Selecting an appropriate clustering method as well as an optimal number of clusters in road accident data is at times confusing and difficult. This paper analyzes shortcomings of different existing techniques applied to cluster accident-prone areas and recommends using Density-Based Spatial Clustering of Applications with Noise (DBSCAN) and Ordering Points To Identify the Clustering Structure (OPTICS) to overcome them. Comparative performance analysis based on real-life data on the recorded cases of road accidents in North Carolina also show more effectiveness and efficiency achieved by these algorithms.
Virginia Tech（弗吉尼亚理工大学）；Virginia Tech Transportation Institute（弗吉尼亚理工交通研究所）；San Diego State University（圣地亚哥州立大学）
In this paper we adopted state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms, namely: random forest (RF) and least squares boosting, to model crash data and identify the optimum model to study the impact of narrow lanes on the safety of arterial roads. Using a ten-year crash dataset in four cities in Nebraska, two machine learning models were assessed based on the prediction error. The RF model was identified as the best model. The RF was used to compute the importance of the lane width predictors in our regression model based on two different measures. Subsequently, the RF model was used to simulate…
Road crashes are the sixth leading cause of lost disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) worldwide. One major challenge in traffic safety research is the sparsity of crashes, which makes it difficult to achieve a fine-grain understanding of crash causations and predict future crash risk in a timely manner. Hard-braking events have been widely used as a safety surrogate due to their relatively high prevalence and ease of detection with embedded vehicle sensors. As an alternative to using sensors fixed in vehicles, this paper presents a scalable approach for detecting hard-braking events using th…
Michigan State University（密歇根州立大学）；Pacific Northwest National Laboratory（太平洋西北国家实验室）
Causal analysis and classification of injury severity applying non-parametric methods for traffic crashes has received limited attention. This study presents a methodological framework for causal inference, using Granger causality analysis, and injury severity classification of traffic crashes, occurring on interstates, with different machine learning techniques including decision trees (DT), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and deep neural network (DNN). The data used in this study were obtained for traffic crashes on all interstates across the state of Texas from a pe…
From Canopy to Collision: A Hybrid Predictive Framework for Identifying Risk Factors in Tree-Involved Traffic Crashes
Department of Civil Engineering（土木工程系）；Rajshahi University of Engineering & Technology（拉贾沙希工程与技术大学）；Traffic Safety Group（交通安全组）；Multimodal Planning Division (MPD)（多模式规划部门）；Arizona Department of Transportation (ADOT)（亚利桑那州交通部门）；Texas Southern University（德克萨斯南方大学）
University of Louisiana at Lafayette（路易斯安那大学拉法叶分校）；Bangladesh University of Engineering and Technology（孟加拉国工程技术大学）；Rajshahi Science & Technology University（拉杰沙希科技大学）；Auburn University（奥本大学）
More than half of all fatalities on U.S. highways occur due to roadway departure (RwD) each year. Previous research has explored various risk factors that contribute to RwD crashes, however, a comprehensive investigation considering the effect of lighting conditions has been insufficiently addressed. Using the Louisiana Department of Transportation and Development crash database, fatal and injury RwD crashes occurring on rural two-lane (R2L) highways between 2008-2017 were analyzed based on daylight and dark (with/without streetlight). This research employed a safe system approach to explore m…
MSCT: Addressing Time-Varying Confounding with Marginal Structural Causal Transformer for Counterfactual Post-Crash Traffic Prediction
School of Transportation, Southeast University（东南大学交通学院）；Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Imperial College London（帝国理工学院土木与环境工程系）；School of Mathematics, Southeast University（东南大学数学学院）；School of Cyber Science and Engineering, Southeast University（东南大学网络空间科学与工程学院）；Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington（华盛顿大学土木与环境工程系）
FZI Research Center for Information Technology（FZI信息技术研究中心）
For the classification of traffic scenes, a description model is necessary that can describe the scene in a uniform way, independent of its domain. A model to describe a traffic scene in a semantic way is described in this paper. The description model allows to describe a traffic scene independently of the road geometry and road topology. Here, the traffic participants are projected onto the road network and represented as nodes in a graph. Depending on the relative location between two traffic participants with respect to the road topology, semantically classified edges are created between th…
Imperial College London（帝国理工学院）；TRL Software Limited（TRL软件有限公司）；University of Bath（巴斯大学）
Efficient and accurate incident prediction in spatio-temporal systems is critical to minimize service downtime and optimize performance. This work aims to utilize historic data to predict and diagnose incidents using spatio-temporal forecasting. We consider the specific use case of road traffic systems where incidents take the form of anomalous events, such as accidents or broken-down vehicles. To tackle this, we develop a neural model, called RadNet, which forecasts system parameters such as average vehicle speeds for a future timestep. As such systems largely follow daily or weekly periodici…
FZI Research Center for Information Technology（FZI信息技术研究中心）
Driving on roads is restricted by various traffic rules, aiming to ensure safety for all traffic participants. However, human road users usually do not adhere to these rules strictly, resulting in varying degrees of rule conformity. Such deviations from given rules are key components of today's road traffic. In autonomous driving, robotic agents can disturb traffic flow, when rule deviations are not taken into account. In this paper, we present an approach to derive the distribution of degrees of rule conformity from human driving data. We demonstrate our method with the Waymo Open Motion data…
Informed along the road: roadway capacity driven graph convolution network for network-wide traffic prediction
Tandon School of Engineering, New York University（纽约大学工程学院）；State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, University of Macau（澳门大学物联网智能城市国家重点实验室）
TECNALIA, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA)（TECNALIA，巴斯克研究与技术联盟）；University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU)（巴斯克大学）
Traffic forecasting models rely on data that needs to be sensed, processed, and stored. This requires the deployment and maintenance of traffic sensing infrastructure, often leading to unaffordable monetary costs. The lack of sensed locations can be complemented with synthetic data simulations that further lower the economical investment needed for traffic monitoring. One of the most common data generative approaches consists of producing real-like traffic patterns, according to data distributions from analogous roads. The process of detecting roads with similar traffic is the key point of the…
Bridging Traffic State and Trajectory for Dynamic Road Network and Trajectory Representation Learning
School of Computer Science and Engineering, Beihang University（北京航空航天大学计算机科学与工程学院）；School of Economics and Management, Beihang University（北京航空航天大学经济管理学院）；Shenzhen Institute of Beihang University（北京航空航天大学深圳研究院）
The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in significant social and economic impacts throughout the world. In addition to the health consequences, the impacts on traffic behaviors have also been sudden and dramatic. We have analyzed how the road traffic safety of New York City, Los Angeles, and Boston in the U.S. have been impacted by the pandemic and corresponding local government orders and restrictions. To be specific, we have studied the accident hotspots' distributions before and after the outbreak of the pandemic and found that traffic accidents have shifted in both location and time compared t…
From Narratives to Probabilistic Reasoning: Predicting and Interpreting Drivers' Hazardous Actions in Crashes Using Large Language Model
University of Michigan-Dearborn（密歇根大学迪尔伯恩分校）；University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute（密歇根大学交通研究所）；Toyota Motor Engineering & Manufacturing North America, Inc.（丰田汽车工程与制造北美公司）；Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology（韩国科学技术院）
Clemson University（克莱姆森大学）；Northern Arizona University（北亚利桑那大学）；The University of Arizona（亚利桑那大学）；Arizona Department of Transportation（亚利桑那州交通局）；Exponent Co（Exponent公司）
Driving safety analysis has recently experienced unprecedented improvements thanks to technological advances in precise positioning sensors, artificial intelligence (AI)-based safety features, autonomous driving systems, connected vehicles, high-throughput computing, and edge computing servers. Particularly, deep learning (DL) methods empowered volume video processing to extract safety-related features from massive videos captured by roadside units (RSU). Safety metrics are commonly used measures to investigate crashes and near-conflict events. However, these metrics provide limited insight in…
Deep neural networks have recently demonstrated the traffic prediction capability with the time series data obtained by sensors mounted on road segments. However, capturing spatio-temporal features of the traffic data often requires a significant number of parameters to train, increasing computational burden. In this work we demonstrate that embedding topological information of the road network improves the process of learning traffic features. We use a graph of a vehicular road network with recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to infer the interaction between adjacent road segments as well as the…
Due to urbanization and the increase of individual mobility, in most metropolitan areas around the world congestion and inefficient traffic management occur. Highly necessary intelligent traffic control systems, which are able to reduce congestion, rely on measurements of traffic situations in urban road networks and freeways. Unfortunately, the instrumentation for accurate traffic measurement is expensive and not widely implemented. This thesis addresses this problem, where relatively inexpensive and easy to install loop-detectors are used by a geometric deep learning algorithm, which uses lo…
Faculty of Engineering（工学院）；University of Tsukuba（筑波大学）；Toyota Motor Corporation（丰田汽车公司）
Reservoir computing derived from recurrent neural networks is more applicable to real world systems than deep learning because of its low computational cost and potential for physical implementation. Specifically, physical reservoir computing, which replaces the dynamics of reservoir units with physical phenomena, has recently received considerable attention. In this study, we propose a method of exploiting the dynamics of road traffic as a reservoir, and numerically confirm its feasibility by applying several prediction tasks based on a simple mathematical model of the traffic flow.
L3S Research Center（L3S研究中心）；Leibniz University Hannover（莱布尼茨汉诺威大学）；University of Bonn（波恩大学）
The discovery of spatio-temporal dependencies within urban road networks that cause Recurrent Congestion (RC) patterns is crucial for numerous real-world applications, including urban planning and scheduling of public transportation services. While most existing studies investigate temporal patterns of RC phenomena, the influence of the road network topology on RC is often overlooked. This article proposes the ST-Discovery algorithm, a novel unsupervised spatio-temporal data mining algorithm that facilitates the effective data-driven discovery of RC dependencies induced by the road network top…
Intelligent transport systems have efficiently and effectively proved themselves in settling up the problem of traffic congestion around the world. The multi-agent based transportation system is one of the most important intelligent transport systems, which represents an interaction among the neighbouring vehicles, drivers, roads, infrastructure and vehicles. In this paper, two traffic management models have been created to mitigate congestion and to ensure that emergency vehicles arrive as quickly as possible. A tool-chain SUMO-JADE is employed to create a microscopic simulation symbolizing t…
Scaling adaptive traffic-signal control involves dealing with combinatorial state and action spaces. Multi-agent reinforcement learning attempts to address this challenge by distributing control to specialized agents. However, specialization hinders generalization and transferability, and the computational graphs underlying neural-networks architectures -- dominating in the multi-agent setting -- do not offer the flexibility to handle an arbitrary number of entities which changes both between road networks, and over time as vehicles traverse the network. We introduce Inductive Graph Reinforcem…
Know Unreported Roadway Incidents in Real-time: Early Traffic Anomaly Detection
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University（土木与环境工程系，卡内基梅隆大学）；Heinz College, Carnegie Mellon University（海因兹学院，卡内基梅隆大学）
Mediamobile（Mediamobile 公司）；Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse（图卢兹数学研究所）；INSA（法国国立应用科学学院）
In this paper, we propose deep learning architectures (FNN, CNN and LSTM) to forecast a regression model for time dependent data. These algorithm's are designed to handle Floating Car Data (FCD) historic speeds to predict road traffic data. For this we aggregate the speeds into the network inputs in an innovative way. We compare the RMSE thus obtained with the results of a simpler physical model, and show that the latter achieves better RMSE accuracy. We also propose a new indicator, which evaluates the algorithms improvement when compared to a benchmark prediction. We conclude by questioning …
Transportation networks are highly complex and the design of efficient traffic management systems is difficult due to lack of adequate measured data and accurate predictions of the traffic states. Traffic simulation models can capture the complex dynamics of transportation networks by using limited available traffic data and can help central traffic authorities in their decision-making, if appropriate input is fed into the simulator. In this paper, we design an integrated simulation-prediction system which estimates the Origin-Destination (OD) matrix of a road network using only flow rate info…
INRIA Saclay（法国国家信息与自动化研究所萨克雷中心）；LRI（计算机研究实验室）；Université Paris Sud（巴黎第十一大学）
We consider the traffic data reconstruction problem. Suppose we have the traffic data of an entire city that are incomplete because some road data are unobserved. The problem is to reconstruct the unobserved parts of the data. In this paper, we propose a new method to reconstruct incomplete traffic data collected from various traffic sensors. Our approach is based on Markov random field modeling of road traffic. The reconstruction is achieved by using mean-field method and a machine learning method. We numerically verify the performance of our method using realistic simulated traffic data for …
