Long-term Causal Effects Estimation via Latent Surrogates Representation Learning
School of Computer Science, Guangdong University of Technology（广东工业大学计算机学院）；School of Computing and Augmented Intelligence, Arizona State University（亚利桑那州立大学计算与增强智能学院）；Didi Chuxing（滴滴出行）
Estimating long-term causal effects based on short-term surrogates is a significant but challenging problem in many real-world applications, e.g., marketing and medicine. Despite its success in certain domains, most existing methods estimate causal effects in an idealistic and simplistic way - ignoring the causal structure among short-term outcomes and treating all of them as surrogates. However, such methods cannot be well applied to real-world scenarios, in which the partially observed surrogates are mixed with their proxies among short-term outcomes. To this end, we develop our flexible method, Laser, to estimate long-term causal effects in the more realistic situation that the surrogates are observed or have observed proxies.Given the indistinguishability between the surrogates and proxies, we utilize identifiable variational auto-encoder (iVAE) to recover the whole valid surrogates on all the surrogates candidates without the need of distinguishing the observed surrogates or the proxies of latent surrogates. With the help of the recovered surrogates, we further devise an unbiased estimation of long-term causal effects. Extensive experimental results on the real-world and semi-synthetic datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed method.
Long-Term Individual Causal Effect Estimation via Identifiable Latent Representation Learning
School of Computer Science, Guangdong University of Technology（广东工业大学计算机科学学院）；Peng Cheng Laboratory（鹏城实验室）；Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（马尔代夫人工智能大学）；DiDi China Ride Hailing Business Group（滴滴出行（中国）有限公司）
On the Identification of Temporally Causal Representation with Instantaneous Dependence
Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）；Guangdong University of Technology（广东技术大学）；The University of Melbourne（墨尔本大学）
Connecting Surrogate Safety Measures to Crash Probablity via Causal Probabilistic Time Series Prediction
University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；Safe Transportation Research and Education Center（安全交通研究与教育中心）；Institute of Transportation Studies（交通研究所）
Latent Hierarchical Causal Structure Discovery with Rank Constraints
Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；Beijing Technology and Business University（北京工商大学）；Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）
Temporal Latent Variable Structural Causal Model for Causal Discovery under External Interferences
School of Computer Science, Guangdong University of Technology（广东工业大学计算机科学学院）；Peng Cheng Laboratory（鹏城实验室）；Machine Learning Department, Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（Mohamed bin Zayed人工智能大学机器学习系）；College of Mathematics and Computer Science, Shantou University（汕头大学数学与计算机科学学院）
LacaDM: A Latent Causal Diffusion Model for Multiobjective Reinforcement Learning
School of Information Science and Technology, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies（广东外语大学信息科学与技术学院）；School of Engineering, Westlake University（西湖大学工程学院）
Causal Multi-fidelity Surrogate Forward and Inverse Models for ICF Implosions
Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory（洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室理论 division）；Computer, Computational, and Statistical Sciences Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory（洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室计算机、计算与统计科学 division）
Time Series Domain Adaptation via Latent Invariant Causal Mechanism
School of Computer Science, Guangdong University of Technology（广东工业大学计算机学院）；Peng Cheng Laboratory（鹏城实验室）；School of Computing, Guangdong University of Technology（广东工业大学计算机学院）；Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）；Institute for Infocomm Research, A*STAR（新加坡科技研究局信息通信研究所）；Centre for Frontier AI Research, A*STAR（新加坡科技研究局前沿人工智能研究中心）；Department of Computer Science and Technology, Tsinghua University（清华大学计算机科学与技术系）
Understanding the Mechanics of SPIGOT: Surrogate Gradients for Latent Structure Learning
Instituto de Telecomunicações（电信研究所）；Instituto Superior Técnico（高等技术研究所）；Informatics Institute（信息研究所）；University of Amsterdam（阿姆斯特丹大学）；LUMLIS (Lisbon ELLIS Unit)（里斯本ELLIS单元LUMLIS）；Unbabel（Unbabel公司）
Differentiable Causal Discovery For Latent Hierarchical Causal Models
University of California San Diego（加利福尼亚大学圣迭戈分校）；Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）
Identification of Causal Structure with Latent Variables Based on Higher Order Cumulants
Guangdong University of Technology（广东工业大学）；Peng Cheng Laboratory（鹏城实验室）；Shantou University（汕头大学）；Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）
Identification of Nonlinear Latent Hierarchical Models
Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；University of California San Diego（加州大学圣迭戈分校）；Beijing Technology and Business University（北京工商大学）；Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）
Causal Discovery with Latent Confounders Based on Higher-Order Cumulants
Guangdong University of Technology（广东工业大学）；Peng Cheng Laboratory（鹏城实验室）；Shantou University（汕头大学）；Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）
Identifiable Latent Polynomial Causal Models Through the Lens of Change
Australian Institute for Machine Learning, The University of Adelaide（阿德莱德大学澳大利亚机器学习研究所）；School of Computer Science and Engineering, The University of New South Wales（新南威尔士大学计算机科学与工程学院）；School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne（墨尔本大学数学与统计学院）；Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）；Halicioğlu Data Science Institute (HDSI), University of California San Diego（加州大学圣地亚哥分校哈利西奥格鲁数据科学研究所）；Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）
LNML-based Causal Discovery with Latent Confounders: Theory and Experiments
Graduate School of Information Science and Technology, The University of Tokyo（东京大学信息科学与技术研究生院）；Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, The University of Tokyo（东京大学文理研究生院）
A Recursive Decomposition Framework for Causal Structure Learning in the Presence of Latent Variables
Shenzhen Institute of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shenzhen, China（深圳先进技术研究院，中国科学院，中国深圳）；College of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, Fudan University, Shanghai, China（复旦大学计算机科学与人工智能学院，中国上海）
Learning Interface Breakup: A Geometry-Conditioned Latent Surrogate for Spray Formation
University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；Technical University of Munich（慕尼黑技术大学）；Istanbul Technology University（伊斯坦布尔技术大学）；University of Texas at Austin（德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校）；University of Cambridge（剑桥大学）；University of Oxford（牛津大学）
Responsible AI Research Centre（负责任人工智能研究中心）；Australian Institute for Machine Learning（澳大利亚机器学习研究所）；School of Computer Science and Engineering（计算机科学与工程学院）；School of Mathematics and Statistics（数学与统计学学院）；Halicioğlu Data Science Institute（Halicioğlu数据科学研究所）；Department of Philosophy（哲学系）
University of Cambridge（剑桥大学）；Mila, Université de Montréal（蒙特利尔大学米拉（Mila）实验室）；Alan Turing Institute（艾伦·图灵研究所）；Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems（马克斯·普朗克智能系统研究所）
