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arXiv 2302.03544stat.ME
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因果关系可解释的随机效应荟萃分析

Causally-Interpretable Random-Effects Meta-Analysis

Justin M. Clark, Kollin W. Rott, James S. Hodges, Jared D. Huling

摘要:

最近的工作作出了重要贡献的因果可解释的荟萃分析的发展。这些方法将在随机试验集合中估计的处理效应转移到感兴趣的目标人群。理想情况下,针对特定人群的估计值更易于解释,与政策制定者和临床医生相关。然而,研究间异质性不是由处理效应调节剂分布差异引起的,可能会增加综合试验间估计值的困难。这种异质性的存在,包括治疗方式的变化,也使将迁移估计数解释为目标人群中的一般效应变得复杂。我们提出了一个概念框架和估计程序,试图解释这种异质性,并开发推理技术,旨在捕捉伴随的因果估计的过度变异。这一框架还试图澄清哪种处理效应可以适用于可推广性和可移植性技术。

英文摘要:

Recent work has made important contributions in the development of causally-interpretable meta-analysis. These methods transport treatment effects estimated in a collection of randomized trials to a target population of interest. Ideally, estimates targeted toward a specific population are more interpretable and relevant to policy-makers and clinicians. However, between-study heterogeneity not arising from differences in the distribution of treatment effect modifiers can raise difficulties in synthesizing estimates across trials. The existence of such heterogeneity, including variations in treatment modality, also complicates the interpretation of transported estimates as a generic effect in the target population. We propose a conceptual framework and estimation procedures that attempt to account for such heterogeneity, and develop inferential techniques that aim to capture the accompanying excess variability in causal estimates. This framework also seeks to clarify the kind of treatment effects that are amenable to the techniques of generalizability and transportability.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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