Modern machine learning systems such as deep neural networks are often highly over-parameterized so that they can fit the noisy training data exactly, yet they can still achieve small test errors in practice. In this paper, we study this "benign overfitting" phenomenon of the maximum margin classifier for linear classification problems. Specifically, we consider data generated from sub-Gaussian mixtures, and provide a tight risk bound for the maximum margin linear classifier in the over-parameterized setting. Our results precisely characterize the condition under which benign overfitting can occur in linear classification problems, and improve on previous work. They also have direct implications for over-parameterized logistic regression.
Rapidly estimating the remaining wall thickness (RWT) is paramount for the non-destructive condition assessment evaluation of large critical metallic pipelines. A robotic vehicle with embedded magnetism-based sensors has been developed to traverse the inside of a pipeline and conduct inspections at the location of a break. However its sensing speed is constrained by the magnetic principle of operation, thus slowing down the overall operation in seeking dense RWT mapping. To ameliorate this drawback, this work proposes the partial scanning of the pipe and then employing Gaussian Processes (GPs)…
AT&T Labs - Research（AT&T实验室-研究部）；Georgia Institute of Technology（佐治亚理工学院）
Given a set of possible models (e.g., Bayesian network structures) and a data sample, in the unsupervised model selection problem the task is to choose the most accurate model with respect to the domain joint probability distribution. In contrast to this, in supervised model selection it is a priori known that the chosen model will be used in the future for prediction tasks involving more ``focused' predictive distributions. Although focused predictive distributions can be produced from the joint probability distribution by marginalization, in practice the best model in the unsupervised sense …
Sony Computer Science Laboratories, Inc.（索尼计算机科学实验室有限公司）；Tokyo（东京）
The traditional Minkowski distances are induced by the corresponding Minkowski norms in real-valued vector spaces. In this work, we propose novel statistical symmetric distances based on the Minkowski's inequality for probability densities belonging to Lebesgue spaces. These statistical Minkowski distances admit closed-form formula for Gaussian mixture models when parameterized by integer exponents. This result extends to arbitrary mixtures of exponential families with natural parameter spaces being cones: This includes the binomial, the multinomial, the zero-centered Laplacian, the Gaussian a…
We introduce a method to learn a mixture of submodular "shells" in a large-margin setting. A submodular shell is an abstract submodular function that can be instantiated with a ground set and a set of parameters to produce a submodular function. A mixture of such shells can then also be so instantiated to produce a more complex submodular function. What our algorithm learns are the mixture weights over such shells. We provide a risk bound guarantee when learning in a large-margin structured-prediction setting using a projected subgradient method when only approximate submodular optimization is…
Mila（米拉研究所）；Université de Montréal（蒙特利尔大学）；SAIT AI Lab（SAIT人工智能实验室）；University of British Columbia（不列颠哥伦比亚大学）；Google Research - Brain Team（谷歌研究-大脑团队）
We study the implicit regularization of optimization methods for linear models interpolating the training data in the under-parametrized and over-parametrized regimes. Since it is difficult to determine whether an optimizer converges to solutions that minimize a known norm, we flip the problem and investigate what is the corresponding norm minimized by an interpolating solution. Using this reasoning, we prove that for over-parameterized linear regression, projections onto linear spans can be used to move between different interpolating solutions. For under-parameterized linear classification, …
We introduce a copula mixture model to perform dependency-seeking clustering when co-occurring samples from different data sources are available. The model takes advantage of the great flexibility offered by the copulas framework to extend mixtures of Canonical Correlation Analysis to multivariate data with arbitrary continuous marginal densities. We formulate our model as a non-parametric Bayesian mixture, while providing efficient MCMC inference. Experiments on synthetic and real data demonstrate that the increased flexibility of the copula mixture significantly improves the clustering and t…
University of Washington（华盛顿大学）；Massachusetts Institute of Technology（麻省理工学院）
We present a Dirichlet process mixture model over discrete incomplete rankings and study two Gibbs sampling inference techniques for estimating posterior clusterings. The first approach uses a slice sampling subcomponent for estimating cluster parameters. The second approach marginalizes out several cluster parameters by taking advantage of approximations to the conditional posteriors. We empirically demonstrate (1) the effectiveness of this approximation for improving convergence, (2) the benefits of the Dirichlet process model over alternative clustering techniques for ranked data, and (3) t…
Forecasting on sparse multivariate time series (MTS) aims to model the predictors of future values of time series given their incomplete past, which is important for many emerging applications. However, most existing methods process MTS's individually, and do not leverage the dynamic distributions underlying the MTS's, leading to sub-optimal results when the sparsity is high. To address this challenge, we propose a novel generative model, which tracks the transition of latent clusters, instead of isolated feature representations, to achieve robust modeling. It is characterized by a newly desig…
Mixture models are an expressive hypothesis class that can approximate a rich set of policies. However, using mixture policies in the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) framework is not straightforward. The entropy of a mixture model is not equal to the sum of its components, nor does it have a closed-form expression in most cases. Using such policies in MaxEnt algorithms, therefore, requires constructing a tractable approximation of the mixture entropy. In this paper, we derive a simple, low-variance mixture-entropy estimator. We show that it is closely related to the sum of marginal entropies. Equippe…
We consider the problem of how a teacher algorithm can enable an unknown Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) student to become good at a skill over a wide range of diverse environments. To do so, we study how a teacher algorithm can learn to generate a learning curriculum, whereby it sequentially samples parameters controlling a stochastic procedural generation of environments. Because it does not initially know the capacities of its student, a key challenge for the teacher is to discover which environments are easy, difficult or unlearnable, and in what order to propose them to maximize the eff…
University of California, Berkeley（加利福尼亚大学伯克利分校）；University of Pennsylvania（宾夕法尼亚大学）
We present the mixture-of-parents maximum entropy Markov model (MoP-MEMM), a class of directed graphical models extending MEMMs. The MoP-MEMM allows tractable incorporation of long-range dependencies between nodes by restricting the conditional distribution of each node to be a mixture of distributions given the parents. We show how to efficiently compute the exact marginal posterior node distributions, regardless of the range of the dependencies. This enables us to model non-sequential correlations present within text documents, as well as between interconnected documents, such as hyperlinked…
Sony Computer Science Laboratories Inc.（索尼计算机科学研究所）
The Jeffreys divergence is a renown symmetrization of the oriented Kullback-Leibler divergence broadly used in information sciences. Since the Jeffreys divergence between Gaussian mixture models is not available in closed-form, various techniques with pros and cons have been proposed in the literature to either estimate, approximate, or lower and upper bound this divergence. In this paper, we propose a simple yet fast heuristic to approximate the Jeffreys divergence between two univariate Gaussian mixtures with arbitrary number of components. Our heuristic relies on converting the mixtures int…
We study reinforcement learning for two-player zero-sum Markov games with simultaneous moves in the finite-horizon setting, where the transition kernel of the underlying Markov games can be parameterized by a linear function over the current state, both players' actions and the next state. In particular, we assume that we can control both players and aim to find the Nash Equilibrium by minimizing the duality gap. We propose an algorithm Nash-UCRL based on the principle "Optimism-in-Face-of-Uncertainty". Our algorithm only needs to find a Coarse Correlated Equilibrium (CCE), which is computatio…
University of Georgia（佐治亚大学）；Zhongnan University of Economics and Law（中南财经政法大学）
Margin-based classifiers have been popular in both machine learning and statistics for classification problems. Since a large number of classifiers are available, one natural question is which type of classifiers should be used given a particular classification task. We answer this question by investigating the asymptotic performance of a family of large-margin classifiers under the two component mixture models in situations where the data dimension $p$ and the sample $n$ are both large. This family covers a broad range of classifiers including support vector machine, distance weighted discrim…
Tree-shaped graphical models are widely used for their tractability. However, they unfortunately lack expressive power as they require committing to a particular sparse dependency structure. We propose a novel class of generative models called mixtures of all trees: that is, a mixture over all possible ($n^{n-2}$) tree-shaped graphical models over $n$ variables. We show that it is possible to parameterize this Mixture of All Trees (MoAT) model compactly (using a polynomial-size representation) in a way that allows for tractable likelihood computation and optimization via stochastic gradient de…
Go With the Flow: Fast Diffusion for Gaussian Mixture Models
Georgia Institute of Technology（佐治亚理工学院）；University of Oklahoma（俄克拉荷马大学）；FAMU-FSU College of Engineering（佛罗里达大学-佛罗里达州立大学工程学院）；Florida State University（佛罗里达州立大学）
We study the problem of sampling from the power posterior distribution in Bayesian Gaussian mixture models, a robust version of the classical posterior. This power posterior is known to be non-log-concave and multi-modal, which leads to exponential mixing times for some standard MCMC algorithms. We introduce and study the Reflected Metropolis-Hastings Random Walk (RMRW) algorithm for sampling. For symmetric two-component Gaussian mixtures, we prove that its mixing time is bounded as $d^{1.5}(d + \Vert θ_{0} \Vert^2)^{4.5}$ as long as the sample size $n$ is of the order $d (d + \Vert θ_{0} \Ver…
Algorithms for clustering points in metric spaces is a long-studied area of research. Clustering has seen a multitude of work both theoretically, in understanding the approximation guarantees possible for many objective functions such as k-median and k-means clustering, and experimentally, in finding the fastest algorithms and seeding procedures for Lloyd's algorithm. The performance of a given clustering algorithm depends on the specific application at hand, and this may not be known up front. For example, a "typical instance" may vary depending on the application, and different clustering he…
University of Rochester（罗切斯特大学）；University of Pennsylvania（宾夕法尼亚大学）
Machine learning frameworks such as graph neural networks typically rely on a given, fixed graph to exploit relational inductive biases and thus effectively learn from network data. However, when said graphs are (partially) unobserved, noisy, or dynamic, the problem of inferring graph structure from data becomes relevant. In this paper, we postulate a graph convolutional relationship between the observed and latent graphs, and formulate the graph learning task as a network inverse (deconvolution) problem. In lieu of eigendecomposition-based spectral methods or iterative optimization solutions,…
MoLF: Mixture-of-Latent-Flow for Pan-Cancer Spatial Gene Expression Prediction from Histology
Translational Surgical Oncology, National Center for Tumor Diseases (NCT/UCC) Dresden, Germany；Faculty of Medicine；University Hospital Carl Gustav Carus, Dresden University of Technology；German Cancer Research Center (DKFZ), Heidelberg, Germany
Time series forecasting is widely used in business intelligence, e.g., forecast stock market price, sales, and help the analysis of data trend. Most time series of interest are macroscopic time series that are aggregated from microscopic data. However, instead of directly modeling the macroscopic time series, rare literature studied the forecasting of macroscopic time series by leveraging data on the microscopic level. In this paper, we assume that the microscopic time series follow some unknown mixture probabilistic distributions. We theoretically show that as we identify the ground truth lat…
