This study presents a methodology to quantify vulnerability of cyber attacks and their impacts based on probabilistic graphical models for intelligent transportation systems under connected and autonomous vehicles framework. Cyber attack vulnerabilities from various types and their impacts are calculated for intelligent signals and cooperative adaptive cruise control (CACC) applications based on the selected performance measures. Numerical examples are given that show impact of vulnerabilities in terms of average intersection queue lengths, number of stops, average speed, and delays. At a signalized network with and without redundant systems, vulnerability can increase average queues and delays by $3\%$ and $15\%$ and $4\%$ and $17\%$, respectively. For CACC application, impact levels reach to $50\%$ delay difference on average when low amount of speed information is perturbed. When significantly different speed characteristics are inserted by an attacker, delay difference increases beyond $100\%$ of normal traffic conditions.
Cybersecurity vulnerability information is often recorded by multiple channels, including government vulnerability repositories, individual-maintained vulnerability-gathering platforms, or vulnerability-disclosure email lists and forums. Integrating vulnerability information from different channels enables comprehensive threat assessment and quick deployment to various security mechanisms. Efforts to automatically gather such information, however, are impeded by the limitations of today's entity alignment techniques. In our study, we annotate the first cybersecurity-domain entity alignment dat…
University of South Florida（南佛罗里达大学）；United States Military Academy, West Point（西点军校）
Cyber vulnerability management is a critical function of a cybersecurity operations center (CSOC) that helps protect organizations against cyber-attacks on their computer and network systems. Adversaries hold an asymmetric advantage over the CSOC, as the number of deficiencies in these systems is increasing at a significantly higher rate compared to the expansion rate of the security teams to mitigate them in a resource-constrained environment. The current approaches are deterministic and one-time decision-making methods, which do not consider future uncertainties when prioritizing and selecti…
Identification of cyber threats is one of the essential tasks for security teams. Currently, cyber threats can be identified using knowledge organized into various formats, enumerations, and knowledge bases. This paper studies the current challenges of identifying vulnerabilities and threats in cyberspace using enumerations and data about assets. Although enumerations are used in practice, we point out several issues that still decrease the quality of vulnerability and threat identification. Since vulnerability identification methods are based on network monitoring and agents, the issues are r…
Duke University（杜克大学）；University of Florida（佛罗里达大学）
This work focuses on the use of deep learning for vulnerability analysis of cyber-physical systems (CPS). Specifically, we consider a control architecture widely used in CPS (e.g., robotics), where the low-level control is based on e.g., the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and an anomaly detector. To facilitate analyzing the impact potential sensing attacks could have, our objective is to develop learning-enabled attack generators capable of designing stealthy attacks that maximally degrade system operation. We show how such problem can be cast within a learning-based grey-box framework where par…
Characterizing attacker behavior with respect to Cyber-Physical Systems is important to assuring the security posture and resilience of these systems. Classical cyber vulnerability assessment approaches rely on the knowledge and experience of cyber-security experts to conduct security analyses and can be inconsistent where the experts' knowledge and experience are lacking. This paper proposes a flexible attacker modeling framework that aids in the security analysis process by simulating a diverse set of attacker behaviors to predict attack progression and provide consistent system vulnerabilit…
Academia, homeland security, defense, and media have accepted the perception that critical infrastructure in a future cyber war cyber conflict is the main gateway for a massive cyber assault on the U.S. The question is not if the assumption is correct or not, the question is instead of how did we arrive at that assumption. The cyber paradigm considers critical infrastructure the primary attack vector for future cyber conflicts. The national vulnerability embedded in critical infrastructure is given a position in the cyber discourse as close to an unquestionable truth as a natural law. The Amer…
These days, cyber-criminals target humans rather than machines since they try to accomplish their malicious intentions by exploiting the weaknesses of end users. Thus, human vulnerabilities pose a serious threat to the security and integrity of computer systems and data. The human tendency to trust and help others, as well as personal, social, and cultural characteristics, are indicative of the level of susceptibility that one may exhibit towards certain attack types and deception strategies. This work aims to investigate the factors that affect human susceptibility by studying the existing li…
As the internet penetration rate in Africa increases, so does the proliferation of the Internet of Things (IoT) devices. Along with this growth in internet access is the risk of cyberattacks to vulnerable IoT devices mushrooming in the African cyberspace. One way to determine IoT vulnerabilities is to find open ports within Africa s cyberspace. Our research leverages Shodan search engine, a powerful tool for discovering IoT devices facing the public internet, to find open ports across Africa. We conduct an analysis of our findings, ranking countries from most to least vulnerable to cyberattack…
A cyber range, a practical and highly educational information security exercise system, is difficult to implement in educational institutions because of the high cost of implementing and maintaining it. Therefore, there is a need for a cyber range that can be adopted and maintained at a low cost. Recently, container type virtualization is gaining attention as it can create a high-speed and high-density exercise environment. However, existing researches have not clearly shown the advantages of container virtualization for building exercise environments. And it is not clear whether the sufficien…
The assessment of new vulnerabilities is an activity that accounts for information from several data sources and produces a `severity' score for the vulnerability. The Common Vulnerability Scoring System (\CVSS) is the reference standard for this assessment. Yet, no guidance currently exists on \emph{which information} aids a correct assessment and should therefore be considered. In this paper we address this problem by evaluating which information cues increase (or decrease) assessment accuracy. We devise a block design experiment with 67 software engineering students with varying vulnerabili…
Subjective judgements from experts provide essential information when assessing and modelling threats in respect to cyber-physical systems. For example, the vulnerability of individual system components can be described using multiple factors, such as complexity, technological maturity, and the availability of tools to aid an attack. Such information is useful for determining attack risk, but much of it is challenging to acquire automatically and instead must be collected through expert assessments. However, most experts inherently carry some degree of uncertainty in their assessments. For exa…
CyberForge: Verified Vulnerability Injection at Repository Level for Cybersecurity Agent Training
National Institute of Standards and Technology（美国国家标准与技术研究院）；Université Grenoble Alpes（格勒诺布尔阿尔卑斯大学）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；University of Maryland, College Park（马里兰大学帕克分校）
Cyber-physical systems (CPS) data privacy protection during sharing, aggregating, and publishing is a challenging problem. Several privacy protection mechanisms have been developed in the literature to protect sensitive data from adversarial analysis and eliminate the risk of re-identifying the original properties of shared data. However, most of the existing solutions have drawbacks, such as (i) lack of a proper vulnerability characterization model to accurately identify where privacy is needed, (ii) ignoring data providers privacy preference, (iii) using uniform privacy protection which may …
Safety risk assessment is an essential process to ensure a dependable Cyber-Physical System (CPS) design. Traditional risk assessment considers only physical failures. For modern CPS, failures caused by cyber attacks are on the rise. The focus of latest research effort is on safety-security lifecycle integration and the expansion of modeling formalisms for risk assessment to incorporate security failures. The interaction between safety and security lifecycles and its impact on the overall system design, as well as the reliability loss resulting from ignoring security failures are some of the o…
In this paper, we examine the impact of cyberattacks in an integrated transmission and distribution (T&D) power grid model with distributed energy resource (DER) integration. We adopt the OCTAVE Allegro methodology to identify critical system assets, enumerate potential threats, analyze, and prioritize risks for threat scenarios. Based on the analysis, attack strategies and exploitation scenarios are identified which could lead to system compromise. Specifically, we investigate the impact of data integrity attacks in inverted-based solar PV controllers, control signal blocking attacks in prote…
Traditional techniques for Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) security design either treat the cyber and physical systems independently, or do not address the specific vulnerabilities of real time embedded controllers and networks used to monitor and control physical processes. In this work, we develop and test an integrated model-based approach for CPS security risk assessment utilizing a CPS testbed with real-world industrial controllers and communication protocols. The testbed monitors and controls an exothermic Continuous Stirred Tank Reactor (CSTR) simulated in real-time. CSTR is a fundamental …
Cyber security is one of the burning issues in modern world. Increased IT infrastructure has given rise to enormous chances of security breach. Bangladesh being a relatively new member of cyber security arena has its own demand and appeal. Digitalization is happening in Bangladesh for last few years at an appreciable rate. People are being connected to the worldwide web community with their smart devices. These devices have their own vulnerability issues as well as the data shared over the internet has a very good chances of getting breached. Common vulnerability issues like infecting the devi…
As the size and complexity of software systems increase, the number and sophistication of software security flaws increase as well. The analysis of these flaws began as a manual approach, but it soon became apparent that tools were necessary to assist human experts in this task, resulting in a number of techniques and approaches that automated aspects of the vulnerability analysis process. Recently, DARPA carried out the Cyber Grand Challenge, a competition among autonomous vulnerability analysis systems designed to push the tool-assisted human-centered paradigm into the territory of complete …
Cybercrime markets support the development and diffusion of new attack technologies, vulnerability exploits, and malware. Whereas the revenue streams of cyber attackers have been studied multiple times in the literature, no quantitative account currently exists on the economics of attack acquisition and deployment. Yet, this understanding is critical to characterize the production of (traded) exploits, the economy that drives it, and its effects on the overall attack scenario. In this paper we provide an empirical investigation of the economics of vulnerability exploitation, and the effects of…
It is challenging to assess the vulnerability of a cyber-physical power system to data attacks from an integral perspective. In order to support vulnerability assessment except analytic analysis, suitable platform for security tests needs to be developed. In this paper we analyze the cyber security of energy management system (EMS) against data attacks. First we extend our analytic framework that characterizes data attacks as optimization problems with the objectives specified as security metrics and constraints corresponding to the communication network properties. Second, we build a platform…
Leveraging Large Language Models for Cybersecurity Risk Assessment -- A Case from Forestry Cyber-Physical Systems
Chalmers University of Technology（楚德斯技术大学）；University of Gothenburg（哥德堡大学）；Carnegie Mellon University（卡内基梅隆大学）；RISE Research Institutes of Sweden（瑞典RISE研究机构）
PrompTrend: Continuous Community-Driven Vulnerability Discovery and Assessment for Large Language Models
University of Manouba（曼努巴大学）；University of Jendouba（杰努布大学）；LETI Laboratory, University of Sfax（萨克斯大学LETI实验室）；DataDoIt（DataDoIt公司）；South Mediterranean University（南地中海大学）
Governments around the world are required to strengthen their national cybersecurity capabilities to respond effectively to the growing, changing, and sophisticated cyber threats and attacks, thus protecting society and the way of life as a whole. Responsible government institutions need to revise, evaluate, and bolster their national cybersecurity capabilities to fulfill the new requirements, for example regarding new trends affecting cybersecurity, key supporting laws and regulations, and implementations risk and challenges. This report presents a comprehensive assessment instrument for cybe…
The George Washington University（乔治华盛顿大学）；University of North Texas（北德克萨斯大学）
Graph neural networks (GNNs) have been utilized to create multi-layer graph models for a number of cybersecurity applications from fraud detection to software vulnerability analysis. Unfortunately, like traditional neural networks, GNNs also suffer from a lack of transparency, that is, it is challenging to interpret the model predictions. Prior works focused on specific factor explanations for a GNN model. In this work, we have designed and implemented Illuminati, a comprehensive and accurate explanation framework for cybersecurity applications using GNN models. Given a graph and a pre-trained…
The increasing interaction of industrial control systems (ICSs) with public networks and digital devices introduces new cyber threats to power systems and other critical infrastructure. Recent cyber-physical attacks such as Stuxnet and Irongate revealed unexpected ICS vulnerabilities and a need for improved security measures. Intrusion detection systems constitute a key security technology, which typically monitors cyber network data for detecting malicious activities. However, a central characteristic of modern ICSs is the increasing interdependency of physical and cyber network processes. Th…
The assessment of cyber risk plays a crucial role for cybersecurity management, and has become a compulsory task for certain types of companies and organizations. This makes the demand for reliable cyber risk assessment tools continuously increasing, especially concerning quantitative tools based on statistical approaches. Probabilistic cyber risk assessment methods, however, follow the general paradigm of probabilistic risk assessment, which requires the magnitude and the likelihood of incidents as inputs. Unfortunately, for cyber incidents, the likelihood of occurrence is hard to estimate ba…
Center for Security and Emerging Technology（安全与新兴技术中心）；Georgetown University（乔治城大学）
We aim to demonstrate the value of mathematical models for policy debates about technological progress in cybersecurity by considering phishing, vulnerability discovery, and the dynamics between patching and exploitation. We then adjust the inputs to those mathematical models to match some possible advances in their underlying technology. We find that AI's impact on phishing may be overestimated but could lead to more attacks going undetected. Advances in vulnerability discovery have the potential to help attackers more than defenders. And automation that writes exploits is more useful to atta…
The University of Adelaide（阿德莱德大学）；Cyber Security Cooperative Research Centre（网络安全合作研究中心）
Software Vulnerabilities (SVs) are increasing in complexity and scale, posing great security risks to many software systems. Given the limited resources in practice, SV assessment and prioritization help practitioners devise optimal SV mitigation plans based on various SV characteristics. The surges in SV data sources and data-driven techniques such as Machine Learning and Deep Learning have taken SV assessment and prioritization to the next level. Our survey provides a taxonomy of the past research efforts and highlights the best practices for data-driven SV assessment and prioritization. We …
Cyber risk assessment is a fundamental activity for enhancing the protection of an organization, identifying and evaluating the exposure to cyber threats. Currently, this activity is carried out mainly manually and the identification and correct quantification of risks deeply depend on the experience and confidence of the human assessor. As a consequence, the process is not completely objective and two parallel assessments of the same situation may lead to different results. This paper takes a step in the direction of reducing the degree of subjectivity by proposing a methodology to support ri…
