arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2102.11575math.STmath.PRstat.COstat.MEstat.TH
收藏

乘积型估计量:利用独立性扩大蒙特卡罗

Product-form estimators: exploiting independence to scale up Monte Carlo

Juan Kuntz, Francesca R. Crucinio, Adam M. Johansen

摘要:

我们介绍了一类蒙特卡罗估计,旨在克服快速增长的方差与尺寸经常观察到的标准估计,利用目标的独立性结构。我们用一类广义U-统计量确定了这些估计量的最基本的体现,从而建立了它们的无偏性、相合性和渐近正态性。此外,我们表明,他们获得了最小可能的方差之间的广泛的一类估计,我们调查他们的计算成本和划定的设置中,他们是最有效的。我们将这些估计与其他著名的蒙特卡罗估计合并,以使后者更好地适应目标的独立性结构,并提高其性能。我们通过三个简单的合并来实现这一点:一个是重要性抽样,另一个是重要性抽样平方,最后一个是伪边缘Metropolis-Hasting。在所有情况下,我们表明所得估计量都是有根据的,并且比标准估计量实现更低的方差。最后,我们通过几个例子说明了各种方差减少。

英文摘要:

We introduce a class of Monte Carlo estimators that aim to overcome the rapid growth of variance with dimension often observed for standard estimators by exploiting the target's independence structure. We identify the most basic incarnations of these estimators with a class of generalized U-statistics, and thus establish their unbiasedness, consistency, and asymptotic normality. Moreover, we show that they obtain the minimum possible variance amongst a broad class of estimators; and we investigate their computational cost and delineate the settings in which they are most efficient. We exemplify the merger of these estimators with other well-known Monte Carlo estimators so as to better adapt the latter to the target's independence structure and improve their performance. We do this via three simple mergers: one with importance sampling, another with importance sampling squared, and a final one with pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hasting. In all cases, we show that the resulting estimators are well-founded and achieve lower variances than their standard counterparts. Lastly, we illustrate the various variance reductions through several examples.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑