Importance sampling (IS) is valuable in reducing the variance of Monte Carlo sampling for many areas, including finance, rare event simulation, and Bayesian inference. It is natural and obvious to combine quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods with IS to achieve a faster rate of convergence. However, a naive replacement of Monte Carlo with QMC may not work well. This paper investigates the convergence rates of randomized QMC-based IS for estimating integrals with respect to a Gaussian measure, in which the IS measure is a Gaussian or $t$ distribution. We prove that if the target function satisfies the so-called boundary growth condition and the covariance matrix of the IS density has eigenvalues no smaller than 1, then randomized QMC with the Gaussian proposal has a root mean squared error of $O(N^{-1+ε})$ for arbitrarily small $ε>0$. Similar results of $t$ distribution as the proposal are also established. These sufficient conditions help to assess the effectiveness of IS in QMC. For some particular applications, we find that the Laplace IS, a very general approach to approximate the target function by a quadratic Taylor approximation around its mode, has eigenvalues smaller than 1, making the resulting integrand less favorable for QMC. From this point of view, when using Gaussian distributions as the IS proposal, a change of measure via Laplace IS may transform a favorable integrand into unfavorable one for QMC although the variance of Monte Carlo sampling is reduced. We also give some examples to verify our propositions and warn against naive replacement of MC with QMC under IS proposals. Numerical results suggest that using Laplace IS with $t$ distributions is more robust than that with Gaussian distributions.
One popular way to compute the CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP) decomposition of a tensor is to transform the problem into a sequence of overdetermined least squares subproblems with Khatri-Rao product (KRP) structure involving factor matrices. In this work, based on choosing the factor matrix randomly, we propose a mini-batch stochastic gradient descent method with importance sampling for those special least squares subproblems. Two different sampling strategies are provided. They can avoid forming the full KRP explicitly and computing the corresponding probabilities directly. The adaptive step size ve…
Conditional value at risk (CVaR) is a popular measure for quantifying portfolio risk. Sensitivity analysis of CVaR is very useful in risk management and gradient-based optimization algorithms. In this paper, we study the infinitesimal perturbation analysis estimator for CVaR sensitivity using randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) simulation. We first prove that the RQMC-based estimator is strongly consistent under very mild conditions. Under some technical conditions, RQMC that uses $d$-dimensional points in CVaR sensitivity estimation yields a mean error rate of $O(n^{-1/2-1/(4d-2)+ε})$ for arb…
We consider the problem of estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution with an unknown normalizing constant, and where even the unnormalized target needs to be approximated at finite resolution. Under such an assumption, this work builds upon a recently introduced multi-index Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) ratio estimator, which provably enjoys the complexity improvements of multi-index Monte Carlo (MIMC) and the efficiency of SMC for inference. The present work leverages a randomization strategy to remove bias entirely, which simplifies estimation substantially, particularly i…
This paper focuses on signal processing tasks in which the signal is transformed from the signal space to a higher dimensional coefficient space (also called phase space) using a continuous frame, processed in the coefficient space, and synthesized to an output signal. We show how to approximate such methods, termed phase space signal processing methods, using a Monte Carlo method. As opposed to standard discretizations of continuous frames, based on sampling discrete frames from the continuous system, the proposed Monte Carlo method is directly a quadrature approximation of the continuous fra…
Double-loop randomized quasi-Monte Carlo estimator for nested integration
RWTH Aachen University(亚琛工业大学);King Abdullah University of Science & Technology (KAUST)(阿卜杜拉国王科技大学);University of Nottingham(诺丁汉大学);Karlsruhe Institute of Technology(卡尔斯鲁厄理工学院)
Quasi-Monte Carlo confidence intervals using quantiles of randomized nets
Johann Radon Institute for Computational and Applied Mathematics, ÖAW(约翰·拉多纳计算与应用数学研究所,奥地利科学院);Institute of Fundamental and Transdisciplinary Research, Zhejiang University(浙江大学基础与交叉研究学院)
Multilevel randomized quasi-Monte Carlo estimator for nested integration
RWTH Aachen University(亚琛工业大学);King Abdullah University of Science & Technology (KAUST)(阿卜杜拉国王科技大学);University of Nottingham(诺丁汉大学);Karlsruhe Institute of Technology(卡尔斯鲁厄理工学院)
This position paper summarizes a recently developed research program focused on inference in the context of data centric science and engineering applications, and forecasts its trajectory forward over the next decade. Often one endeavours in this context to learn complex systems in order to make more informed predictions and high stakes decisions under uncertainty. Some key challenges which must be met in this context are robustness, generalizability, and interpretability. The Bayesian framework addresses these three challenges elegantly, while bringing with it a fourth, undesirable feature: i…
Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) sampling can bring orders of magnitude reduction in variance compared to plain Monte Carlo (MC) sampling. The extent of the efficiency gain varies from problem to problem and can be hard to predict. This article presents an R function rhalton that produces scrambled versions of Halton sequences. On some problems it brings efficiency gains of several thousand fold. On other problems, the efficiency gain is minor. The code is designed to make it easy to determine whether a given integrand will benefit from RQMC sampling. An RQMC sample of n points in $[0,1]^d$…
Recently, a Monte Carlo approach was proposed for processing highly redundant continuous frames. In this paper we present and analyze applications of this new theory. The computational complexity of the Monte Carlo method relies on the continuous frame being so called linear volume discretizable (LVD). The LVD property means that the number of samples in the coefficient space required by the Monte Carlo method is proportional to the resolution of the discrete signal. We show in this paper that the continuous wavelet transform (CWT) and the localizing time-frequency transform (LTFT) are LVD. Th…
Quasi-Monte Carlo methods are a way of improving the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods. Digital nets and sequences are one of the low discrepancy point sets used in quasi-Monte Carlo methods. This thesis presents the three new results pertaining to digital nets and sequences: implementing randomized digital nets, finding the distribution of the discrepancy of scrambled digital nets, and obtaining better quality of digital nets through evolutionary computation. Finally, applications of scrambled and non-scrambled digital nets are provided.
A randomized time integrator is suggested for unadjusted Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (uHMC) which involves a very minor modification to the usual Verlet time integrator, and hence, is easy to implement. For target distributions of the form $μ(dx) \propto e^{-U(x)} dx$ where $U: \mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}_{\ge 0}$ is $K$-strongly convex but only $L$-gradient Lipschitz, and initial distributions $ν$ with finite second moment, coupling proofs reveal that an $\varepsilon$-accurate approximation of the target distribution in $L^2$-Wasserstein distance $\boldsymbol{\mathcal{W}}^2$ can be achieved by th…
Dimension-independent convergence rates of randomized nets using median-of-means
Johann Radon Institute for Computational and Applied Mathematics, ÖAW(约翰·拉登计算与应用数学研究所,奥地利科学院);Institute of Fundamental and Transdisciplinary Research, Zhejiang University(浙江大学基础与跨学科研究院)
When Langevin Monte Carlo Meets Randomization: New Sampling Algorithms with Non-asymptotic Error Bounds beyond Log-Concavity and Gradient Lipschitzness
School of Mathematics and Statistics, HNP-LAMA, Central South University(数学与统计学院,HNP-LAMA,中南大学)