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arXiv 2102.05486cs.CLcs.LG
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Towards More Fine-grained and Reliable NLP Performance Prediction

Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学);Fudan University(复旦大学)

Zihuiwen Ye, Pengfei Liu, Jinlan Fu, Graham Neubig

英文摘要:

Performance prediction, the task of estimating a system's performance without performing experiments, allows us to reduce the experimental burden caused by the combinatorial explosion of different datasets, languages, tasks, and models. In this paper, we make two contributions to improving performance prediction for NLP tasks. First, we examine performance predictors not only for holistic measures of accuracy like F1 or BLEU but also fine-grained performance measures such as accuracy over individual classes of examples. Second, we propose methods to understand the reliability of a performance prediction model from two angles: confidence intervals and calibration. We perform an analysis of four types of NLP tasks, and both demonstrate the feasibility of fine-grained performance prediction and the necessity to perform reliability analysis for performance prediction methods in the future. We make our code publicly available: \url{https://github.com/neulab/Reliable-NLPPP}

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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