网络攻击每年造成数十亿美元损失,恶意黑客常在地下论坛分享漏洞利用代码和技巧。识别哪些组织成为这些漏洞的目标对于主动的网络威胁情报(CTI)至关重要。为填补这一空白,我们提出基于CySecBERT的Temporal Representation and Classification of Exploits(TRACE)框架,通过联合优化组织目标分类和供应商一致的表示,同时评估时间分布偏移下的鲁棒性。与以往仅限于小规模、单一来源数据集的工作不同,我们利用大规模、多来源语料库,涵盖9个漏洞数据库和黑客论坛,包含352,866条跨越三十年的帖子,生成包含七个组织类别的129,126样本数据集。在时间分布偏移评估中,TRACE在宏F1值上达到97.00%,显著优于17种经典机器学习方法、深度学习与GloVe/FastText嵌入以及预训练Transformer模型。
英文摘要:
Cyberattacks cause billions of dollars in damage annually, with malicious hackers often sharing exploit code and techniques on underground forums. Identifying which organizations are targeted by these exploits is critical for proactive Cyber Threat Intelligence (CTI). To address that gap, we propose Temporal Representation and Classification of Exploits (TRACE), a vendor-conditioned contrastive learning framework built on CySecBERT that jointly optimizes organizational target classification and vendor-coherent representations while evaluating robustness under temporal distribution shift. Unlike prior work limited to small, single-source datasets, we leverage a large-scale, multi-source corpus spanning 9 exploit databases and hacker forums, comprising 352,866 posts collected over three decades, yielding a 129,126-sample dataset across seven organizational categories. In the temporal out-of-distribution evaluation, TRACE achieves macro F1=97.00\%, substantially outperforming 17 benchmark classical ML methods, deep learning with GloVe/FastText embeddings, and pretrained transformer models.
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