arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2010.09875cs.LGstat.ML

Combining Ensembles and Data Augmentation can Harm your Calibration

University of Texas Austin(德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校);Google Brain(谷歌大脑)

Yeming Wen, Ghassen Jerfel, Rafael Muller, Michael W. Dusenberry, Jasper Snoek, Balaji Lakshminarayanan, Dustin Tran

英文摘要:

Ensemble methods which average over multiple neural network predictions are a simple approach to improve a model's calibration and robustness. Similarly, data augmentation techniques, which encode prior information in the form of invariant feature transformations, are effective for improving calibration and robustness. In this paper, we show a surprising pathology: combining ensembles and data augmentation can harm model calibration. This leads to a trade-off in practice, whereby improved accuracy by combining the two techniques comes at the expense of calibration. On the other hand, selecting only one of the techniques ensures good uncertainty estimates at the expense of accuracy. We investigate this pathology and identify a compounding under-confidence among methods which marginalize over sets of weights and data augmentation techniques which soften labels. Finally, we propose a simple correction, achieving the best of both worlds with significant accuracy and calibration gains over using only ensembles or data augmentation individually. Applying the correction produces new state-of-the art in uncertainty calibration across CIFAR-10, CIFAR-100, and ImageNet.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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