arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2211.03358cs.CLcs.AI
收藏

探究神经语言模型对概率估计词的理解能力

Probing neural language models for understanding of words of estimative probability

Univ. Lille(里尔大学);Inria(法国国家信息与自动化研究所);CNRS(法国国家科学研究中心);Centrale Lille(里尔中央理工学院);KU Leuven(鲁汶大学)

Damien Sileo, Marie-Francine Moens

AI总结:

本研究通过构建提示和概率推理数据集,测量神经语言模型捕捉概率估计词共识概率水平及组合推理的能力,发现现成模型无法解决这些任务,但微调能带来可迁移的改进。

摘要:

概率估计词(WEP)是表达陈述可能性大小的词语(如probably、maybe、likely、doubt、unlikely、impossible等)。多项调查表明,人类评估者在为WEP分配数值概率水平时具有高度一致性。例如,在Fagen-Ulmschneider (2015)的调查中,highly likely对应的中位概率为0.90±0.08。在本研究中,我们测量了神经语言处理模型捕捉与每个WEP相关的共识概率水平的能力。首先,我们使用UNLI数据集(Chen et al., 2020),该数据集将前提和假设与其感知的联合概率p相关联,以此构建提示词,例如“[PREMISE]. [WEP], [HYPOTHESIS].”,并评估语言模型是否能预测WEP的共识概率水平是否接近p。其次,我们构建了一个基于WEP的概率推理数据集,以测试语言模型能否对WEP的组合进行推理。当被提示“[EVENTA] is likely. [EVENTB] is impossible.”时,因果语言模型不应表达[EVENTA&B]是likely的。我们表明,现成的英语语言模型均无法解决这两个任务,但微调能够带来可迁移的改进。

英文摘要:

Words of estimative probability (WEP) are expressions of a statement's plausibility (probably, maybe, likely, doubt, likely, unlikely, impossible...). Multiple surveys demonstrate the agreement of human evaluators when assigning numerical probability levels to WEP. For example, highly likely corresponds to a median chance of 0.90+-0.08 in Fagen-Ulmschneider (2015)'s survey. In this work, we measure the ability of neural language processing models to capture the consensual probability level associated to each WEP. Firstly, we use the UNLI dataset (Chen et al., 2020) which associates premises and hypotheses with their perceived joint probability p, to construct prompts, e.g. "[PREMISE]. [WEP], [HYPOTHESIS]." and assess whether language models can predict whether the WEP consensual probability level is close to p. Secondly, we construct a dataset of WEP-based probabilistic reasoning, to test whether language models can reason with WEP compositions. When prompted "[EVENTA] is likely. [EVENTB] is impossible.", a causal language model should not express that [EVENTA&B] is likely. We show that both tasks are unsolved by off-the-shelf English language models, but that fine-tuning leads to transferable improvement.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑