arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2106.01792stat.ME
收藏

多元函数型数据的共形预测带

Conformal Prediction Bands for Multivariate Functional Data

Jacopo Diquigiovanni, Matteo Fontana, Simone Vantini

摘要:

出于迫切要求的方法能够创建预测集的一般回归框架的多变量功能响应,并推动了新的方法的进步,非参数预测的功能数据,我们提出了一组共形预测,产生有限样本有效或准确的多变量同时预测波段下的温和假设,可交换的回归对。预测带可以围绕任何回归估计量构建,并且可以很容易地以封闭形式找到,这一事实产生了一种非常广泛可用的方法,并且实现起来相当简单。此外,我们首先介绍,然后描述一个特定的共形预测,保证渐近结果的效率和诱导预测频带能够调制其宽度的基础上的本地行为和幅度的功能数据。该方法进行了调查和分析,通过模拟研究和现实世界中的应用在城市交通领域。

英文摘要:

Motivated by the pressing request of methods able to create prediction sets in a general regression framework for a multivariate functional response and pushed by new methodological advancements in non-parametric prediction for functional data, we propose a set of conformal predictors that produce finite-sample either valid or exact multivariate simultaneous prediction bands under the mild assumption of exchangeable regression pairs. The fact that the prediction bands can be built around any regression estimator and that can be easily found in closed form yields a very widely usable method, which is fairly straightforward to implement. In addition, we first introduce and then describe a specific conformal predictor that guarantees an asymptotic result in terms of efficiency and inducing prediction bands able to modulate their width based on the local behavior and magnitude of the functional data. The method is investigated and analyzed through a simulation study and a real-world application in the field of urban mobility.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑