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arXiv 2302.07510cs.LG
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随机上升老虎机的最佳臂识别

Best Arm Identification for Stochastic Rising Bandits

Politecnico di Milano(米兰理工大学)

Marco Mussi, Alessandro Montenegro, Francesco Trovó, Marcello Restelli, Alberto Maria Metelli

AI总结:

本文针对随机上升老虎机(SRBs)的固定预算最佳臂识别问题,提出R-UCBE和R-SR两种算法,证明其识别保证并推导匹配下界,实验验证有效。

摘要:

随机上升老虎机(SRBs)模型化了顺序决策问题,其中可用选项的期望奖励在每次被选择时都会增加。这种设置涵盖了一系列广泛的情景,其中可用选项是学习实体,其性能(在期望意义上)随时间提高(例如,在线最佳模型选择)。虽然先前的工作解决了遗憾最小化问题,但本文关注的是SRBs的固定预算最佳臂识别(BAI)问题。在此情景中,给定固定的轮次预算,我们被要求在学习过程结束时提供关于最佳选项的推荐。我们提出了两种算法来解决上述设置,即R-UCBE,它采用类似UCB的方法,以及R-SR,它采用连续拒绝程序。然后,我们证明,在预算足够大的情况下,它们为在学习过程结束时正确识别最优选项的概率以及简单遗憾提供了保证。此外,我们推导了错误概率的下界,该下界由我们的R-SR(在常数范围内)匹配,并说明了在SRB设置中需要足够大预算的必要性是无法避免的。最后,我们在合成和现实环境中对提出的算法进行了数值验证。

英文摘要:

Stochastic Rising Bandits (SRBs) model sequential decision-making problems in which the expected reward of the available options increases every time they are selected. This setting captures a wide range of scenarios in which the available options are learning entities whose performance improves (in expectation) over time (e.g., online best model selection). While previous works addressed the regret minimization problem, this paper focuses on the fixed-budget Best Arm Identification (BAI) problem for SRBs. In this scenario, given a fixed budget of rounds, we are asked to provide a recommendation about the best option at the end of the identification process. We propose two algorithms to tackle the above-mentioned setting, namely R-UCBE, which resorts to a UCB-like approach, and R-SR, which employs a successive reject procedure. Then, we prove that, with a sufficiently large budget, they provide guarantees on the probability of properly identifying the optimal option at the end of the learning process and on the simple regret. Furthermore, we derive a lower bound on the error probability, matched by our R-SR (up to constants), and illustrate how the need for a sufficiently large budget is unavoidable in the SRB setting. Finally, we numerically validate the proposed algorithms in both synthetic and realistic environments.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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