Through the analysis of cultural, socioeconomic and academic performance aspects it is possible to map the profile of the students and their motivations to drop out. This article aims to create a computational tool for data visualization that allows drawing the profile of students to support educational institutions managers in the definition of dropout avoidance policies. We present a method to treat data collected by higher education institutions over the years, analyze them to understand the dropout and provide that information to the university and the general public. Eight questions were proposed to clarify the dropout from the Federal University of Espírito Santo, Brazil. The questions were answered through the dashboard that helps to understand the causes of dropout. It is expected that this tool can be used by others educational institutions to draw student profiles contributing to possible resolution of the problem.
Early Academic Capital as the Causal Origin of Dropout in Constrained Educational Systems -- Evidence from Longitudinal Data and Structural Causal Models
Each year, roughly 30% of first-year students at US baccalaureate institutions do not return for their second year and over $9 billion is spent educating these students. Yet, little quantitative research has analyzed the causes and possible remedies for student attrition. Here, we describe initial efforts to model student dropout using the largest known dataset on higher education attrition, which tracks over 32,500 students' demographics and transcript records at one of the nation's largest public universities. Our results highlight several early indicators of student attrition and show that …
When Administrative Networks Fail: Curriculum Structure, Early Performance, and the Limits of Co-enrolment Social Synchrony for Dropout Prediction in Engineering Education
One of the long term goals of any college or university is increasing the student retention. The negative impact of student dropout are clear to students, parents, universities and society. The positive effect of decreasing student attrition is also self-evident including higher chance of having a better career and higher standard of life for college graduate. In view of these reasons, directors in higher education feel increasingly pressurized to outline and implement strategies to increase student retention. In this paper, we provide a detailed analysis of the student attrition problem and u…
We present a novel learning analytics approach, for analyzing the usage of resources in MOOCs. Our target stakeholders are the course designers who aim to evaluate their learning materials. In order to gain insight into the way educational resources are used, we view dropout behaviour in an atypical manner: Instead of using it as an indicator of failure, we use it as a mean to compute other features. For this purpose, we developed a prototype, called RUAF, that can be applied to the data format provided by FutureLearn. As a proof of concept, we perform a study by applying this tool to the inte…
With the rapid emergence of K-12 online learning platforms, a new era of education has been opened up. It is crucial to have a dropout warning framework to preemptively identify K-12 students who are at risk of dropping out of the online courses. Prior researchers have focused on predicting dropout in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs), which often deliver higher education, i.e., graduate level courses at top institutions. However, few studies have focused on developing a machine learning approach for students in K-12 online courses. In this paper, we develop a machine learning framework to c…
Student dropout prediction is an indispensable for numerous intelligent systems to measure the education system and success rate of any university as well as throughout the university in the world. Therefore, it becomes essential to develop efficient methods for prediction of the students at risk of dropping out, enabling the adoption of proactive process to minimize the situation. Thus, this research work propose a prototype machine learning tool which can automatically recognize whether the student will continue their study or drop their study using classification technique based on decision…
Given recent advances in information technology and artificial intelligence, web-based education systems have became complementary and, in some cases, viable alternatives to traditional classroom teaching. The popularity of these systems stems from their ability to make education available to a large demographics (see MOOCs). However, existing systems do not take advantage of the personalization which becomes possible when web-based education is offered: they continue to be one-size-fits-all. In this paper, we aim to provide a first systematic method for designing a personalized web-based educ…
Knowledge tracing and dropout prediction are crucial for online education to estimate students' knowledge states or to prevent dropout rates. While traditional systems interacting with students suffered from data sparsity and overfitting, recent sample-level contrastive learning helps to alleviate this issue. One major limitation of sample-level approaches is that they regard students' behavior interaction sequences as a bundle, so they often fail to encode temporal contexts and track their dynamic changes, making it hard to find optimal representations for knowledge tracing and dropout predic…
University of California, Berkeley（加州大学伯克利分校）；Cornell University（康奈尔大学）
Machine learning (ML) techniques are increasingly prevalent in education, from their use in predicting student dropout, to assisting in university admissions, and facilitating the rise of MOOCs. Given the rapid growth of these novel uses, there is a pressing need to investigate how ML techniques support long-standing education principles and goals. In this work, we shed light on this complex landscape drawing on qualitative insights from interviews with education experts. These interviews comprise in-depth evaluations of ML for education (ML4Ed) papers published in preeminent applied ML confer…
Massive Open Online Courseware (MOOCs) appeared in 2008 and grew considerably in the past decade, now reaching millions of students and professionals all over the world. MOOCs do not replace other educational forms. Instead, they complement them by offering a powerful educational tool that can reach students that, otherwise, would not have access to that information. Nevertheless, designing and implementing a successful MOOC is not straightforward. Simply recording traditional classes is an approach that does not work, since the conditions in which a MOOC student learns are very different from…
Beyond classical and contemporary models: a transformative AI framework for student dropout prediction in distance learning using RAG, Prompt engineering, and Cross-modal fusion
Math is the backbone of any field. Still its a night mare for many. Recent survey proves that many students become dropouts from their higher education due to math courses. ICT is an enchanted word in the contemporary educational environment. It made the learning process more entertaining and almost made the knowledge loss negligible. Adopting the ICT in math courses are still in the infant level. Hence its a challenge placed in front of the IT and academic professionals teaching math to make a suitable ICT tools for math courses to make the learning an amusing experience. In this paper we hav…
With an expansive and ubiquitously available gold mine of educational data, Massive Open Online courses (MOOCs) have become the an important foci of learning analytics research. The hope is that this new surge of development will bring the vision of equitable access to lifelong learning opportunities within practical reach. MOOCs offer many valuable learning experiences to students, from video lectures, readings, assignments and exams, to opportunities to connect and collaborate with others through threaded discussion forums and other Web 2.0 technologies. Nevertheless, despite all this potent…
With the rapid proliferation of the Internet, the area of education has undergone a massive transformation in terms of how students and instructors interact in a classroom. Online learning now takes more than one form, including the use of technology to enhance a face-to-face class, a hybrid class that combines both face-to-face meetings and online work, and fully online courses. Further, online classrooms are usually composed of an online education forum (OEF) where students and instructor discuss open-ended questions for gaining better understanding of the subject. However, empirical studies…
Cross-Institutional Transfer Learning for Educational Models: Implications for Model Performance, Fairness, and Equity
University of Washington（华盛顿大学）；Columbia University（哥伦比亚大学）；University of British Columbia（不列颠哥伦比亚大学）；University of Michigan（密歇根大学）；Cornell University（康奈尔大学）
Science, technology, engineering, and math (STEM) fields play growing roles in national and international economies by driving innovation and generating high salary jobs. Yet, the US is lagging behind other highly industrialized nations in terms of STEM education and training. Furthermore, many economic forecasts predict a rising shortage of domestic STEM-trained professions in the US for years to come. One potential solution to this deficit is to decrease the rates at which students leave STEM-related fields in higher education, as currently over half of all students intending to graduate wit…
The development of technologies of multimedia, linked to that of Internet and democratization of high speed, has made henceforth E-learning possible for learners being in virtual classes and geographically distributed. One benefit to taking course online is that the online course structure is typically more student focused than teacher centered and encouraging more active participation by students in collaborative learning activities. The quality and quantity of asynchronous and synchronous communications are the key elements for E-learning success. A potential problem that has received little…
Cross-Course Generalizability of SRL-Aligned Predictive Models Using Digital Learning Traces
Hector Research Institute of Education Sciences and Psychology, University of Tübingen（教育科学与心理学赫克托研究 institute，图宾根大学）；TU Dortmund University（多特蒙德技术大学）；University of North-Carolina, Chapel Hill（北卡罗来纳大学教堂山分校）；University of California, Irvine（加州大学尔湾分校）；Ruhr University Bochum（波鸿鲁尔大学）
