We describe realistic observing scenarios for early warning detection of binary neutron star mergers with the current generation of ground-based gravitational-wave detectors as these approach design sensitivity. Using Fisher analysis, we estimate that Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo will detect one signal before merger in their fourth observing run provided they maintain a 70\% duty cycle. 60\% of all observations and 8\% of those detectable 20 seconds before merger will be localized to $\lesssim 100 \thinspace \mathrm{deg}^2$. If KAGRA is able to achieve a 25 Mpc horizon, these prospects increase to $\lesssim 2$ early detections with 70\% of all BNS localized to $\lesssim 100 \thinspace \mathrm{deg}^2$ by merger. As the AHKLV network approaches design sensitivity over the next $\sim10$ years, we expect up to 1 (14) detections made 100 (10) seconds before merger. Although adding detectors to the HLV network impacts the detection rate at $\lesssim 50\%$ level, it improves localization prospects and increases the completeness of compact binary surveys. Given uncertainties in sensitivities, participating detectors, and duty cycles, we consider 103 future detector configurations so electromagnetic observers can tailor preparations towards their preferred models.
Pre-merger gravitational-wave (GW) sky-localisation of binary neutron star (BNS) and neutron star black hole (NSBH) coalescence events, would enable telescopes to capture precursors and electromagnetic (EM) emissions around the time of the merger. We propose a novel astrophysical scenario that could provide early-warning times of hours to days before coalescence with sub-arcsecond localisation, provided that these events are gravitationally lensed. The key idea is that if the BNS/NSBH is lensed, then so must the host galaxy identified via the EM counterpart. From the angular separation of the …
Binary neutron stars (BNSs) will spend $\simeq 10$ -- 15 minutes in the band of Advanced LIGO and Virgo detectors at design sensitivity. Matched-filtering of gravitational-wave (GW) data could in principle accumulate enough signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) to identify a forthcoming event tens of seconds before the companions collide and merge. Here we report on the design and testing of an early warning gravitational-wave detection pipeline. Early warning alerts can be produced for sources that are at low enough redshift so that a large enough SNR accumulates $\sim 10 - 60\,\rm s$ before merger. We…
The pre-merger (early-warning) gravitational-wave (GW) detection and localization of a compact binary merger would enable astronomers to capture potential electromagnetic (EM) emissions around the time of the merger, thus shedding light on the complex physics of the merger. While early detection and sky localization are of primary importance to the multimessenger follow-up of the event, improved estimates of luminosity distance and orbital inclination could also provide insights on the observability of the EM emission. In this work, we demonstrate that the inclusion of higher modes of gravitat…
We investigated the detection rates and early warning parameters of binary neutron star (BNS) populations with decihertz gravitational-wave observatories in a realistic detecting strategy. Assuming 4 years' operation of B-DECIGO, we based on parameter precision to classify the detectable BNSs into three categories: (a) sources that merge within 1 year, which could be localized with an uncertainty of $ΔΩ\sim 10^{0}$ deg$^2$; (b) sources that merge in 1-4 years, which take up three quarters of the total events and yield the most precise angular resolution with $ΔΩ\sim 10^{-2}$ deg$^2$ and time-o…
Gravitational-wave observations became commonplace in Advanced LIGO-Virgo's recently concluded third observing run. 56 non-retracted candidates were identified and publicly announced in near real time. Gravitational waves from binary neutron star mergers, however, remain of special interest since they can be precursors to high-energy astrophysical phenomena like $γ$-ray bursts and kilonovae. While late-time electromagnetic emissions provide important information about the astrophysical processes within, the prompt emission along with gravitational waves uniquely reveals the extreme matter and …
A gravitational-wave (GW) early-warning of a compact-binary coalescence event, with a sufficiently tight localisation skymap, would allow telescopes to point in the direction of the potential electromagnetic counterpart before its onset. This will enable astronomers to extract valuable information of the complex astrophysical phenomena triggered around the time of the merger. Use of higher-modes of gravitational radiation, in addition to the dominant mode typically used in templated real-time searches, was recently shown to produce significant improvements in early-warning times and skyarea lo…
We present the prospects for the early (pre-merger) detection and localization of compact-binary coalescences using gravitational waves over the next 10 years. Early warning can enable the direct observation of the prompt and early electromagnetic emission of a neutron star merger. We examine the capabilities of the ground based detectors at their "Design" sensitivity (2021-2022), the planned "A+" upgrade (2024-2026), and the envisioned "Voyager" concept (late 2020's). We find that for a fiducial rate of binary neutron star mergers of $1000 ~\mathrm{Gpc}^{-3} \mathrm{yr}^{-1}$, the Design, A+,…
PyCBC Live Search for Compact Binary Mergers in Advanced LIGO and Virgo's Fourth Observing Run
University of Maryland, College Park（马里兰大学帕克分校）；Institute for Cosmology and Gravitation, University of Portsmouth（朴茨茅斯宇宙学与引力研究所，朴茨茅斯大学）；Université Paris-Saclay, CNRS/IN2P3, IJCLab（巴黎-萨克雷大学，法国国家科学研究中心/欧洲核子研究学院，IJCLab）；Instituto Galego de Física de Altas Enerxías, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela（加利西亚高能物理研究所，圣地亚哥-德孔波斯特拉大学）
本文改进了 PyCBC Live 低延迟搜索管道，用于 LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA 第四次观测运行（O4），通过增强排名统计量、优化信噪比恢复和实现预警搜索，将灵敏度提高 1.7-2.3 倍，并实现 2.5-3.5 秒延迟的并合前预警。
The observation of the shadows cast by the event horizon of black holes on the light emitted in its neighborhood is the target of current very-long-baseline-interferometric observations. When considering supermassive black holes, the light source is the black hole's accretion disk, and therefore, the observation of the shadow may reveal information about the black hole and the accretion flow. We here study the shadows cast by stellar-mass black holes that are illuminated not by an accretion disk but by a stellar companion in a wide binary orbit. We calculate the shadows produced in such a conf…
The Parkes telescope has been monitoring 286 radio pulsars approximately monthly since 2007 at an observing frequency of 1.4 GHz. The wide dispersion measure (DM) range of the pulsar sample and the uniformity of the observing procedure make the data-set extremely valuable for studies of flux density variability and the interstellar medium. Here, we present flux density measurements and modulation indices of these pulsars over this period. We derive the structure function from the light curves and discuss the contributions to it from measurement noise, intrinsic variability and interstellar sci…
Massive black hole binaries (MBHBs) of $10^5 \, \rm M_\odot - 3 \times 10^7 \, \rm M_\odot $ merging in low redshift galaxies ($z\le4$) are sufficiently loud to be detected weeks before coalescence with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA). This allows us to perform the parameter estimation $on$ $the$ $fly$, i.e. as a function of the time to coalescence during the inspiral phase, relevant for early warning of the planned LISA protected periods and for searches of electromagnetic signals. In this work, we study the evolution of the sky position, luminosity distance, chirp mass and mass…
We discuss the potential of detecting thermal neutrinos from matter-rich binary mergers, via a decades-long multi-messenger campaign involving a Mt-scale water Cherenkov neutrino detector and one or more next generation gravitational wave detectors, capable of observing mergers up to redshift $z\sim 2$. The search of neutrinos in time-coincidence with gravitational wave detections will allow to identify single neutrinos from individual mergers above the background, and to study their distributions in energy, redshift and type (double neutron-star or neutron-star-black hole merger) of the candi…
XMM-Newton has deeply changed our picture of X-ray emission of hot, massive stars. High-resolution X-ray spectroscopy as well as monitoring of these objects helped us gain a deeper insight into the physics of single massive stars with or without magnetic fields, as well as of massive binary systems, where the stellar winds of both stars interact. These observations also revealed a number of previously unexpected features that challenge our understanding of the dynamics of the stellar winds of massive stars. I briefly summarize the results obtained over the past 15 years and highlight the persp…
Gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) were first detected thanks to their prompt emission, which was the only information available for decades. In 2010, while the high-energy prompt emission remains the main tool for the detection and the first localization of GRB sources, our understanding of this crucial phase of GRBs has made great progress. We discuss some recent advances in this field, like the occasional detection of the prompt emission at all wavelengths, from optical to GeV; the existence of sub-luminous GRBs; the attempts to standardize GRBs; and the possible detection of polarization in two very …
Galaxy mergers produce supermassive black hole binaries, which emit gravitational waves prior to their coalescence. We perform three-dimensional hydrodynamic simulations to study the tidal disruption of stars by such a binary in the final centuries of its life. We find that the gas stream of the stellar debris moves chaotically in the binary potential and forms accretion disks around both black holes. The accretion light curve is modulated over the binary orbital period owing to relativistic beaming. This periodic signal allows to detect the decay of the binary orbit due to gravitational wave …
The conventional view of stellar-mass binary black hole (sBBH) mergers is that there should not be enough matter present to produce a detectable electromagnetic transient. However, there ARE a number of mechanisms for producing such a counterpart through accretion of matter from various reserves, charged black holes, or interactions with magnetic or exotic fields. After reviewing these mechanisms, we describe what we can learn from multi-messenger observations of sBBH mergers in the areas of stellar evolution and compact binary formation, cosmological measurements, searches for charged black h…
