Given two random variables $X$ and $Y$, stochastic monotonicity describes a monotone influence of $X$ on $Y$. We prove two different characterizations of stochastically monotone $2$-copulas using the isomorphism between $2$-copulas and Markov operators. The first approach establishes a one-to-one correspondence between stochastically monotone copulas and monotonicity-preserving Markov operators. The second approach characterizes stochastically monotone copulas by their monotonicity property with respect to the Markov product. Applying the latter result, we identify all idempotent stochastically monotone copulas as ordinal sums of the independence copula $Π$.
We consider dependence coefficients for stationary Markov chains. We emphasize on some equivalencies for reversible Markov chains. We improve some known results and provide a necessary condition for Markov chains based on Archimedean copulas to be exponential $ρ$-mixing. We analyze the example of the Mardia and Frechet copula families using small sets.
This paper brings some insights of $ψ'$-mixing, $ψ^*$-mixing and $ψ$-mixing for copula-based Markov chains and the perturbations of their copulas. We provide new tools to check Markov chains for $ψ$-mixing or $ψ'$-mixing, and also show that perturbations of $ψ'$-mixing copula-based Markov chains are $ψ'$-mixing while perturbations of $ψ$-mixing Markov chains are not necessarily $ψ$-mixing Markov chains, even when the perturbed copula is $ψ-mixing$. Some examples of copula families are considered. A statistical study is provided to emphasize the impact of perturbations on copula-based Markov ch…
Copulas have been popular to model dependence for multivariate distributions, but have not been used much in modelling temporal dependence of univariate time series. This paper demonstrates some difficulties with using copulas even for Markov processes: some tractable copulas such as mixtures between copulas of complete co- and countermonotonicity and independence (Fréchet copulas) are shown to imply quite a restricted type of Markov process and Archimedean copulas are shown to be incompatible with Markov chains. We also investigate Markov chains that are spreadable or, equivalently, condition…
This paper explores the impact of perturbations of copulas on dependence properties of the Markov chains they generate. We use an observation that is valid for convex combinations of copulas to establish sufficient conditions for the mixing coefficients $ρ_n$, $α_n$ and some other measures of association. New copula families are derived based on perturbations of copulas and their multivariate analogs for $n$-copulas are provided in general. Several families of copulas can be constructed from the provided framework.
This paper explores the impact of perturbations of copulas on the dependence properties of the Markov chains they generate. We consider Markov chains generated by perturbed copulas. Results are provided for the mixing coefficients $β_n$, $ψ_n$ and $ϕ_n$. Several results are provided on mixing for the considered perturbations. New copula functions are provided in connection with perturbations of variables that induce other types of perturbation of copulas not considered in the literature.
This article continues our study of Markovian consistency and Markov copulae. In particular, we characterize the weak Markovian consistency for finite Markov chains. We discuss some aspects of dependence between the components of a multivariate Markov chain in the context of weak Markovian consistency and strong Markovian consistency. In this connection, we also introduce and discuss the concept of weak Markov copulae.
In this paper, we study dependence coefficients for copula-based Markov chains. We provide new tools to check the convergence rates of mixing coefficients of copula-based Markov chains. We study Markov chains generated by the Metropolis-hastings algorithm and give conditions on the proposal that ensure exponential $ρ$-mixing, $β$-mixing and $ϕ$-mixing. A general necessary condition on symmetric copulas to generate exponential $ρ$-mixing or $ϕ$-mixing is given. At the end of the paper, we comment and improve some of our previous results on mixtures of copulas.
Dependence coefficients have been widely studied for Markov processes defined by a set of transition probabilities and an initial distribution. This work clarifies some aspects of the theory of dependence structure of Markov chains generated by copulas that are useful in time series econometrics and other applied fields. The main aim of this paper is to clarify the relationship between the notions of geometric ergodicity and geometric ρ-mixing; namely, to point out that for a large number of well known copulas, such as Clayton, Gumbel or Student, these notions are equivalent. Some of the resul…
We show that if the density of the absolutely continuous part of a copula is bounded away from zero on a set of Lebesgue measure 1, then that copula generates \textquotedblleft lower $ψ$-mixing\textquotedblright\ stationary Markov chains. This conclusion implies $ϕ$-mixing, $ρ$-mixing, $β$-mixing and \textquotedblleft interlaced $ρ$-mixing\textquotedblright . We also provide some new results on the mixing structure of Markov chains generated by mixtures of copulas.
We analyze the notions of monotonicity and complete monotonicity for Markov Chains in continuous-time, taking values in a finite partially ordered set. Similarly to what happens in discrete-time, the two notions are not equivalent. However, we show that there are partially ordered sets for which monotonicity and complete monotonicity coincide in continuous time but not in discrete-time.
This note presents a simple proof of the monotonicity of the invariant distribution of a discrete Markov chain with a finite state space. This answers a question recently raised by David Siegmund.
The theory of monotonicity and duality is developed for general one-dimensional Feller processes. Moreover it is shown that local monotonicity conditions (conditions on the Lévy kernel) are sufficient to prove the well-posedness of the corresponding Markov semigroup and process, including unbounded coefficients and processes on the half-line.
We formalize and analyze the notions of stochastic monotonicity and realizable mono-tonicity for Markov Chains in continuous-time, taking values in a finite partially ordered set. Similarly to what happens in discrete-time, the two notions are not equivalent. However, we show that there are partially ordered sets for which stochastic monotonicity and realizable monotonicity coincide in continuous-time but not in discrete-time.
In this paper we show that we can use Markov kernels as a model for optimal transport. This new framework can be easily translated into the standard coupling formulation of optimal transport, and we show that we can use a coupling as a Markov kernel for many optimal transport problems. Using kernels allows us to extend optimal transport to signed measures and treats the support of the measure as the salient feature. This approach reveals additional structure for one-dimensional signed optimal transport.
We propose new copulae to model the dependence between two Brownian motions and to control the distribution of their difference. Our approach is based on the copula between the Brownian motion and its reflection. We show that the class of admissible copulae for the Brownian motions are not limited to the class of Gaussian copulae and that it also contains asymmetric copulae. These copulae allow for the survival function of the difference between two Brownian motions to have higher value in the right tail than in the Gaussian copula case. Considering two Brownian motions $B_t^1$ and $B_t^2$, th…
Multi-class queueing networks (McQNs) extend the classical concept of Jackson network by allowing jobs of different classes to visit the same server. While such a generalization seems rather natural, from a structural perspective there is a significant gap between the two concepts. Nice analytical features of Jackson networks, such as stability conditions, product-form equilibrium distributions, and stochastic monotonicity do not immediately carry over to the multi-class framework. The aim of this paper is to shed some light on this structural gap, focusing on monotonicity properties. To this …
We construct strong stationary dual chains for Ising model on a circle, non-symmetric random walk on square lattice and a random walk on hypercube. The strong stationary dual chains are all sharp and have the same state space as original chains. We use Möbius monotonicity of these chains with respect to natural orderings of the corresponding state spaces. This method provides an easy way to find eigenvalues in the Ising model and for a random walk on hypercube. Keywords: Markov chains; stochastic monotonicity; eigenvalues; Möbius monotonicity; strong stationary duality; strong stationary times…
We study stochastic monotonicity and propagation of order for Markov processes with respect to stochastic integral orders characterized by cones of functions satisfying $Φf \geq 0$ for some linear operator $Φ$. We introduce a new functional analytic technique based on the generator $A$ of a Markov process and its resolvent. We show that the existence of an operator $B$ with positive resolvent such that $ΦA - B Φ$ is a positive operator for a large enough class of functions implies stochastic monotonicity. This establishes a technique for proving stochastic monotonicity and propagation of order…
For Markov chains with a partially ordered finite state space we show strong stationary duality under the condition of Möbius monotonicity of the chain. We show relations of Möbius monotonicity to other definitions of monotone chains. We give examples of dual chains in this context which have transitions only upwards. We illustrate general theory by an analysis of nonsymmetric random walks on the cube with an application to networks of queues.
We provide a nonasymptotic analysis of convergence to stationarity for a collection of Markov chains on multivariate state spaces, from arbitrary starting points, thereby generalizing results in [Khare and Zhou Ann. Appl. Probab. 19 (2009) 737-777]. Our examples include the multi-allele Moran model in population genetics and its variants in community ecology, a generalized Ehrenfest urn model and variants of the Polya urn model. It is shown that all these Markov chains are stochastically monotone with respect to an appropriate partial ordering. Then, using a generalization of the results in [D…
For a given absorbing Markov chain $X^*$ on a finite state space, a chain $X$ is a sharp antidual of $X^*$ if the fastest strong stationary time of $X$ is equal, in distribution, to the absorption time of $X^*$. In this paper we show a systematic way of finding such an antidual based on some partial ordering of the state space. We use a theory of strong stationary duality developed recently for Möbius monotone Markov chains. We give several sharp antidual chains for Markov chain corresponding to a generalized coupon collector problem. As a consequence - utilizing known results on a limiting di…
It was recently proven that the correlation function of the stationary version of a reflected Lévy process is nonnegative, nonincreasing and convex. In another branch of the literature it was established that the mean value of the reflected process starting from zero is nonnegative, nondecreasing and concave. In the present paper it is shown, by putting them in a common framework, that these results extend to substantially more general settings. Indeed, instead of reflected Lévy processes, we consider a class of more general stochastically monotone Markov processes. In this setup we show monot…
We introduce a notion of $k$th order stochastic monotonicity and duality that allows one to unify the notion used in insurance mathematics (sometimes refereed to as Siegmund's duality) for the study of ruin probability and the duality responsible for the so-called put - call symmetries in option pricing. Our general $k$th order duality can be financially interpreted as put - call symmetry for powered options. The main objective of the present paper is to develop an effective analytic approach to the analysis of duality leading to the full characterization of $k$th order duality of Markov proce…
This paper studies the eigenvalue problem on $\mathbb{R}^d$ for a class of second order, elliptic operators of the form $\mathscr{L} = a^{ij}\partial_{x_i}\partial_{x_j} + b^{i}\partial_{x_i} + f$, associated with non-degenerate diffusions. We show that strict monotonicity of the principal eigenvalue of the operator with respect to the potential function $f$ fully characterizes the ergodic properties of the associated ground state diffusion, and the unicity of the ground state, and we present a comprehensive study of the eigenvalue problem from this point of view. This allows us to extend or s…
The paper is devoted to a systematic study of the duality of processes in the sense that $E f(X_t^x,y)=E f (x, Y_t^y)$ for a certain $f$. This classical topic has well known applications in interacting particles, intertwining, superprocesses, stochastic monotonicity, exit - entrance laws, ruin probabilities in finances, etc. Aiming mostly at the case of $f$ depending on the difference of its arguments, we shall give a systematic study of duality via the analysis of the generators of dual Markov processes leading to various results and insights.
This paper considers continuous-time block-monotone Markov chains (BMMCs) and their block-augmented truncations. We first introduce the block monotonicity and block-wise dominance relation for continuous-time Markov chains, and then provide some fundamental results on the two notions. Using these results, we show that the stationary distribution vectors obtained by the block-augmented truncation converge to the stationary distribution vector of the original BMMC. We also show that the last-column-block-augmented truncation (LC-block-augmented truncation) provides the best (in a certain sense) …
In this paper we study the long term evolution of a continuous time Markov chain formed by two interacting birth-and-death processes. The interaction between the processes is modelled by transition rates which are functions with suitable monotonicity properties. This is in line with the approach proposed by Gauss G.F. and Kolmogorov A.N. for modelling interaction between species in ecology. We obtain conditions for transience/recurrence of the Markov chain and describe in detail its asymptotic behaviour in special transient cases. In particular, we find that in some of these cases the Markov c…