We tackle the challenge of feature embedding for the purposes of improving the click-through rate prediction process. We select three models: logistic regression, factorization machines and deep factorization machines, as our baselines and propose five different feature embedding modules: embedding scaling, FM embedding, embedding encoding, NN embedding and the embedding reweighting module. The embedding modules act as a way to improve baseline model feature embeddings and are trained alongside the rest of the model parameters in an end-to-end manner. Each module is individually added to a baseline model to obtain a new augmented model. We test the predictive performance of our augmented models on a publicly accessible dataset used for benchmarking click-through rate prediction models. Our results show that several proposed embedding modules provide an important increase in predictive performance without a drastic increase in training time.
Advertising and feed ranking are essential to many Internet companies such as Facebook. Among many real-world advertising and feed ranking systems, click through rate (CTR) prediction plays a central role. In recent years, many neural network based CTR models have been proposed and achieved success such as Factorization-Machine Supported Neural Networks, DeepFM and xDeepFM. Many of them contain two commonly used components: embedding layer and MLP hidden layers. On the other side, gating mechanism is also widely applied in many research fields such as computer vision(CV) and natural language p…
Recently, click-through rate (CTR) prediction models have evolved from shallow methods to deep neural networks. Most deep CTR models follow an Embedding\&MLP paradigm, that is, first mapping discrete id features, e.g. user visited items, into low dimensional vectors with an embedding module, then learn a multi-layer perception (MLP) to fit the target. In this way, embedding module performs as the representative learning and plays a key role in the model performance. However, in many real-world applications, deep CTR model often suffers from poor generalization performance, which is mostly due …
Purdue University（普渡大学）；University of Massachusetts Amherst（马萨诸塞大学阿默斯特分校）
We study the problem of predicting student knowledge acquisition in online courses from clickstream behavior. Motivated by the proliferation of eLearning lecture delivery, we specifically focus on student in-video activity in lectures videos, which consist of content and in-video quizzes. Our methodology for predicting in-video quiz performance is based on three key ideas we develop. First, we model students' clicking behavior via time-series learning architectures operating on raw event data, rather than defining hand-crafted features as in existing approaches that may lose important informat…
Expedia Group（亿客行集团）；University of Florida（佛罗里达大学）；Oregon Health and Science University（俄勒冈健康与科学大学）
We propose a neural network architecture for learning vector representations of hotels. Unlike previous works, which typically only use user click information for learning item embeddings, we propose a framework that combines several sources of data, including user clicks, hotel attributes (e.g., property type, star rating, average user rating), amenity information (e.g., the hotel has free Wi-Fi or free breakfast), and geographic information. During model training, a joint embedding is learned from all of the above information. We show that including structured attributes about hotels enables…
Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is one of the most central tasks in online advertising systems. Recent deep learning-based models that exploit feature embedding and high-order data nonlinearity have shown dramatic successes in CTR prediction. However, these models work poorly on cold-start ads with new IDs, whose embeddings are not well learned yet. In this paper, we propose Graph Meta Embedding (GME) models that can rapidly learn how to generate desirable initial embeddings for new ad IDs based on graph neural networks and meta learning. Previous works address this problem from the new ad…
This paper addresses a key challenge in MOOC dropout prediction, namely to build meaningful representations from clickstream data. While a variety of feature extraction techniques have been explored extensively for such purposes, to our knowledge, no prior works have explored modeling of educational content (e.g. video) and their correlation with the learner's behavior (e.g. clickstream) in this context. We bridge this gap by devising a method to learn representation for videos and the correlation between videos and clicks. The results indicate that modeling videos and their correlation with c…
We describe a parallel bayesian online deep learning framework (PBODL) for click-through rate (CTR) prediction within today's Tencent advertising system, which provides quick and accurate learning of user preferences. We first explain the framework with a deep probit regression model, which is trained with probabilistic back-propagation in the mode of assumed Gaussian density filtering. Then we extend the model family to a variety of bayesian online models with increasing feature embedding capabilities, such as Sparse-MLP, FM-MLP and FFM-MLP. Finally, we implement a parallel training system ba…
Click prediction boosting via Bayesian hyperparameter optimization based ensemble learning pipelines
Istanbul Technical University（伊斯坦布尔理工大学）；Donders Institute for Brain, Cognition and Behaviour, Radboud University Medical Center（拉德堡德大学医学中心唐德斯脑、认知与行为研究所）；Kadir Has University（卡迪尔哈斯大学）
Click prediction is one of the fundamental problems in sponsored search. Most of existing studies took advantage of machine learning approaches to predict ad click for each event of ad view independently. However, as observed in the real-world sponsored search system, user's behaviors on ads yield high dependency on how the user behaved along with the past time, especially in terms of what queries she submitted, what ads she clicked or ignored, and how long she spent on the landing pages of clicked ads, etc. Inspired by these observations, we introduce a novel framework based on Recurrent Neur…
Estimating click-through rate (CTR) accurately has an essential impact on improving user experience and revenue in sponsored search. For CTR prediction model, it is necessary to make out user real-time search intention. Most of the current work is to mine their intentions based on user real-time behaviors. However, it is difficult to capture the intention when user behaviors are sparse, causing the behavior sparsity problem. Moreover, it is difficult for user to jump out of their specific historical behaviors for possible interest exploration, namely weak generalization problem. We propose a n…
Recommendation systems and computing advertisements have gradually entered the field of academic research from the field of commercial applications. Click-through rate prediction is one of the core research issues because the prediction accuracy affects the user experience and the revenue of merchants and platforms. Feature engineering is very important to improve click-through rate prediction. Traditional feature engineering heavily relies on people's experience, and is difficult to construct a feature combination that can describe the complex patterns implied in the data. This paper combines…
AI Center of Excellence, Fidelity Investments（富达投资人工智能卓越中心）
We introduce a pattern mining framework that operates on semi-structured datasets and exploits the dichotomy between outcomes. Our approach takes advantage of constraint reasoning to find sequential patterns that occur frequently and exhibit desired properties. This allows the creation of novel pattern embeddings that are useful for knowledge extraction and predictive modeling. Finally, we present an application on customer intent prediction from digital clickstream data. Overall, we show that pattern embeddings play an integrator role between semi-structured data and machine learning models, …
Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is crucial in recommendation and online advertising systems. Existing methods usually model user behaviors, while ignoring the informative context which influences the user to make a click decision, e.g., click pages and pre-ranking candidates that inform inferences about user interests, leading to suboptimal performance. In this paper, we propose a Decision-Making Context Interaction Network (DCIN), which deploys a carefully designed Context Interaction Unit (CIU) to learn decision-making contexts and thus benefits CTR prediction. In addition, the relations…
Calibration-then-Calculation: A Variance Reduced Metric Framework in Deep Click-Through Rate Prediction Models
Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；University of Chicago Booth School of Business（芝加哥大学布斯商学院）；Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）
SOKENDAI (The Graduate University for Advanced Studies)（综合研究大学院大学（SOKENDAI））；National Institute of Informatics（日本国立信息学研究所）
Matrix factorization (MF) is one of the most efficient methods for rating predictions. MF learns user and item representations by factorizing the user-item rating matrix. Further, textual contents are integrated to conventional MF to address the cold-start problem. However, the textual contents do not reflect all aspects of the items. In this paper, we propose a model that leverages the information hidden in the item co-click (i.e., items that are often clicked together by a user) into learning item representations. We develop TCMF (Textual Co Matrix Factorization) that learns the user and ite…
Arizona State University（亚利桑那州立大学）；ByteDance（字节跳动）
Feature selection has been an essential step in developing industry-scale deep Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction systems. The goal of neural feature selection (NFS) is to choose a relatively small subset of features with the best explanatory power as a means to remove redundant features and reduce computational cost. Inspired by gradient-based neural architecture search (NAS) and network pruning methods, people have tackled the NFS problem with Gating approach that inserts a set of differentiable binary gates to drop less informative features. The binary gates are optimized along with the ne…
Predicting the click-through rate of an advertisement is a critical component of online advertising platforms. In sponsored search, the click-through rate estimates the probability that a displayed advertisement is clicked by a user after she submits a query to the search engine. Commercial search engines typically rely on machine learning models trained with a large number of features to make such predictions. This is inevitably requires a lot of engineering efforts to define, compute, and select the appropriate features. In this paper, we propose two novel approaches (one working at characte…
Despite the rapid growth of online advertisement in developing countries, existing highly over-parameterized Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction models are difficult to be deployed due to the limited computing resources. In this paper, by bridging the relationship between CTR prediction task and tabular learning, we present that tabular learning models are more efficient and effective in CTR prediction than over-parameterized CTR prediction models. Extensive experiments on eight public CTR prediction datasets show that tabular learning models outperform twelve state-of-the-art CTR prediction m…
Delayed Feedback Modeling for Post-Click Gross Merchandise Volume Prediction: Benchmark, Insights and Approaches
School of Informatics, Xiamen University Xiamen China；Taobao \& Tmall Group of Alibaba Beijing China；School of Informatics, Xiamen University；Taobao \& Tmall Group of Alibaba
Huawei Noah’s Ark Lab（华为诺亚方舟实验室）；Peking University（北京大学）；Beijing Technology and Business University（北京工商大学）；Huawei Hong Kong Theory Lab（华为香港理论实验室）
Post-click conversion rate (CVR) prediction is an essential task for discovering user interests and increasing platform revenues in a range of industrial applications. One of the most challenging problems of this task is the existence of severe selection bias caused by the inherent self-selection behavior of users and the item selection process of systems. Currently, doubly robust (DR) learning approaches achieve the state-of-the-art performance for debiasing CVR prediction. However, in this paper, by theoretically analyzing the bias, variance and generalization bounds of DR methods, we find t…
With the rapid development of online advertising and recommendation systems, click-through rate prediction is expected to play an increasingly important role.Recently many DNN-based models which follow a similar Embedding&MLP paradigm have been proposed, and have achieved good result in image/voice and nlp fields. In these methods the Wide&Deep model announced by Google plays a key role.Most models first map large scale sparse input features into low-dimensional vectors which are transformed to fixed-length vectors, then concatenated together before being fed into a multilayer perceptron (MLP)…
School of Computer and Communications Sciences（计算机与通信科学学院）；Yandex
Sponsored search is a multi-billion dollar industry and makes up a major source of revenue for search engines (SE). click-through-rate (CTR) estimation plays a crucial role for ads selection, and greatly affects the SE revenue, advertiser traffic and user experience. We propose a novel architecture for solving CTR prediction problem by combining artificial neural networks (ANN) with decision trees. First we compare ANN with respect to other popular machine learning models being used for this task. Then we go on to combine ANN with MatrixNet (proprietary implementation of boosted trees) and eva…
Information Systems and Machine Learning Lab（信息系统与机器学习实验室）
Click-Through Rate prediction (CTR) is a crucial task in recommender systems, and it gained considerable attention in the past few years. The primary purpose of recent research emphasizes obtaining meaningful and powerful representations through mining low and high feature interactions using various components such as Deep Neural Networks (DNN), CrossNets, or transformer blocks. In this work, we propose the Deep Multi-Representation model (DeepMR) that jointly trains a mixture of two powerful feature representation learning components, namely DNNs and multi-head self-attentions. Furthermore, D…
Click-Through Rate prediction aims to predict the ratio of clicks to impressions of a specific link. This is a challenging task since (1) there are usually categorical features, and the inputs will be extremely high-dimensional if one-hot encoding is applied, (2) not only the original features but also their interactions are important, (3) an effective prediction may rely on different features and interactions in different time periods. To overcome these difficulties, we propose a new interaction detection method, named Online Random Intersection Chains. The method, which is based on the idea …
Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a fundamental technique in recommendation and advertising systems. Recent studies have proved that learning a unified model to serve multiple domains is effective to improve the overall performance. However, it is still challenging to improve generalization across domains under limited training data, and hard to deploy current solutions due to their computational complexity. In this paper, we propose a simple yet effective framework AdaSparse for multi-domain CTR prediction, which learns adaptively sparse structure for each domain, achieving better genera…
Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a critical task in online advertising systems. Most existing methods mainly model the feature-CTR relationship and suffer from the data sparsity issue. In this paper, we propose DeepMCP, which models other types of relationships in order to learn more informative and statistically reliable feature representations, and in consequence to improve the performance of CTR prediction. In particular, DeepMCP contains three parts: a matching subnet, a correlation subnet and a prediction subnet. These subnets model the user-ad, ad-ad and feature-CTR relationship re…
Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a critical task in online advertising systems. Models like Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are simple but stateless. They consider each target ad independently and cannot directly extract useful information contained in users' historical ad impressions and clicks. In contrast, models like Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) are stateful but complex. They model temporal dependency between users' sequential behaviors and can achieve improved prediction performance than DNNs. However, both the offline training and online prediction process of RNNs are much more com…
Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction is one of the most important machine learning tasks in recommender systems, driving personalized experience for billions of consumers. Neural architecture search (NAS), as an emerging field, has demonstrated its capabilities in discovering powerful neural network architectures, which motivates us to explore its potential for CTR predictions. Due to 1) diverse unstructured feature interactions, 2) heterogeneous feature space, and 3) high data volume and intrinsic data randomness, it is challenging to construct, search, and compare different architectures effe…
Click-through rate(CTR) prediction is a core task in cost-per-click(CPC) advertising systems and has been studied extensively by machine learning practitioners. While many existing methods have been successfully deployed in practice, most of them are built upon i.i.d.(independent and identically distributed) assumption, ignoring that the click data used for training and inference is collected through time and is intrinsically non-stationary and drifting. This mismatch will inevitably lead to sub-optimal performance. To address this problem, we formulate CTR prediction as a continual learning t…
Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a critical task in online display advertising. The data involved in CTR prediction are typically multi-field categorical data, i.e., every feature is categorical and belongs to one and only one field. One of the interesting characteristics of such data is that features from one field often interact differently with features from different other fields. Recently, Field-aware Factorization Machines (FFMs) have been among the best performing models for CTR prediction by explicitly modeling such difference. However, the number of parameters in FFMs is in the …
Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a critical task in online advertising systems. Existing works mainly address the single-domain CTR prediction problem and model aspects such as feature interaction, user behavior history and contextual information. Nevertheless, ads are usually displayed with natural content, which offers an opportunity for cross-domain CTR prediction. In this paper, we address this problem and leverage auxiliary data from a source domain to improve the CTR prediction performance of a target domain. Our study is based on UC Toutiao (a news feed service integrated with the…
Shanghai Jiao Tong University（上海交通大学）；DAMO Academy, Alibaba Group（阿里巴巴集团达摩院）；Hong Kong Baptist University（香港浸会大学）
Click-through rate (CTR) prediction becomes indispensable in ubiquitous web recommendation applications. Nevertheless, the current methods are struggling under the cold-start scenarios where the user interactions are extremely sparse. We consider this problem as an automatic identification about whether the user behaviors are rich enough to capture the interests for prediction, and propose an Auto-Quantized Contrastive Learning (AQCL) loss to regularize the model. Different from previous methods, AQCL explores both the instance-instance and the instance-cluster similarity to robustify the late…
Alibaba Group（阿里巴巴集团）；The University of Sydney（悉尼大学）
Recommender system, as an essential part of modern e-commerce, consists of two fundamental modules, namely Click-Through Rate (CTR) and Conversion Rate (CVR) prediction. While CVR has a direct impact on the purchasing volume, its prediction is well-known challenging due to the Sample Selection Bias (SSB) and Data Sparsity (DS) issues. Although existing methods, typically built on the user sequential behavior path ``impression$\to$click$\to$purchase'', is effective for dealing with SSB issue, they still struggle to address the DS issue due to rare purchase training samples. Observing that users…
Click-through rate prediction is an essential task in industrial applications, such as online advertising. Recently deep learning based models have been proposed, which follow a similar Embedding\&MLP paradigm. In these methods large scale sparse input features are first mapped into low dimensional embedding vectors, and then transformed into fixed-length vectors in a group-wise manner, finally concatenated together to fed into a multilayer perceptron (MLP) to learn the nonlinear relations among features. In this way, user features are compressed into a fixed-length representation vector, in r…
Tsinghua University（清华大学）；Beijing National Research Center for Information Science and Technology（北京信息科学与技术国家研究中心）；The Hong Kong Polytechnic University（香港理工大学）
Improving the performance of click-through rate (CTR) prediction remains one of the core tasks in online advertising systems. With the rise of deep learning, CTR prediction models with deep networks remarkably enhance model capacities. In deep CTR models, exploiting users' historical data is essential for learning users' behaviors and interests. As existing CTR prediction works neglect the importance of the temporal signals when embed users' historical clicking records, we propose a time-aware attention model which explicitly uses absolute temporal signals for expressing the users' periodic be…
Industrial recommender systems are frequently tasked with approximating probabilities for multiple, often closely related, user actions. For example, predicting if a user will click on an advertisement and if they will then purchase the advertised product. The conceptual similarity between these tasks has promoted the use of multi-task learning: a class of algorithms that aim to bring positive inductive transfer from related tasks. Here, we empirically evaluate multi-task learning approaches with neural networks for an online advertising task. Specifically, we consider approximating the probab…
Click-through rate (CTR) prediction is a critical task in online advertising systems. A large body of research considers each ad independently, but ignores its relationship to other ads that may impact the CTR. In this paper, we investigate various types of auxiliary ads for improving the CTR prediction of the target ad. In particular, we explore auxiliary ads from two viewpoints: one is from the spatial domain, where we consider the contextual ads shown above the target ad on the same page; the other is from the temporal domain, where we consider historically clicked and unclicked ads of the …
Alibaba Inc.（阿里巴巴公司）；Beijing Particle Inc.（北京粒子公司）；University of Cambridge（剑桥大学）
CTR prediction in real-world business is a difficult machine learning problem with large scale nonlinear sparse data. In this paper, we introduce an industrial strength solution with model named Large Scale Piece-wise Linear Model (LS-PLM). We formulate the learning problem with $L_1$ and $L_{2,1}$ regularizers, leading to a non-convex and non-smooth optimization problem. Then, we propose a novel algorithm to solve it efficiently, based on directional derivatives and quasi-Newton method. In addition, we design a distributed system which can run on hundreds of machines parallel and provides us …
Click-Through Rate prediction is an important task in recommender systems, which aims to estimate the probability of a user to click on a given item. Recently, many deep models have been proposed to learn low-order and high-order feature interactions from original features. However, since useful interactions are always sparse, it is difficult for DNN to learn them effectively under a large number of parameters. In real scenarios, artificial features are able to improve the performance of deep models (such as Wide & Deep Learning), but feature engineering is expensive and requires domain knowle…
New York University（纽约大学）；Alibaba Youku Cognitive and Intelligent Lab（阿里巴巴优酷认知与智能实验室）
Cross domain recommender system constitutes a powerful method to tackle the cold-start and sparsity problem by aggregating and transferring user preferences across multiple category domains. Therefore, it has great potential to improve click-through-rate prediction performance in online commerce platforms having many domains of products. While several cross domain sequential recommendation models have been proposed to leverage information from a source domain to improve CTR predictions in a target domain, they did not take into account bidirectional latent relations of user preferences across …
N.E.D University of Engineering & Technology（N.E.D 工程技术大学）
This research presents an innovative and unique way of solving the advertisement prediction problem which is considered as a learning problem over the past several years. Online advertising is a multi-billion-dollar industry and is growing every year with a rapid pace. The goal of this research is to enhance click through rate of the contextual advertisements using Linear Regression. In order to address this problem, a new technique propose in this paper to predict the CTR which will increase the overall revenue of the system by serving the advertisements more suitable to the viewers with the …
Feature engineering has been the key to the success of many prediction models. However, the process is non-trivial and often requires manual feature engineering or exhaustive searching. DNNs are able to automatically learn feature interactions; however, they generate all the interactions implicitly, and are not necessarily efficient in learning all types of cross features. In this paper, we propose the Deep & Cross Network (DCN) which keeps the benefits of a DNN model, and beyond that, it introduces a novel cross network that is more efficient in learning certain bounded-degree feature interac…
We review a method for click-through rate prediction based on the work of Menon et al. [11], which combines collaborative filtering and matrix factorization with a side-information model and fuses the outputs to proper probabilities in [0,1]. In addition we provide details, both for the modeling as well as the experimental part, that are not found elsewhere. We rigorously test the performance on several test data sets from consecutive days in a click-through rate prediction setup, in a manner which reflects a real-world pipeline. Our results confirm that performance can be increased using late…
Short video has witnessed rapid growth in the past few years in e-commerce platforms like Taobao. To ensure the freshness of the content, platforms need to release a large number of new videos every day, making conventional click-through rate (CTR) prediction methods suffer from the item cold-start problem. In this paper, we propose GIFT, an efficient Graph-guIded Feature Transfer system, to fully take advantages of the rich information of warmed-up videos to compensate for the cold-start ones. Specifically, we establish a heterogeneous graph that contains physical and semantic linkages to gui…
