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arXiv 2108.02882physics.ao-phphysics.data-an
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流氓海浪和圣彼得堡悖论

Rogue ocean waves and the St. Petersburg paradox

Paul Johns, Peter Palffy-Muhoray, Jake Fontana

摘要:

几个世纪以来,强大的流氓海浪一直是令人着迷的对象。神秘而令人敬畏,具有造成灾难性破坏的能力,流氓波仍然是不可预测的,也没有得到完全的理解。为了进一步了解它们的行为,我们分析了3,441,188,683个海洋表面波,以确定最大波浪的统计高度分布。我们发现,解决圣彼得堡悖论的罕见事件的分布也描述了最大波的相对高度分布。这一结果将有助于海洋表面动力学的模拟和提高海洋天气预报的准确性。

英文摘要:

Powerful rogue ocean waves have been objects of fascination for centuries. Elusive and awe-inspiring, with the ability to inflict catastrophic damage, rogue waves remain unpredictable and imperfectly understood. To gain further insight into their behavior, we analyzed 3,441,188,683 ocean surface waves in order to determine the statistical height distribution of the largest waves. We found that the distribution of rare events which resolves the St. Petersburg paradox also describes the relative height distribution of the largest waves. This result will contribute to the modeling of ocean surface dynamics and improve the accuracy of marine weather forecasts.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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