator, a subclass of doubly-robust (DR) estimator but with a …
School of Statistics, Renmin University of China(中国人民大学统计学院);School of Management, Fudan University(复旦大学管理学院);Mendoza College of Business, University of Notre Dame(圣母大学门多萨商学院);Center for Applied Statistics, School of Statistics, Renmin University of China(中国人民大学应用统计中心);Department of Statistics, University of Warwick(华威大学统计系)
Real-world networks such as social and communication networks are too large to be observed entirely. Such networks are often partially observed such that network size, network topology, and nodes of the original network are unknown. In this paper we formalize the Adaptive Graph Exploring problem. We assume that we are given an incomplete snapshot of a large network and additional nodes can be discovered by querying nodes in the currently observed network. The goal of this problem is to maximize the number of observed nodes within a given query budget. Querying which set of nodes maximizes the …
Delayed rewards problem in contextual bandits has been of interest in various practical settings. We study randomized allocation strategies and provide an understanding on how the exploration-exploitation tradeoff is affected by delays in observing the rewards. In randomized strategies, the extent of exploration-exploitation is controlled by a user-determined exploration probability sequence. In the presence of delayed rewards, one may choose between using the original exploration sequence that updates at every time point or update the sequence only when a new reward is observed, leading to tw…
Amazon Customer Service provides real-time support for millions of customer contacts every year. While bot-resolver helps automate some traffic, we still see high demand for human agents, also called subject matter experts (SMEs). Customers outreach with questions in different domains (return policy, device troubleshooting, etc.). Depending on their training, not all SMEs are eligible to handle all contacts. Routing contacts to eligible SMEs turns out to be a non-trivial problem because SMEs' domain eligibility is subject to training quality and can change over time. To optimally recommend SME…
We propose a new framework for designing estimators for off-policy evaluation in contextual bandits. Our approach is based on the asymptotically optimal doubly robust estimator, but we shrink the importance weights to minimize a bound on the mean squared error, which results in a better bias-variance tradeoff in finite samples. We use this optimization-based framework to obtain three estimators: (a) a weight-clipping estimator, (b) a new weight-shrinkage estimator, and (c) the first shrinkage-based estimator for combinatorial action sets. Extensive experiments in both standard and combinatoria…
SPARKLE: A Nonparametric Approach for Online Decision-Making with High-Dimensional Covariates
Department of Industrial Systems Engineering and Management, National University of Singapore(新加坡国立大学工业系统工程与管理系);Division of Emerging Interdisciplinary Areas, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology(香港科学与技术大学新兴跨学科领域分校);Department of Industrial Engineering and Decision Analytics, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology(香港科学与技术大学工业工程与决策分析系)
Doubly stochastic Poisson processes, also known as the Cox processes, frequently occur in various scientific fields. In this article, motivated primarily by analyzing Cox process data in biophysics, we propose a nonparametric kernel-based inference method. We conduct a detailed study, including an asymptotic analysis, of the proposed method, and provide guidelines for its practical use, introducing a fast and stable regression method for bandwidth selection. We apply our method to real photon arrival data from recent single-molecule biophysical experiments, investigating proteins' conformation…
For multivariate nonparametric regression, functional analysis-of-variance (ANOVA) modeling aims to capture the relationship between a response and covariates by decomposing the unknown function into various components, representing main effects, two-way interactions, etc. Such an approach has been pursued explicitly in smoothing spline ANOVA modeling and implicitly in various greedy methods such as MARS. We develop a new method for functional ANOVA modeling, based on doubly penalized estimation using total-variation and empirical-norm penalties, to achieve sparse selection of component functi…
Microsoft Research NYC(微软研究院纽约);Microsoft Research New England(微软新英格兰研究院)
This paper studies semiparametric contextual bandits, a generalization of the linear stochastic bandit problem where the reward for an action is modeled as a linear function of known action features confounded by an non-linear action-independent term. We design new algorithms that achieve $\tilde{O}(d\sqrt{T})$ regret over $T$ rounds, when the linear function is $d$-dimensional, which matches the best known bounds for the simpler unconfounded case and improves on a recent result of Greenewald et al. (2017). Via an empirical evaluation, we show that our algorithms outperform prior approaches wh…
Bandits with covariates, a.k.a. contextual bandits, address situations where optimal actions (or arms) at a given time $t$, depend on a context $x_t$, e.g., a new patient's medical history, a consumer's past purchases. While it is understood that the distribution of contexts might change over time, e.g., due to seasonalities, or deployment to new environments, the bulk of studies concern the most adversarial such changes, resulting in regret bounds that are often worst-case in nature. Covariate-shift on the other hand has been considered in classification as a middle-ground formalism that can …
We study a nonparametric contextual bandit problem where the expected reward functions belong to a Hölder class with smoothness parameter $β$. We show how this interpolates between two extremes that were previously studied in isolation: non-differentiable bandits ($β\leq1$), where rate-optimal regret is achieved by running separate non-contextual bandits in different context regions, and parametric-response bandits (satisfying $β=\infty$), where rate-optimal regret can be achieved with minimal or no exploration due to infinite extrapolatability. We develop a novel algorithm that carefully adju…
We present and prove properties of a new offline policy evaluator for an exploration learning setting which is superior to previous evaluators. In particular, it simultaneously and correctly incorporates techniques from importance weighting, doubly robust evaluation, and nonstationary policy evaluation approaches. In addition, our approach allows generating longer histories by careful control of a bias-variance tradeoff, and further decreases variance by incorporating information about randomness of the target policy. Empirical evidence from synthetic and realworld exploration learning problem…
Netflix(奈飞);Stanford University(斯坦福大学);NYU Stern School of Business(纽约大学斯特恩商学院)
During online decision making in Multi-Armed Bandits (MAB), one needs to conduct inference on the true mean reward of each arm based on data collected so far at each step. However, since the arms are adaptively selected--thereby yielding non-iid data--conducting inference accurately is not straightforward. In particular, sample averaging, which is used in the family of UCB and Thompson sampling (TS) algorithms, does not provide a good choice as it suffers from bias and a lack of good statistical properties (e.g. asymptotic normality). Our thesis in this paper is that more sophisticated inferen…
We consider the stochastic contextual bandit problem with additional regularization. The motivation comes from problems where the policy of the agent must be close to some baseline policy which is known to perform well on the task. To tackle this problem we use a nonparametric model and propose an algorithm splitting the context space into bins, and solving simultaneously - and independently - regularized multi-armed bandit instances on each bin. We derive slow and fast rates of convergence, depending on the unknown complexity of the problem. We also consider a new relevant margin condition to…
We study the off-policy evaluation problem---estimating the value of a target policy using data collected by another policy---under the contextual bandit model. We consider the general (agnostic) setting without access to a consistent model of rewards and establish a minimax lower bound on the mean squared error (MSE). The bound is matched up to constants by the inverse propensity scoring (IPS) and doubly robust (DR) estimators. This highlights the difficulty of the agnostic contextual setting, in contrast with multi-armed bandits and contextual bandits with access to a consistent reward model…
Even when unable to run experiments, practitioners can evaluate prospective policies, using previously logged data. However, while the bandits literature has adopted a diverse set of objectives, most research on off-policy evaluation to date focuses on the expected reward. In this paper, we introduce Lipschitz risk functionals, a broad class of objectives that subsumes conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), variance, mean-variance, many distorted risks, and CPT risks, among others. We propose Off-Policy Risk Assessment (OPRA), a framework that first estimates a target policy's CDF and then generate…
A fundamental challenge in contextual bandits is to develop flexible, general-purpose algorithms with computational requirements no worse than classical supervised learning tasks such as classification and regression. Algorithms based on regression have shown promising empirical success, but theoretical guarantees have remained elusive except in special cases. We provide the first universal and optimal reduction from contextual bandits to online regression. We show how to transform any oracle for online regression with a given value function class into an algorithm for contextual bandits with …
Batched Single-Index Global Multi-Armed Bandits with Covariates
Department of Mathematics, Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Case Western Reserve University(数学系、应用数学与统计学系,凯斯西储大学);Department of Statistics, Pennsylvania State University(统计系,宾夕法尼亚州立大学)
Mathematics of statistical sequential decision-making: concentration, risk-awareness and modelling in stochastic bandits, with applications to bariatric surgery
Université de Lille(里尔大学);Université de Technologies de Troyes(特鲁瓦技术大学);ENSAI Rennes(雷恩国立统计与信息分析学校);Inria Montpellier(法国国家信息与自动化研究所蒙彼利埃中心);CWI Amsterdam(荷兰国家数学与计算机科学研究中心);Université de Bordeaux(波尔多大学);Inria Lille(法国国家信息与自动化研究所里尔中心);CHU Lille(里尔大学附属医院);Centre de Recherche en Informatique, Signal et Automatique de Lille(里尔计算机、信号与自动化研究中心)
University of Cambridge(剑桥大学);University of California, Los Angeles(加州大学洛杉矶分校)
Understanding a decision-maker's priorities by observing their behavior is critical for transparency and accountability in decision processes, such as in healthcare. Though conventional approaches to policy learning almost invariably assume stationarity in behavior, this is hardly true in practice: Medical practice is constantly evolving as clinical professionals fine-tune their knowledge over time. For instance, as the medical community's understanding of organ transplantations has progressed over the years, a pertinent question is: How have actual organ allocation policies been evolving? To …
Université Paris Diderot(巴黎第七大学);Princeton University(普林斯顿大学)
We consider a multi-armed bandit problem in a setting where each arm produces a noisy reward realization which depends on an observable random covariate. As opposed to the traditional static multi-armed bandit problem, this setting allows for dynamically changing rewards that better describe applications where side information is available. We adopt a nonparametric model where the expected rewards are smooth functions of the covariate and where the hardness of the problem is captured by a margin parameter. To maximize the expected cumulative reward, we introduce a policy called Adaptively Binn…
There has been a recent surge of interest in nonparametric bandit algorithms based on subsampling. One drawback however of these approaches is the additional complexity required by random subsampling and the storage of the full history of rewards. Our first contribution is to show that a simple deterministic subsampling rule, proposed in the recent work of Baudry et al. (2020) under the name of ''last-block subsampling'', is asymptotically optimal in one-parameter exponential families. In addition, we prove that these guarantees also hold when limiting the algorithm memory to a polylogarithmic…
Boston University(波士顿大学);Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学)
We investigate a natural but surprisingly unstudied approach to the multi-armed bandit problem under safety risk constraints. Each arm is associated with an unknown law on safety risks and rewards, and the learner's goal is to maximise reward whilst not playing unsafe arms, as determined by a given threshold on the mean risk. We formulate a pseudo-regret for this setting that enforces this safety constraint in a per-round way by softly penalising any violation, regardless of the gain in reward due to the same. This has practical relevance to scenarios such as clinical trials, where one must ma…
University of Toronto(多伦多大学);Fudan University(复旦大学)
We consider a contextual online learning (multi-armed bandit) problem with high-dimensional covariate $\mathbf{x}$ and decision $\mathbf{y}$. The reward function to learn, $f(\mathbf{x},\mathbf{y})$, does not have a particular parametric form. The literature has shown that the optimal regret is $\tilde{O}(T^{(d_x+d_y+1)/(d_x+d_y+2)})$, where $d_x$ and $d_y$ are the dimensions of $\mathbf x$ and $\mathbf y$, and thus it suffers from the curse of dimensionality. In many applications, only a small subset of variables in the covariate affect the value of $f$, which is referred to as \textit{sparsi…
University of Florida(佛罗里达大学);Northwestern University(西北大学);Pennsylvania State University(宾夕法尼亚州立大学)
We consider the stochastic contextual bandit problem under the high dimensional linear model. We focus on the case where the action space is finite and random, with each action associated with a randomly generated contextual covariate. This setting finds essential applications such as personalized recommendation, online advertisement, and personalized medicine. However, it is very challenging as we need to balance exploration and exploitation. We propose doubly growing epochs and estimating the parameter using the best subset selection method, which is easy to implement in practice. This appro…
University of Washington(华盛顿大学);Princeton University(普林斯顿大学);Microsoft Research(微软研究院)
Eluder dimension and information gain are two widely used methods of complexity measures in bandit and reinforcement learning. Eluder dimension was originally proposed as a general complexity measure of function classes, but the common examples of where it is known to be small are function spaces (vector spaces). In these cases, the primary tool to upper bound the eluder dimension is the elliptic potential lemma. Interestingly, the elliptic potential lemma also features prominently in the analysis of linear bandits/reinforcement learning and their nonparametric generalization, the information …
We study decision making in environments where the reward is only partially observed, but can be modeled as a function of an action and an observed context. This setting, known as contextual bandits, encompasses a wide variety of applications including health-care policy and Internet advertising. A central task is evaluation of a new policy given historic data consisting of contexts, actions and received rewards. The key challenge is that the past data typically does not faithfully represent proportions of actions taken by a new policy. Previous approaches rely either on models of rewards or m…
This paper proposes GProp, a deep reinforcement learning algorithm for continuous policies with compatible function approximation. The algorithm is based on two innovations. Firstly, we present a temporal-difference based method for learning the gradient of the value-function. Secondly, we present the deviator-actor-critic (DAC) model, which comprises three neural networks that estimate the value function, its gradient, and determine the actor's policy respectively. We evaluate GProp on two challenging tasks: a contextual bandit problem constructed from nonparametric regression datasets that i…
School of Mathematics and Statistics(数学与统计学学院);Beijing Institute of Technology(北京理工大学);Yunnan Key Laboratory of Statistical Modeling and Data Analysis(云南统计建模与数据分析重点实验室);Yunnan University(云南大学);Zhongtai Securities Institute for Financial Studies, Shandong University, Jinan, China(中泰证券金融研究学院,山东大学,济南,中国);Xi'an Jiaotong University(西安交通大学);Department of Statistical Science(统计科学系)