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arXiv 2109.02787econ.GNq-fin.EC
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基于增长核算框架的伊朗经济增长主要因素识别

Identifying the Main Factors of Iran's Economic Growth using Growth Accounting Framework

Mohammadreza Mahmoudi

摘要:

本文旨在利用世界银行、麦迪逊数据银行、伊朗统计中心和伊朗中央银行的数据,对1950年至2018年伊朗经济增长进行实证分析。结果显示,在此期间,人均国内生产总值(GDP)每年增长2%,但这一指标随着时间的推移有很大的波动。此外,伊朗的经济增长与石油收入之间存在着密切的关系。事实上,每当石油危机发生时,经济增长率和其他指标都会随之出现大幅波动。尽管工业和服务业等其他部门在国内生产总值中所占的份额随着时间的推移而增加,但石油部门仍然在伊朗的经济增长中发挥着关键作用。此外,增长核算分析表明,资本的贡献在伊朗的经济增长中发挥了重要作用。此外,根据增长核算框架,伊朗经济的稳定状态有效资本为4.27。

英文摘要:

This paper aims to present empirical analysis of Iranian economic growth from 1950 to 2018 using data from the World Bank, Madison Data Bank, Statistical Center of Iran, and Central Bank of Iran. The results show that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capital increased by 2 percent annually during this time, however this indicator has had a huge fluctuation over time. In addition, the economic growth of Iran and oil revenue have close relationship with each other. In fact, whenever oil crises happen, great fluctuation in growth rate and other indicators happened subsequently. Even though the shares of other sectors like industry and services in GDP have increased over time, the oil sector still plays a key role in the economic growth of Iran. Moreover, growth accounting analysis shows contribution of capital plays a significant role in economic growth of Iran. Furthermore, based on growth accounting framework the steady state of effective capital is 4.27 for Iran's economy.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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