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arXiv 2207.03032math.STstat.TH
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具有独立增量的归一化随机测度的大样本渐近分析

Large sample asymptotic analysis for normalized random measures with independent increments

Junxi Zhang, Yaozhong Hu

摘要:

具有独立增量的归一化随机测度代表了一大类贝叶斯非参数先验,并在贝叶斯非参数框架中得到广泛应用。本文通过构造独立增量归一化随机测度(NRMIs)中完全随机测度的Levy强度,给出了NRMIs的后验一致性分析.引入假设的Levy强度分析NRMI的后验一致性,并验证了多个有趣的例子。本文的一个重点是Bernstein-vonMises定理的归一化广义伽玛过程(NGGP)时的真实分布的样本是离散的或连续的。当应用Bernstein-von Mises定理来构造可信集时,除了通常的形式外,在左端点处会有一个额外的偏置项,该偏置项与离散时真实分布的原子数密切相关。我们还讨论了在Bernstein-vonMises收敛下NGGP模型参数估计的影响。最后,为了进一步说明在构造可信集时加入偏差修正的必要性,我们用数值方法说明了当真值分布为离散分布时,偏差修正对可信集覆盖真值的影响。

英文摘要:

Normalized random measures with independent increments represent a large class of Bayesian nonaprametric priors and are widely used in the Bayesian nonparametric framework. In this paper, we provide the posterior consistency analysis for normalized random measures with independent increments (NRMIs) through the corresponding Levy intensities used to characterize the completely random measures in the construction of NRMIs. Assumptions are introduced on the Levy intensities to analyze the posterior consistency of NRMIs and are verified with multiple interesting examples. A focus of the paper is the Bernstein-von Mises theorem for the normalized generalized gamma process (NGGP) when the true distribution of the sample is discrete or continuous. When the Bernstein-von Mises theorem is applied to construct credible sets, in addition to the usual form there will be an additional bias term on the left endpoint closely related to the number of atoms of the true distribution when it is discrete. We also discuss the affect of the estimators for the model parameters of the NGGP under the Bernstein-von Mises convergences. Finally, to further explain the necessity of adding the bias correction in constructing credible sets, we illustrate numerically how the bias correction affects the coverage of the true value by the credible sets when the true distribution is discrete.

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