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arXiv 2201.10258astro-ph.COgr-qc
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黑洞并合质量分布的时间演化检验

Testing time evolution of the mass distribution of the black hole mergers

So Okano, Teruaki Suyama

摘要:

对引力波事件的探测表明,在宇宙的年龄范围内,有许多黑洞(BH)双星可以合并。虽然这样的二进制数的形成通道是已知的,相当大的理论不确定性与每个通道击败了强大的预测有多少每个通道有助于总合并率密度。鉴于在某些通道中合并率密度的时间演化(完全或几乎)独立于BH质量,从观测数据中澄清这一特征将有助于了解BH双星的性质。在此基础上,我们制定了一个方法来进行统计检验的质量分布的BH合并是否随着时间的推移而演变的假设检验。我们的统计测试既不需要先验规范的质量分布,这在很大程度上是不确定的,也不是合并率的时间依赖性。然后,我们将其应用到模拟数据的合并率密度的一些具体的形状,并表明该方法拒绝/(不拒绝)零假设正确的大样本量。在此验证之后,该方法被应用于LIGO-Virgo第三次观测运行期间获得的引力波事件目录。我们发现,选择偏差降低了我们的方法的有效性,由于O3目录的合并事件,我们可以探索的数量和最大红移的减少。在该方法可以应用的范围内,没有表明合并率密度的质量分布的时间演化。这种限制将在未来的观测中得到缓解,包含更多的事件,我们的假设检验将有助于确定合并率密度是否随着时间的推移独立于BH质量的演变。

英文摘要:

The detection of gravitational-wave events revealed that there are numerous populations of black hole (BH) binaries that can merge within the age of the Universe. Although several formation channels of such binaries are known, considerable theoretical uncertainties associated with each channel defeat the robust prediction of how much each channel contributes to the total merger rate density. Given that the time evolution of the merger rate density in some channels is (exactly or nearly) independent of BH masses, clarifying this feature from observational data will shed some light on the nature of BH binaries. On the basis of this motivation, we formulate a methodology to perform a statistical test of whether the mass distribution of BH mergers evolves over time by hypothesis testing. Our statistical test requires neither a priori specification of the mass distribution, which is largely uncertain, nor that of the time dependence of merger rate. We then apply it to mock data for some concrete shapes of the merger rate density and show that the proposed method rejects/(does not reject) the null hypothesis correctly for a large sample size. After this verification, the method is applied to a catalog of the gravitational-wave events obtained during the LIGO-Virgo's third observing run. We find that the selection bias degrades the effectiveness of our method for the O3 catalog owing to the reduction in the number of and the maximum redshifts of the merger events that we can explore. Within the range where the method can be applied, there is no indication of the time evolution of the mass distribution of merger rate density. This limitation will be eased in future observations containing more events, and our hypothesis testing will help determine whether the merger rate density evolves over time independently of BH masses.

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