arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2011.00399cs.CV

Temporally-Continuous Probabilistic Prediction using Polynomial Trajectory Parameterization

Uber Advanced Technologies Group(优步先进技术集团)

Zhaoen Su, Chao Wang, Henggang Cui, Nemanja Djuric, Carlos Vallespi-Gonzalez, David Bradley

英文摘要:

A commonly-used representation for motion prediction of actors is a sequence of waypoints (comprising positions and orientations) for each actor at discrete future time-points. While this approach is simple and flexible, it can exhibit unrealistic higher-order derivatives (such as acceleration) and approximation errors at intermediate time steps. To address this issue we propose a simple and general representation for temporally continuous probabilistic trajectory prediction that is based on polynomial trajectory parameterization. We evaluate the proposed representation on supervised trajectory prediction tasks using two large self-driving data sets. The results show realistic higher-order derivatives and better accuracy at interpolated time-points, as well as the benefits of the inferred noise distributions over the trajectories. Extensive experimental studies based on existing state-of-the-art models demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach relative to other representations in predicting the future motions of vehicle, bicyclist, and pedestrian traffic actors.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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