arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv周末暂无论文更新,休息一下吧,周末愉快~~
arXiv 2107.03502cs.LGstat.ML

CSDI: Conditional Score-based Diffusion Models for Probabilistic Time Series Imputation

Stanford University(斯坦福大学);Mitsubishi UFJ Trust Investment Technology Institute(三菱日联信托投资技术研究所);Japan Digital Design(日本数字设计公司)

Yusuke Tashiro, Jiaming Song, Yang Song, Stefano Ermon

英文摘要:

The imputation of missing values in time series has many applications in healthcare and finance. While autoregressive models are natural candidates for time series imputation, score-based diffusion models have recently outperformed existing counterparts including autoregressive models in many tasks such as image generation and audio synthesis, and would be promising for time series imputation. In this paper, we propose Conditional Score-based Diffusion models for Imputation (CSDI), a novel time series imputation method that utilizes score-based diffusion models conditioned on observed data. Unlike existing score-based approaches, the conditional diffusion model is explicitly trained for imputation and can exploit correlations between observed values. On healthcare and environmental data, CSDI improves by 40-65% over existing probabilistic imputation methods on popular performance metrics. In addition, deterministic imputation by CSDI reduces the error by 5-20% compared to the state-of-the-art deterministic imputation methods. Furthermore, CSDI can also be applied to time series interpolation and probabilistic forecasting, and is competitive with existing baselines. The code is available at https://github.com/ermongroup/CSDI.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑