arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv周末暂无论文更新,休息一下吧,周末愉快~~
arXiv 2210.08962cs.CYcs.AI
收藏

人工智能与创新,减少极端天气事件对可持续生产的影响

Artificial Intelligence and Innovation to Reduce the Impact of Extreme Weather Events on Sustainable Production

Derrick Effah, Chunguang Bai, Matthew Quayson

摘要:

极端天气事件的频繁发生严重影响了我们社会中处境不利者的生活,特别是在以农业为主的经济体中。极端火灾、洪水、干旱、飓风和其他灾害的不可预测性危及陆地上的可持续生产和生活(可持续发展目标15),导致粮食不安全和人口贫困。幸运的是,人工智能(AI)、物联网(IoT)、区块链、3D打印以及虚拟和增强现实(VR和AR)等现代技术有望降低极端天气对我们社会的风险和影响。然而,关于这些技术如何帮助减少极端天气影响的研究方向尚不清楚。这使得在极端天气领域内探索数字技术具有挑战性。本文采用德尔菲最优最差法和机器学习方法对技术推动因素进行识别和评估。BWM评估显示,预测性是人工智能最重要的标准和作用,而大众市场潜力是次要的标准。在此基础上,我们测试了机器学习的预测能力在一个可获得的数据集上,以影响人工智能的预测能力。我们提出了这项研究的管理和方法的影响,这是研究和实践的关键。本研究所采用的方法可以帮助决策者制定战略和干预措施,以保障可持续生产。这也将有助于分配稀缺的资源和投资,以改善人工智能技术,减少极端事件的不利影响。相应地,我们提出了这一局限性,这需要未来的研究。

英文摘要:

Frequent occurrences of extreme weather events substantially impact the lives of the less privileged in our societies, particularly in agriculture-inclined economies. The unpredictability of extreme fires, floods, drought, cyclones, and others endangers sustainable production and life on land (SDG goal 15), which translates into food insecurity and poorer populations. Fortunately, modern technologies such as Artificial Intelligent (AI), the Internet of Things (IoT), blockchain, 3D printing, and virtual and augmented reality (VR and AR) are promising to reduce the risk and impact of extreme weather in our societies. However, research directions on how these technologies could help reduce the impact of extreme weather are unclear. This makes it challenging to emploring digital technologies within the spheres of extreme weather. In this paper, we employed the Delphi Best Worst method and Machine learning approaches to identify and assess the push factors of technology. The BWM evaluation revealed that predictive nature was AI's most important criterion and role, while the mass-market potential was the less important criterion. Based on this outcome, we tested the predictive ability of machine elarning on a publilcly available dataset to affrm the predictive rols of AI. We presented the managerial and methodological implications of the study, which are crucial for research and practice. The methodology utilized in this study could aid decision-makers in devising strategies and interventions to safeguard sustainable production. This will also facilitate allocating scarce resources and investment in improving AI techniques to reduce the adverse impacts of extreme events. Correspondingly, we put forward the limitations of this, which necessitate future research.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑