In this paper, we present a case study demonstrating how dynamic and uncertain criteria can be incorporated into a multicriteria analysis with the help of discrete event simulation. The simulation guided multicriteria analysis can include both monetary and non-monetary criteria that are static or dynamic, whereas standard multi criteria analysis only deals with static criteria and cost benefit analysis only deals with static monetary criteria. The dynamic and uncertain criteria are incorporated by using simulation to explore how the decision options perform. The results of the simulation are then fed into the multicriteria analysis. By enabling the incorporation of dynamic and uncertain criteria, the dynamic multiple criteria analysis was able to take a unique perspective of the problem. The highest ranked option returned by the dynamic multicriteria analysis differed from the other decision aid techniques.
In this paper, we constructed a model to determine weights of criterias and presented a solution for determining the optimal alternative by using the constructed model and relationship analysis between criterias in fuzzy group decision-making problem with different forms of preference information of decision makers on criterias.
A number of Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods have been developed to rank alternatives based on several decision criteria. Usually, MCDA methods deal with the criteria value at the time the decision is made without considering their evolution over time. However, it may be relevant to consider the criteria' time series since providing essential information for decision-making (e.g., an improvement of the criteria). To deal with this issue, we propose a new approach to rank the alternatives based on the criteria time-series features (tendency, variance, etc.). In this novel appr…
The aim of this paper is to propose a generalization of previous approaches in qualitative decision making. Our work is based on the binary possibilistic utility (PU), which is a possibilistic counterpart of Expected Utility (EU).We first provide a new axiomatization of PU and study its relation with the lexicographic aggregation of pessimistic and optimistic utilities. Then we explain the reasons of the coarseness of qualitative decision criteria. Finally, thanks to a redefinition of possibilistic lotteries and mixtures, we present the refined binary possibilistic utility, which is more discr…
Mountain river torrents and snow avalanches generate human and material damages with dramatic consequences. Knowledge about natural phenomenona is often lacking and expertise is required for decision and risk management purposes using multi-disciplinary quantitative or qualitative approaches. Expertise is considered as a decision process based on imperfect information coming from more or less reliable and conflicting sources. A methodology mixing the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), a multi-criteria aid-decision method, and information fusion using Belief Function Theory is described. Fuzzy S…
The construction of efficient and effective decision trees remains a key topic in machine learning because of their simplicity and flexibility. A lot of heuristic algorithms have been proposed to construct near-optimal decision trees. ID3, C4.5 and CART are classical decision tree algorithms and the split criteria they used are Shannon entropy, Gain Ratio and Gini index respectively. All the split criteria seem to be independent, actually, they can be unified in a Tsallis entropy framework. Tsallis entropy is a generalization of Shannon entropy and provides a new approach to enhance decision t…
A vast number of multicriteria decision making methods have been developed to deal with the problem of ranking a set of alternatives evaluated in a multicriteria fashion. Very often, these methods assume that the evaluation among criteria is statistically independent. However, in actual problems, the observed data may comprise dependent criteria, which, among other problems, may result in biased rankings. In order to deal with this issue, we propose a novel approach whose aim is to estimate, from the observed data, a set of independent latent criteria, which can be seen as an alternative repre…
The fundamental problem underlying all multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) problems is that of dominance between any two alternatives: "Given two alternatives A and B, each described by a set criteria, is A preferred to B with respect to a set of decision maker (DM) preferences over the criteria?". Depending on the application in which MCDA is performed, the alternatives may represent strategies and policies for business, potential locations for setting up new facilities, designs of buildings, etc. The general objective of MCDA is to enable the DM to order all alternatives in order of the …
Anhui University（安徽大学）；University of California（加利福尼亚大学）
Due to the fact that basic uncertain information provides a simple form for decision information with certainty degree, it has been developed to reflect the quality of observed or subjective assessments. In order to study the algebra structure and preference relation of basic uncertain information, we develop some algebra operations for basic uncertain information. The order relation of such type of information has also been considered. Finally, to apply the developed algebra operations and order relations, a generalized TODIM method for multi-attribute decision making with basic uncertain inf…
As part of its digitization initiative, the German Central Bank (Deutsche Bundesbank) wants to examine the extent to which natural Language Processing (NLP) can be used to make independent decisions upon the eligibility criteria of securities prospectuses. Every month, the Directorate General Markets at the German Central Bank receives hundreds of scanned prospectuses in PDF format, which must be manually processed to decide upon their eligibility. We found that this tedious and time-consuming process can be (semi-)automated by employing modern NLP model architectures, which learn the linguist…
Poznan University of Technology（波兹南理工大学）；U.S. Environmental Protection Agency（美国环境保护署）；Polish Academy of Sciences（波兰科学院）
We present the Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis Methods Selection Software (MCDA-MSS). This decision support system helps analysts answering a recurring question in decision science: Which is the most suitable Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis method (or a subset of MCDA methods) that should be used for a given Decision-Making Problem (DMP)?. The MCDA-MSS includes guidance to lead decision-making processes and choose among an extensive collection (over 200) of MCDA methods. These are assessed according to an original comprehensive set of problem characteristics. The accounted features con…
A neutrosophic set is a more general platform, which can be used to present uncertainty, imprecise, incomplete and inconsistent. In this paper a score function and an accuracy function for single valued neutrosophic sets is firstly proposed to make the distinction between them. Then the idea is extended to interval neutrosophic sets. A multi-criteria decision making method based on the developed score-accuracy functions is established in which criterion values for alternatives are single valued neutrosophic sets and interval neutrosophic sets. In decision making process, the neutrosophic weigh…
Thus far, limited research has been performed on resilient supplier selection - a problem that requires simultaneous consideration of a set of numerical and linguistic evaluation criteria, which are substantially different from traditional supplier selection problem. Essentially, resilient supplier selection entails key sourcing decision for an organization to gain competitive advantage. In the presence of multiple conflicting evaluation criteria, contradicting decision makers, and imprecise decision relevant information (DRI), this problem becomes even more difficult to solve with the classic…
Textile manufacturing is a typical traditional industry involving high complexity in interconnected processes with limited capacity on the application of modern technologies. Decision-making in this domain generally takes multiple criteria into consideration, which usually arouses more complexity. To address this issue, the present paper proposes a decision support system that combines the intelligent data-based random forest (RF) models and a human knowledge based analytical hierarchical process (AHP) multi-criteria structure in accordance to the objective and the subjective factors of the te…
Quchan University of Technology（古昌理工大学）；University of Melbourne（墨尔本大学）
Generally, the criteria involved in a decision making problem are interactive or inter-dependent, and therefore aggregating them by the use of traditional operators which are based on additive measures is not logical. This verifies that we have to implement fuzzy measures for modelling the interaction phenomena among the criteria.On the other hand, based on the recent extension of hesitant fuzzy set, called higher order hesitant fuzzy set (HOHFS) which allows the membership of a given element to be defined in forms of several possible generalized types of fuzzy set, we encourage to propose the…
Andalusian Research Institute in Data Science and Computational Intelligence（安达卢西亚数据科学与计算智能研究所）；University of Granada（格拉纳达大学）
Decision making models are constrained by taking the expert evaluations with pre-defined numerical or linguistic terms. We claim that the use of sentiment analysis will allow decision making models to consider expert evaluations in natural language. Accordingly, we propose the Sentiment Analysis based Multi-person Multi-criteria Decision Making (SA-MpMcDM) methodology for smarter decision aid, which builds the expert evaluations from their natural language reviews, and even from their numerical ratings if they are available. The SA-MpMcDM methodology incorporates an end-to-end multi-task deep …
The purpose of this paper is to point to the usefulness of applying a linear mathematical formulation of fuzzy multiple criteria objective decision methods in organising business activities. In this respect fuzzy parameters of linear programming are modelled by preference-based membership functions. This paper begins with an introduction and some related research followed by some fundamentals of fuzzy set theory and technical concepts of fuzzy multiple objective decision models. Further a real case study of a manufacturing plant and the implementation of the proposed technique is presented. Em…
CSIR-Structural Engineering Research Centre（印度科学与工业研究委员会-结构工程研究中心）；Academy of Scientific and Innovative Research（科学与创新研究院）
In multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) problems, ratings are assigned to the alternatives on different criteria by the expert group. In this paper, we propose a thermodynamically consistent model for MCDM using the analogies for thermodynamical indicators - energy, exergy and entropy. The most commonly used method for analysing MCDM problem is Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS). The conventional TOPSIS method uses a measure similar to that of energy for the ranking of alternatives. We demonstrate that the ranking of the alternatives is more meaningful …
We introduce a method for explaining the results of various linear and hierarchical multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) techniques such as WSM and AHP. The two key ideas are (A) to maintain a fine-grained representation of the values manipulated by these techniques and (B) to derive explanations from these representations through merging, filtering, and aggregating operations. An explanation in our model presents a high-level comparison of two alternatives in an MCDM problem, presumably an optimal and a non-optimal one, illuminating why one alternative was preferred over the other one. We sh…
Instituto Nacional de Astrofísica Óptica y Electrónica (INAOE)（国家天体物理、光学与电子研究所）
We define a Causal Decision Problem as a Decision Problem where the available actions, the family of uncertain events and the set of outcomes are related through the variables of a Causal Graphical Model $\mathcal{G}$. A solution criteria based on Pearl's Do-Calculus and the Expected Utility criteria for rational preferences is proposed. The implementation of this criteria leads to an on-line decision making procedure that has been shown to have similar performance to classic Reinforcement Learning algorithms while allowing for a causal model of an environment to be learned. Thus, we aim to pr…
The process of multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) is of determining the best choice among all of the probable alternatives. The problem of supplier selection on which decision maker has usually vague and imprecise knowledge is a typical example of multi criteria group decision-making problem. The conventional crisp techniques has not much effective for solving MCDM problems because of imprecise or fuzziness nature of the linguistic assessments. To find the exact values for MCDM problems is both difficult and impossible in more cases in real world. So, it is more reasonable to consider th…
Poznań University of Technology（波兹南理工大学）；Universidade de Lisboa（里斯本大学）
We propose a new method for analyzing a set of parameters in a multiple criteria ranking method. Unlike the existing techniques, we do not use any optimization technique, instead incorporating and extending a Segmenting Description approach. While considering a value-based preference disaggregation method, we demonstrate the usefulness of the introduced algorithm in a multi-purpose decision analysis exploiting a system of inequalities that models the Decision Maker's preferences. Specifically, we discuss how it can be applied for verifying the consistency between the revealed and estimated pre…
Quchan University of Technology（库昌理工大学）；University of Melbourne（墨尔本大学）
This contribution reviews critically the existing entropy measures for probabilistic hesitant fuzzy sets (PHFSs), and demonstrates that these entropy measures fail to effectively distinguish a variety of different PHFSs in some cases. In the sequel, we develop a new axiomatic framework of entropy measures for probabilistic hesitant fuzzy elements (PHFEs) by considering two facets of uncertainty associated with PHFEs which are known as fuzziness and nonspecificity. Respect to each kind of uncertainty, a number of formulae are derived to permit flexible selection of PHFE entropy measures. Moreov…
One of the most widespread multi-criteria decision-making methods is the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). AHP successfully combines the pairwise comparisons method and the hierarchical approach. It allows the decision-maker to set priorities for all ranked alternatives. But what if, for some of them, their ranking value is known (e.g., it can be determined differently)? The Heuristic Rating Estimation (HRE) method proposed in 2014 tried to bring the answer to this question. However, the considerations were limited to a model that did not consider many criteria. In this work, we go a step furt…
Combined Compromise for Ideal Solution (CoCoFISo): a multi-criteria decision-making based on the CoCoSo method algorithm
Institut de Recherche en Informatique de Toulouse, IRIT（图卢兹信息学研究所）；Université Toulouse Capitole（图卢兹第一大学）；Université de Toamasina（图阿马西纳大学）；Universidad Internacional de Valencia（瓦伦西亚国际大学）；Universitat Politècnica de València（瓦伦西亚理工大学）
The Ministry of Science, Industry and Technology（科学、工业和技术部）
The primary aim of the study is to introduce APLOCO method which is developed for the solution of multicriteria decision making problems both theoretically and practically. In this context, application subject of APLACO constitutes evaluation of investment potential of different cities in metropolitan status in Turkey. The secondary purpose of the study is to identify the independent variables affecting the factories in the operating phase and to estimate the effect levels of independent variables on the dependent variable in the organized industrial zones (OIZs), whose mission is to reduce re…
Royal Holloway College, University of London（伦敦大学皇家霍洛威学院）
An agent who lacks preferences and instead makes decisions using criteria that are costly to create should select efficient sets of criteria, where the cost of making a given number of choice distinctions is minimized. Under mild conditions, efficiency requires that binary criteria with only two categories per criterion are chosen. When applied to the problem of determining the optimal number of digits in an information storage device, this result implies that binary digits (bits) are the efficient solution, even when the marginal cost of using additional digits declines rapidly to 0. This sho…
University of Szczecin（什切青大学）；West Pomeranian University of Technology（西波美拉尼亚理工大学）
Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods are widely used in various fields and disciplines. While most of the research has been focused on the development and improvement of new MCDA methods, relatively limited attention has been paid to their appropriate selection for the given decision problem. Their improper application decreases the quality of recommendations, as different MCDA methods deliver inconsistent results. The current paper presents a methodological and practical framework for selecting suitable MCDA methods for a particular decision situation. A set of 56 available MCDA me…
KTH Royal Institute of Technology（瑞典皇家理工学院）；Univ. Grenoble Alpes（格勒诺布尔阿尔卑斯大学）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；Inria（法国国家信息与自动化研究所）；Grenoble INP（格勒诺布尔理工学院）
With the development of vehicular technologies on automation, electrification, and digitalization, vehicles are becoming more intelligent while being exposed to more complex, uncertain, and frequently occurring faults. In this paper, we look into the maintenance planning of an operating vehicle under fault condition and formulate it as a multi-criteria decision-making problem. The maintenance decisions are generated by route searching in road networks and evaluated based on risk assessment considering the uncertainty of vehicle breakdowns. Particularly, we consider two criteria, namely the ris…
Double Fuzzy Probabilistic Interval Linguistic Term Set and a Dynamic Fuzzy Decision Making Model based on Markov Process with tts Application in Multiple Criteria Group Decision Making
Utrecht University（乌得勒支大学）；University of Amsterdam（阿姆斯特丹大学）；Lappeenranta University of Technology（拉彭兰塔理工大学）
Decentralized autonomous organizations as a new form of online governance arecollections of smart contracts deployed on a blockchain platform that intercede groupsof people. A growing number of Decentralized Autonomous Organization Platforms,such as Aragon and Colony, have been introduced in the market to facilitate thedevelopment process of such organizations. Selecting the best fitting platform ischallenging for the organizations, as a significant number of decision criteria, such aspopularity, developer availability, governance issues, and consistent documentation ofsuch platforms, should b…
Thales Research & Technology（泰勒斯研究与技术公司）；University of Paris VI（巴黎第六大学）
This paper addresses the question of which models fit with information concerning the preferences of the decision maker over each attribute, and his preferences about aggregation of criteria (interacting criteria). We show that the conditions induced by these information plus some intuitive conditions lead to a unique possible aggregation operator: the Choquet integral.
IRIT（法国图卢兹大学计算机科学、电子与通信研究所）；LARODEC Laboratory（拉罗德克实验室）；ISG, University of Tunis（突尼斯高等商业学院，突尼斯大学）
When the information about uncertainty cannot be quantified in a simple, probabilistic way, the topic of possibilistic decision theory is often a natural one to consider. The development of possibilistic decision theory has lead to a series of possibilistic criteria, e.g pessimistic possibilistic qualitative utility, possibilistic likely dominance, binary possibilistic utility and possibilistic Choquet integrals. This paper focuses on sequential decision making in possibilistic decision trees. It proposes a complexity study of the problem of finding an optimal strategy depending on the monoton…
Suuplier selection is one of the most important functions of a purchasing department. Since by deciding the best supplier, companies can save material costs and increase competitive advantage.However this decision becomes compilcated in case of multiple suppliers, multiple conflicting criteria, and imprecise parameters. In addition the uncertainty and vagueness of the experts' opinion is the prominent characteristic of the problem. therefore an extensively used multi criteria decision making tool Fuzzy AHP can be utilized as an approach for supplier selection problem. This paper reveals the ap…
China University of Petroleum (East China)（中国石油大学（华东））；Newcastle University（纽卡斯尔大学）；Chandigarh University（昌迪加尔大学）；CGC College of Engineering（CGC工程学院）
With the development of science and technology and the need for Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM), the optimization problem to be solved becomes extremely complex. The theoretically accurate and optimal solutions are often difficult to obtain. Therefore, meta-heuristic algorithms based on multi-point search have received extensive attention. Aiming at these problems, the design strategy of hybrid flower pollination algorithm for Virtual Network Embedding (VNE) problem is discussed. Combining the advantages of the Genetic Algorithm (GA) and FPA, the algorithm is optimized for the characteri…
In this book we introduce a new procedure called α-Discounting Method for Multi-Criteria Decision Making (α-D MCDM), which is as an alternative and extension of Saaty Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). It works for any number of preferences that can be transformed into a system of homogeneous linear equations. A degree of consistency (and implicitly a degree of inconsistency) of a decision-making problem are defined. α-D MCDM is afterwards generalized to a set of preferences that can be transformed into a system of linear and or non-linear homogeneous and or non-homogeneous equations and or i…
Supplier selection is a typical multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) problem and lots of uncertain information exist inevitably. To address this issue, a new method was proposed based on interval data fusion. Our method follows the original way to generate classical basic probability assignment(BPA) determined by the distance among the evidences. However, the weights of criteria are kept as interval numbers to generate interval BPAs and do the fusion of interval BPAs. Finally, the order is ranked and the decision is made according to the obtained interval BPAs. In this paper, a numerical exam…
Although systematic biases in decision-making are widely documented, the ways in which they emerge from different sources is less understood. We present a controlled experimental platform to study gender bias in hiring by decoupling the effect of world distribution (the gender breakdown of candidates in a specific profession) from bias in human decision-making. We explore the effectiveness of \textit{representation criteria}, fixed proportional display of candidates, as an intervention strategy for mitigation of gender bias by conducting experiments measuring human decision-makers' rankings fo…
National Institute of Technology, Durgapur（杜尔加布尔国立理工学院）
In this paper, a novel multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) methodology is presented for assessing and prioritizing medical tourism destinations in uncertain environment. A systematic evaluation and assessment method is proposed by integrating rough number based AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) and rough number based MABAC (Multi-Attributive Border Approximation area Comparison). Rough number is used to aggregate individual judgments and preferences to deal with vagueness in decision making due to limited data. Rough AHP analyzes the relative importance of criteria based on their preferenc…
Many systems based on knowledge, especially expert systems for medical decision support have been developed. Only systems are based on production rules, and cannot learn and evolve only by updating them. In addition, taking into account several criteria induces an exorbitant number of rules to be injected into the system. It becomes difficult to translate medical knowledge or a support decision as a simple rule. Moreover, reasoning based on generic cases became classic and can even reduce the range of possible solutions. To remedy that, we propose an approach based on using a multi-criteria de…
In this paper, we study Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with self-triggered strategies, where the idea of self-triggered control is extended to more generic MDP models. This extension broadens the application of self-triggering policies to a broader range of systems. We study the co-design problems of the control policy and the triggering policy to optimize two pre-specified cost criteria. The first cost criterion is introduced by incorporating a pre-specified update penalty into the traditional MDP cost criteria to reduce the use of communication resources. Under this criteria, a novel dynam…
Advanced AI technologies are serving humankind in a number of ways, from healthcare to manufacturing. Advanced automated machines are quite expensive, but the end output is supposed to be of the highest possible quality. Depending on the agility of requirements, these automation technologies can change dramatically. The likelihood of making changes to automation software is extremely high, so it must be updated regularly. If maintainability is not taken into account, it will have an impact on the entire system and increase maintenance costs. Many companies use different programming paradigms i…
Southwest Petroleum University（西南石油大学）；Zhuhai College of Jilin University（吉林大学珠海学院）；Karadeniz Technical University（黑海技术大学）；Shandong University of Finance and Economics（山东财经大学）；Shandong University（山东大学）；Beijing University of Technology（北京工业大学）
The picture fuzzy set, characterized by three membership degrees, is a helpful tool for multi-criteria decision making (MCDM). This paper investigates the structure of the closed operational laws in the picture fuzzy numbers (PFNs) and proposes efficient picture fuzzy MCDM methods. We first introduce an admissible order for PFNs and prove that all PFNs form a complete lattice under this order. Then, we give some specific examples to show the non-closeness of some existing picture fuzzy aggregation operators. To ensure the closeness of the operational laws in PFNs, we construct a new class of p…
The University of Tokyo（东京大学）；Santa Fe Institute（圣塔菲研究所）
Fairness in algorithmic decision-making processes is attracting increasing concern. When an algorithm is applied to human-related decision-making an estimator solely optimizing its predictive power can learn biases on the existing data, which motivates us the notion of fairness in machine learning. while several different notions are studied in the literature, little studies are done on how these notions affect the individuals. We demonstrate such a comparison between several policies induced by well-known fairness criteria, including the color-blind (CB), the demographic parity (DP), and the …
