This paper introduces a probabilistic framework to estimate parameters of an acquisition function given observed human behavior that can be modeled as a collection of sample paths from a Bayesian optimization procedure. The methodology involves defining a likelihood on observed human behavior from an optimization task, where the likelihood is parameterized by a Bayesian optimization subroutine governed by an unknown acquisition function. This structure enables us to make inference on a subject's acquisition function while allowing their behavior to deviate around the solution to the Bayesian optimization subroutine. To test our methods, we designed a sequential optimization task which forced subjects to balance exploration and exploitation in search of an invisible target location. Applying our proposed methods to the resulting data, we find that many subjects tend to exhibit exploration preferences beyond that of standard acquisition functions to capture. Guided by the model discrepancies, we augment the candidate acquisition functions to yield a superior fit to the human behavior in this task.
Turn Inc（Turn公司）；Microsoft Inc（微软公司）；Oregon State University（俄勒冈州立大学）
The problem of optimizing unknown costly-to-evaluate functions has been studied for a long time in the context of Bayesian Optimization. Algorithms in this field aim to find the optimizer of the function by asking only a few function evaluations at locations carefully selected based on a posterior model. In this paper, we assume the unknown function is Lipschitz continuous. Leveraging the Lipschitz property, we propose an algorithm with a distinct exploration phase followed by an exploitation phase. The exploration phase aims to select samples that shrink the search space as much as possible. …
Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems（马克斯·普朗克智能系统研究所）；Università degli Studi di Milano（米兰大学）；Université Laval（拉瓦尔大学）；University of Leoben（莱奥本大学）；University College London（伦敦大学学院）
We develop a coherent framework for integrative simultaneous analysis of the exploration-exploitation and model order selection trade-offs. We improve over our preceding results on the same subject (Seldin et al., 2011) by combining PAC-Bayesian analysis with Bernstein-type inequality for martingales. Such a combination is also of independent interest for studies of multiple simultaneously evolving martingales.
University College London（伦敦大学学院）；ETH（苏黎世联邦理工学院）；University of Zürich（苏黎世大学）；Psychiatric Hospital, University of Zürich（苏黎世大学精神病院）；ETH Zürich（苏黎世联邦理工学院）
Exploration-exploitation of functions, that is learning and optimizing a mapping between inputs and expected outputs, is ubiquitous to many real world situations. These situations sometimes require us to avoid certain outcomes at all cost, for example because they are poisonous, harmful, or otherwise dangerous. We test participants' behavior in scenarios in which they have to find the optimum of a function while at the same time avoid outputs below a certain threshold. In two experiments, we find that Safe-Optimization, a Gaussian Process-based exploration-exploitation algorithm, describes par…
Reinforcement learning studies how to balance exploration and exploitation in real-world systems, optimizing interactions with the world while simultaneously learning how the world operates. One general class of algorithms for such learning is the multi-armed bandit setting. Randomized probability matching, based upon the Thompson sampling approach introduced in the 1930s, has recently been shown to perform well and to enjoy provable optimality properties. It permits generative, interpretable modeling in a Bayesian setting, where prior knowledge is incorporated, and the computed posteriors nat…
Can one parallelize complex exploration exploitation tradeoffs? As an example, consider the problem of optimal high-throughput experimental design, where we wish to sequentially design batches of experiments in order to simultaneously learn a surrogate function mapping stimulus to response and identify the maximum of the function. We formalize the task as a multi-armed bandit problem, where the unknown payoff function is sampled from a Gaussian process (GP), and instead of a single arm, in each round we pull a batch of several arms in parallel. We develop GP-BUCB, a principled algorithm for ch…
Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；University of Illinois at Chicago（伊利诺伊大学芝加哥分校）
An online labor platform faces an online learning problem in matching workers with jobs and using the performance on these jobs to create better future matches. This learning problem is complicated by the rise of complex tasks on these platforms, such as web development and product design, that require a team of workers to complete. The success of a job is now a function of the skills and contributions of all workers involved, which may be unknown to both the platform and the client who posted the job. These team matchings result in a structured correlation between what is known about the indi…
We present a generic framework for trading off fidelity and cost in computing stochastic gradients when the costs of acquiring stochastic gradients of different quality are not known a priori. We consider a mini-batch oracle that distributes a limited query budget over a number of stochastic gradients and aggregates them to estimate the true gradient. Since the optimal mini-batch size depends on the unknown cost-fidelity function, we propose an algorithm, {\it EE-Grad}, that sequentially explores the performance of mini-batch oracles and exploits the accumulated knowledge to estimate the one a…
University of Exeter（埃克塞特大学）；Swansea University（斯旺西大学）
The performance of acquisition functions for Bayesian optimisation to locate the global optimum of continuous functions is investigated in terms of the Pareto front between exploration and exploitation. We show that Expected Improvement (EI) and the Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) always select solutions to be expensively evaluated on the Pareto front, but Probability of Improvement is not guaranteed to do so and Weighted Expected Improvement does so only for a restricted range of weights. We introduce two novel $ε$-greedy acquisition functions. Extensive empirical evaluation of these together wi…
Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics（南京航空航天大学）；Collaborative Innovation Center of Novel Software Technology and Industrialization（新型软件技术与产业化协同创新中心）；State Key Laboratory of Aerodynamics（空气动力学国家重点实验室）
In Bayesian optimization (BO) for expensive black-box optimization tasks, acquisition function (AF) guides sequential sampling and plays a pivotal role for efficient convergence to better optima. Prevailing AFs usually rely on artificial experiences in terms of preferences for exploration or exploitation, which runs a risk of a computational waste or traps in local optima and resultant re-optimization. To address the crux, the idea of data-driven AF selection is proposed, and the sequential AF selection task is further formalized as a Markov decision process (MDP) and resort to powerful reinfo…
Systematic Evaluation of Initial States and Exploration-Exploitation Strategies in PID Auto-Tuning: A Framework-Driven Approach Applied on Mobile Robots
Department of Computer Information Systems, Collage of Engineering and Computer Science, University of Michigan-Dearborn（计算机信息系统系，工程与计算机科学学院，密歇根大学迪尔伯恩分校）；Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Collage of Engineering and Computer Science, University of Michigan-Dearborn（电气与计算机工程系，工程与计算机科学学院，密歇根大学迪尔伯恩分校）
We propose Deterministic Sequencing of Exploration and Exploitation (DSEE) algorithm with interleaving exploration and exploitation epochs for model-based RL problems that aim to simultaneously learn the system model, i.e., a Markov decision process (MDP), and the associated optimal policy. During exploration, DSEE explores the environment and updates the estimates for expected reward and transition probabilities. During exploitation, the latest estimates of the expected reward and transition probabilities are used to obtain a robust policy with high probability. We design the lengths of the e…
Comparing Exploration-Exploitation Strategies of LLMs and Humans: Insights from Standard Multi-armed Bandit Experiments
Department of Mechanical & Industrial Engineering, University of Toronto（机械与工业工程系，多伦多大学）；The Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto（罗特曼管理学院，多伦多大学）；Department of Psychiatry, University of Toronto（精神病学系，多伦多大学）
