We study the evolution of the number of retweets received by Twitter users over the course of their "careers" on the platform. We find that on average the number of retweets received by users tends to increase over time. This is partly expected because users tend to gradually accumulate followers. Normalizing by the number of followers, however, reveals that the relative, per-follower retweet rate tends to be non-monotonic, maximized at a "peak age" after which it does not increase, or even decreases. We develop a simple mathematical model of the process behind this phenomenon, which assumes a constantly growing number of followers, each of whom loses interest over time. We show that this model is sufficient to explain the non-monotonic nature of per-follower retweet rates, without any assumptions about the quality of content posted at different times.
The past decade has witnessed a marked increase in the use of social media by politicians, most notably exemplified by the 45th President of the United States (POTUS), Donald Trump. On Twitter, POTUS messages consistently attract high levels of engagement as measured by likes, retweets, and replies. Here, we quantify the balance of these activities, also known as "ratios", and study their dynamics as a proxy for collective political engagement in response to presidential communications. We find that raw activity counts increase during the period leading up to the 2016 election, accompanied by …
The wide spread of unfounded election fraud claims surrounding the U.S. 2020 election had resulted in undermining of trust in the election, culminating in violence inside the U.S. capitol. Under these circumstances, it is critical to understand the discussions surrounding these claims on Twitter, a major platform where the claims were disseminated. To this end, we collected and released the VoterFraud2020 dataset, a multi-modal dataset with 7.6M tweets and 25.6M retweets from 2.6M users related to voter fraud claims. To make this data immediately useful for a diverse set of research projects, …
Two clustering methods to determine users with similar opinions on the Covid-19 pandemic and the related public debate in Germany will be presented in this paper. We believe, they can help gaining an overview over similar-minded groups and could support the prevention of fake-news distribution. The first method uses a new approach to create a network based on retweet relationships between users and the most retweeted users, the so-called influencers. The second method extracts hashtags from users posts to create a "user feature vector" which is then clustered, using a consensus matrix based on…
German Research Center for Artificial Intelligence (DFKI)（德国人工智能研究中心）；TU Kaiserslautern（凯泽斯劳滕工业大学）；Deakin University（迪肯大学）
COVID-19 has affected the world economy and the daily life routine of almost everyone. It has been a hot topic on social media platforms such as Twitter, Facebook, etc. These social media platforms enable users to share information with other users who can reshare this information, thus causing this information to spread. Twitter's retweet functionality allows users to share the existing content with other users without altering the original content. Analysis of social media platforms can help in detecting emergencies during pandemics that lead to taking preventive measures. One such type of a…
Retweet-BERT: Political Leaning Detection Using Language Features and Information Diffusion on Social Networks
Information Sciences Institute, University of Southern California（南加州大学信息科学研究所）；Viterbi School of Engineering, University of Southern California（南加州大学维特比工程学院）；Annenberg School of Communication, University of Southern California（南加州大学安纳伯格传播学院）
False rumors are known to have detrimental effects on society. To prevent the spread of false rumors, social media platforms such as Twitter must detect them early. In this work, we develop a novel probabilistic mixture model that classifies true vs. false rumors based on the underlying spreading process. Specifically, our model is the first to formalize the self-exciting nature of true vs. false retweeting processes. This results in a novel mixture marked Hawkes model (MMHM). Owing to this, our model obviates the need for feature engineering; instead, it directly models the spreading process …
Jozef Stefan Institute（约瑟夫·斯特凡研究所）；Jozef Stefan International Postgraduate School（约瑟夫·斯特凡国际研究生院）；University of Ljubljana（卢布尔雅那大学）
We address a challenging problem of identifying main sources of hate speech on Twitter. On one hand, we carefully annotate a large set of tweets for hate speech, and deploy advanced deep learning to produce high quality hate speech classification models. On the other hand, we create retweet networks, detect communities and monitor their evolution through time. This combined approach is applied to three years of Slovenian Twitter data. We report a number of interesting results. Hate speech is dominated by offensive tweets, related to political and ideological issues. The share of unacceptable t…
This article analyses public debate on Twitter via network representations of retweets and replies. We argue that tweets observable on Twitter have both a direct and mediated effect on the perception of public opinion. Through the interplay of the two networks, it is possible to identify potentially misleading representations of public opinion on the platform. The method is employed to observe public debate about two events: The Saxon state elections and violent riots in the city of Leipzig in 2019. We show that in both cases, (i) different opinion groups exhibit different propensities to get …
COVID-19 represents the most severe global crisis to date whose public conversation can be studied in real time. To do so, we use a data set of over 350 million tweets and retweets posted by over 26 million English speaking Twitter users from January 13 to June 7, 2020. We characterize the retweet network to identify spontaneous clustering of users and the evolution of their interaction over time in relation to the pandemic's emergence. We identify several stable clusters (super-communities), and are able to link them to international groups mainly involved in science and health topics, nation…
Online hate speech, particularly over microblogging platforms like Twitter, has emerged as arguably the most severe issue of the past decade. Several countries have reported a steep rise in hate crimes infuriated by malicious hate campaigns. While the detection of hate speech is one of the emerging research areas, the generation and spread of topic-dependent hate in the information network remain under-explored. In this work, we focus on exploring user behaviour, which triggers the genesis of hate speech on Twitter and how it diffuses via retweets. We crawl a large-scale dataset of tweets, ret…
As the novel coronavirus spread globally, a growing public panic was expressed over the internet. We examine the public discussion concerning COVID-19 on Twitter. We use a dataset of 67 million tweets from 12 million users collected between January 29, 2020 and March 4, 2020. We categorize users based on their home countries, social identities, and political orientation. We find that news media, government officials, and individual news reporters posted a majority of influential tweets, while the most influential ones are still written by regular users. Tweets mentioning "fake news" URLs and d…
We address the problem of maximizing user engagement with content (in the form of like, reply, retweet, and retweet with comments)on the Twitter platform. We formulate the engagement forecasting task as a multi-label classification problem that captures choice behavior on an unsupervised clustering of tweet-topics. We propose a neural network architecture that incorporates user engagement history and predicts choice conditional on this context. We study the impact of recommend-ing tweets on engagement outcomes by solving an appropriately defined sweet optimization problem based on the proposed…
Twitter influences political debates. Phenomena like fake news and hate speech show that political discourse on micro-blogging can become strongly polarised by algorithmic enforcement of selective perception. Some political actors actively employ strategies to facilitate polarisation on Twitter, as past contributions show, via strategies of 'hashjacking'. For the example of COVID-19 related hashtags and their retweet networks, we examine the case of partisan accounts of the German far-right party Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) and their potential use of 'hashjacking' in May 2020. Our findin…
The global public sphere has changed dramatically over the past decades: a significant part of public discourse now takes place on algorithmically driven platforms owned by a handful of private companies. Despite its growing importance, there is scant large-scale academic research on the long-term evolution of user behaviour on these platforms, because the data are often proprietary to the platforms. Here, we evaluate the individual behaviour of 600,000 Twitter users between 2012 and 2019 and find empirical evidence for an acceleration of the way Twitter is used on an individual level. This ma…
Communities in social networks often reflect close social ties between their members and their evolution through time. We propose an approach that tracks two aspects of community evolution in retweet networks: flow of the members in, out and between the communities, and their influence. We start with high resolution time windows, and then select several timepoints which exhibit large differences between the communities. For community detection, we propose a two-stage approach. In the first stage, we apply an enhanced Louvain algorithm, called Ensemble Louvain, to find stable communities. In th…
We set up a simple mathematical model for the dynamics of public interest in terms of media coverage and social interactions. We test the model on a series of events related to violence in the US during 2020, using the volume of tweets and retweets as a proxy of public interest, and the volume of news as a proxy of media coverage. The model succesfully fits the data and allows inferring a measure of social sensibility that correlates with human mobility data. These findings suggest the basic ingredients and mechanisms that regulate social responses capable of ignite social mobilizations.
State Key Lab of Software Development Environment, Beihang University（北京航空航天大学软件开发环境国家重点实验室）；School of Statistics, Capital University of Economics and Business（首都经济贸易大学统计学院）
Given the development and abundance of social media, studying the stance of social media users is a challenging and pressing issue. Social media users express their stance by posting tweets and retweeting. Therefore, the homogeneous relationship between users and the heterogeneous relationship between users and tweets are relevant for the stance detection task. Recently, graph neural networks (GNNs) have developed rapidly and have been applied to social media research. In this paper, we crawl a large-scale dataset of the 2020 US presidential election and automatically label all users by manual…
