arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2108.07709cs.CYcs.LG
收藏

自适应最小匹配k近邻在健康专业教育中识别高风险学生的应用

The application of adaptive minimum match k-nearest neighbors to identify at-risk students in health professions education

MGH Institute of Health Professions(MGH卫生职业学院)

Anshul Kumar, Taylor DiJohnson, Roger Edwards, Lisa Walker

AI总结:

本研究应用自适应最小匹配k近邻算法,利用早期评估数据提前一年预测医师助理认证考试风险,LOOCV准确率93%,助力分层干预。

摘要:

目的:当学习者未能达到某个里程碑时,教育工作者常常会思考是否曾有过任何预警信号,使他们能够更早进行干预。机器学习可以预测哪些学生在高风险认证考试中有失败的风险。如果能够在考试前提前做出预测,那么教育工作者就可以在学生参加考试之前进行有意义的干预,以降低不及格分数的可能性。方法:利用已收集的来自医师助理研究硕士项目五个 cohort 的第一年学生评估数据,作者实施了一种“自适应最小匹配”版本的 k 近邻算法(AMMKNN),使用变化的邻居数量来预测每位学生未来在医师助理国家认证考试(PANCE)中的考试成绩。验证以两种方式进行:留一交叉验证(LOOCV)以及在新 cohort 中评估预测。结果:AMMKNN 在 LOOCV 中达到了 93% 的准确率。AMMKNN 为每位学生生成一个预测的 PANCE 分数,时间是在他们预定参加考试前一年。然后可以将学生分为额外支持、可选额外支持或无额外支持组。教育工作者随后有一年的时间来为每类学生提供适当的定制支持。结论:预测分析可以识别高风险学生,以便他们在准备高风险认证考试时获得额外的支持或补救。教育工作者可以使用所提供的方法和代码来生成学生的预测考试成绩。作者建议教育工作者负责任且透明地使用这种方法或类似的预测方法,将其作为支持学生的众多工具之一。

英文摘要:

Purpose: When a learner fails to reach a milestone, educators often wonder if there had been any warning signs that could have allowed them to intervene sooner. Machine learning can predict which students are at risk of failing a high-stakes certification exam. If predictions can be made well in advance of the exam, then educators can meaningfully intervene before students take the exam to reduce the chances of a failing score. Methods: Using already-collected, first-year student assessment data from five cohorts in a Master of Physician Assistant Studies program, the authors implement an "adaptive minimum match" version of the k-nearest neighbors algorithm (AMMKNN), using changing numbers of neighbors to predict each student's future exam scores on the Physician Assistant National Certifying Examination (PANCE). Validation occurred in two ways: Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) and evaluating the predictions in a new cohort. Results: AMMKNN achieved an accuracy of 93% in LOOCV. AMMKNN generates a predicted PANCE score for each student, one year before they are scheduled to take the exam. Students can then be classified into extra support, optional extra support, or no extra support groups. The educator then has one year to provide the appropriate customized support to each category of student. Conclusions: Predictive analytics can identify at-risk students, so they can receive additional support or remediation when preparing for high-stakes certification exams. Educators can use the included methods and code to generate predicted test outcomes for students. The authors recommend that educators use this or similar predictive methods responsibly and transparently, as one of many tools used to support students.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑