Gaussian processes offer a flexible kernel method for regression. While Gaussian processes have many useful theoretical properties and have proven practically useful, they suffer from poor scaling in the number of observations. In particular, the cubic time complexity of updating standard Gaussian process models make them generally unsuitable for application to streaming data. We propose an algorithm for sequentially partitioning the input space and fitting a localized Gaussian process to each disjoint region. The algorithm is shown to have superior time and space complexity to existing methods, and its sequential nature permits application to streaming data. The algorithm constructs a model for which the time complexity of updating is tightly bounded above by a pre-specified parameter. To the best of our knowledge, the model is the first local Gaussian process regression model to achieve linear memory complexity. Theoretical continuity properties of the model are proven. We demonstrate the efficacy of the resulting model on multi-dimensional regression tasks for streaming data.
Australian Artificial Intelligence Institute（澳大利亚人工智能研究所）；University of Technology Sydney（悉尼科技大学）
As a powerful Bayesian non-parameterized algorithm, the Gaussian process (GP) has performed a significant role in Bayesian optimization and signal processing. GPs have also advanced online decision-making systems because their posterior distribution has a closed-form solution. However, its training and inference process requires all historic data to be stored and the GP model to be trained from scratch. For those reasons, several online GP algorithms, such as O-SGPR and O-SVGP, have been specifically designed for streaming settings. In this paper, we present a new theoretical framework for onl…
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University（弗吉尼亚理工学院暨州立大学）；U.S. Army Research Laboratory（美国陆军研究实验室）
Gaussian processes (GPs) are a well-known nonparametric Bayesian inference technique, but they suffer from scalability problems for large sample sizes, and their performance can degrade for non-stationary or spatially heterogeneous data. In this work, we seek to overcome these issues through (i) employing variational free energy approximations of GPs operating in tandem with online expectation propagation steps; and (ii) introducing a local splitting step which instantiates a new GP whenever the posterior distribution changes significantly as quantified by the Wasserstein metric over posterior…
Data collection at a massive scale is becoming ubiquitous in a wide variety of settings, from vast offline databases to streaming real-time information. Learning algorithms deployed in such contexts must rely on single-pass inference, where the data history is never revisited. In streaming contexts, learning must also be temporally adaptive to remain up-to-date against unforeseen changes in the data generating mechanism. Although rapidly growing, the online Bayesian inference literature remains challenged by massive data and transient, evolving data streams. Non-parametric modelling techniques…
Streaming adaptations of manifold learning based dimensionality reduction methods, such as Isomap, are based on the assumption that a small initial batch of observations is enough for exact learning of the manifold, while remaining streaming data instances can be cheaply mapped to this manifold. However, there are no theoretical results to show that this core assumption is valid. Moreover, such methods typically assume that the underlying data distribution is stationary. Such methods are not equipped to detect, or handle, sudden changes or gradual drifts in the distribution that may occur when…
The Alan Turing Institute（艾伦·图灵研究所）；University of Warwick（华威大学）
We present the very first robust Bayesian Online Changepoint Detection algorithm through General Bayesian Inference (GBI) with $β$-divergences. The resulting inference procedure is doubly robust for both the parameter and the changepoint (CP) posterior, with linear time and constant space complexity. We provide a construction for exponential models and demonstrate it on the Bayesian Linear Regression model. In so doing, we make two additional contributions: Firstly, we make GBI scalable using Structural Variational approximations that are exact as $β\to 0$. Secondly, we give a principled way o…
We develop algorithms for performing semiparametric regression analysis in real time, with data processed as it is collected and made immediately available via modern telecommunications technologies. Our definition of semiparametric regression is quite broad and includes, as special cases, generalized linear mixed models, generalized additive models, geostatistical models, wavelet nonparametric regression models and their various combinations. Fast updating of regression fits is achieved by couching semiparametric regression into a Bayesian hierarchical model or, equivalently, graphical model …
MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound
Faculty of Information and Technology University of Science Vietnam National University Ho Chi Minh City（信息科技学院科学大学越南国家大学胡志明市）；Department of Computer Science University of Warwick（计算机科学系沃里克大学）
Creating maps is an essential task in robotics and provides the basis for effective planning and navigation. In this paper, we learn a compact and continuous implicit surface map of an environment from a stream of range data with known poses. For this, we create and incrementally adjust an ensemble of approximate Gaussian process (GP) experts which are each responsible for a different part of the map. Instead of inserting all arriving data into the GP models, we greedily trade-off between model complexity and prediction error. Our algorithm therefore uses less resources on areas with few geome…
We propose an approach to reduce the bias of ridge regression and regularization kernel network. When applied to a single data set the new algorithms have comparable learning performance with the original ones. When applied to incremental learning with block wise streaming data the new algorithms are more efficient due to bias reduction. Both theoretical characterizations and simulation studies are used to verify the effectiveness of these new algorithms.
Gaussian Process Regression and Kernel Ridge Regression are popular nonparametric regression approaches. Unfortunately, they suffer from high computational complexity rendering them inapplicable to the modern massive datasets. To that end a number of approximations have been suggested, some of them allowing for a distributed implementation. One of them is the divide and conquer approach, splitting the data into a number of partitions, obtaining the local estimates and finally averaging them. In this paper we suggest a novel computationally efficient fully data-driven algorithm, quantifying unc…
We present a sparse analogue to stochastic gradient descent that is guaranteed to perform well under similar conditions to the lasso. In the linear regression setup with irrepresentable noise features, our algorithm recovers the support set of the optimal parameter vector with high probability, and achieves a statistically quasi-optimal rate of convergence of Op(k log(d)/T), where k is the sparsity of the solution, d is the number of features, and T is the number of training examples. Meanwhile, our algorithm does not require any more computational resources than stochastic gradient descent. I…
We provide a deterministic space-efficient algorithm for estimating ridge regression. For $n$ data points with $d$ features and a large enough regularization parameter, we provide a solution within $\varepsilon$ L$_2$ error using only $O(d/\varepsilon)$ space. This is the first $o(d^2)$ space deterministic streaming algorithm with guaranteed solution error and risk bound for this classic problem. The algorithm sketches the covariance matrix by variants of Frequent Directions, which implies it can operate in insertion-only streams and a variety of distributed data settings. In comparisons to ra…
Laval University（拉瓦尔大学）；INRIA（法国国家信息与自动化研究所）；McGill University（麦吉尔大学）
We consider the problem of streaming kernel regression, when the observations arrive sequentially and the goal is to recover the underlying mean function, assumed to belong to an RKHS. The variance of the noise is not assumed to be known. In this context, we tackle the problem of tuning the regularization parameter adaptively at each time step, while maintaining tight confidence bounds estimates on the value of the mean function at each point. To this end, we first generalize existing results for finite-dimensional linear regression with fixed regularization and known variance to the kernel se…
Flexibly modeling how an entire density changes with covariates is an important but challenging generalization of mean and quantile regression. While existing methods for density regression primarily consist of covariate-dependent discrete mixture models, we consider a continuous latent variable model in general covariate spaces, which we call DR-BART. The prior mapping the latent variable to the observed data is constructed via a novel application of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART). We prove that the posterior induced by our model concentrates quickly around true generative function…
In the Bayesian approach, the a priori knowledge about the input of a mathematical model is described via a probability measure. The joint distribution of the unknown input and the data is then conditioned, using Bayes' formula, giving rise to the posterior distribution on the unknown input. In this setting we prove posterior consistency for nonlinear inverse problems: a sequence of data is considered, with diminishing fluctuations around a single truth and it is then of interest to show that the resulting sequence of posterior measures arising from this sequence of data concentrates around th…
Decision tree classifiers are a widely used tool in data stream mining. The use of confidence intervals to estimate the gain associated with each split leads to very effective methods, like the popular Hoeffding tree algorithm. From a statistical viewpoint, the analysis of decision tree classifiers in a streaming setting requires knowing when enough new information has been collected to justify splitting a leaf. Although some of the issues in the statistical analysis of Hoeffding trees have been already clarified, a general and rigorous study of confidence intervals for splitting criteria is m…
Center for Automation Research, University of Maryland, College Park（马里兰大学帕克分校自动化研究中心）
In this work, we propose a novel node splitting method for regression trees and incorporate it into the regression forest framework. Unlike traditional binary splitting, where the splitting rule is selected from a predefined set of binary splitting rules via trial-and-error, the proposed node splitting method first finds clusters of the training data which at least locally minimize the empirical loss without considering the input space. Then splitting rules which preserve the found clusters as much as possible are determined by casting the problem into a classification problem. Consequently, o…
Linear regression is arguably the most prominent among statistical inference methods, popular both for its simplicity as well as its broad applicability. On par with data-intensive applications, the sheer size of linear regression problems creates an ever growing demand for quick and cost efficient solvers. Fortunately, a significant percentage of the data accrued can be omitted while maintaining a certain quality of statistical inference with an affordable computational budget. The present paper introduces means of identifying and omitting "less informative" observations in an online and data…
Coresets are small data summaries that are sufficient for model training. They can be maintained online, enabling efficient handling of large data streams under resource constraints. However, existing constructions are limited to simple models such as k-means and logistic regression. In this work, we propose a novel coreset construction via cardinality-constrained bilevel optimization. We show how our framework can efficiently generate coresets for deep neural networks, and demonstrate its empirical benefits in continual learning and in streaming settings.
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology（香港科技大学）；Tower Research Capital LLC（Tower研究资本有限责任公司）；University of Toronto（多伦多大学）
Sparse regression has been a popular approach to perform variable selection and enhance the prediction accuracy and interpretability of the resulting statistical model. Existing approaches focus on offline regularized regression, while the online scenario has rarely been studied. In this paper, we propose a novel online sparse linear regression framework for analyzing streaming data when data points arrive sequentially. Our proposed method is memory efficient and requires less stringent restricted strong convexity assumptions. Theoretically, we show that with a properly chosen regularization p…
Bilkent university（比尔肯特大学）；university of Surrey（萨里大学）
The paper introduces a new efficient nonlinear one-class classifier formulated as the Rayleigh quotient criterion optimisation. The method, operating in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, minimises the scatter of target distribution along an optimal projection direction while at the same time keeping projections of positive observations distant from the mean of the negative class. We provide a graph embedding view of the problem which can then be solved efficiently using the spectral regression approach. In this sense, unlike previous similar methods which often require costly eigen-computati…
We propose a framework to perform streaming covariance selection. Our approach employs regularization constraints where a time-varying sparsity parameter is iteratively estimated via stochastic gradient descent. This allows for the regularization parameter to be efficiently learnt in an online manner. The proposed framework is developed for linear regression models and extended to graphical models via neighbourhood selection. Under mild assumptions, we are able to obtain convergence results in a non-stochastic setting. The capabilities of such an approach are demonstrated using both synthetic …
In marketing we are often confronted with a continuous stream of responses to marketing messages. Such streaming data provide invaluable information regarding message effectiveness and segmentation. However, streaming data are hard to analyze using conventional methods: their high volume and the fact that they are continuously augmented means that it takes considerable time to analyze them. We propose a method for estimating a finite mixture of logistic regression models which can be used to cluster customers based on a continuous stream of responses. This method, which we coin oFMLR, allows s…
Autonomous construction of deep neural network (DNNs) is desired for data streams because it potentially offers two advantages: proper model's capacity and quick reaction to drift and shift. While the self-organizing mechanism of DNNs remains an open issue, this task is even more challenging to be developed for standard multi-layer DNNs than that using the different-depth structures, because the addition of a new layer results in information loss of previously trained knowledge. A Neural Network with Dynamically Evolved Capacity (NADINE) is proposed in this paper. NADINE features a fully open …
We propose a tree-based algorithm for classification and regression problems in the context of functional data analysis, which allows to leverage representation learning and multiple splitting rules at the node level, reducing generalization error while retaining the interpretability of a tree. This is achieved by learning a weighted functional $L^{2}$ space by means of constrained convex optimization, which is then used to extract multiple weighted integral features from the input functions, in order to determine the binary split for each internal node of the tree. The approach is designed to…
It is common to split a dataset into training and testing sets before fitting a statistical or machine learning model. However, there is no clear guidance on how much data should be used for training and testing. In this article we show that the optimal splitting ratio is $\sqrt{p}:1$, where $p$ is the number of parameters in a linear regression model that explains the data well.
In this article we propose an optimal method referred to as SPlit for splitting a dataset into training and testing sets. SPlit is based on the method of Support Points (SP), which was initially developed for finding the optimal representative points of a continuous distribution. We adapt SP for subsampling from a dataset using a sequential nearest neighbor algorithm. We also extend SP to deal with categorical variables so that SPlit can be applied to both regression and classification problems. The implementation of SPlit on real datasets shows substantial improvement in the worst-case testin…
Virginia Tech（弗吉尼亚理工大学）；George Mason University（乔治梅森大学）；U. S. Army Corps of Engineers（美国陆军工程兵团）
The presence of data corruption in user-generated streaming data, such as social media, motivates a new fundamental problem that learns reliable regression coefficient when features are not accessible entirely at one time. Until now, several important challenges still cannot be handled concurrently: 1) corrupted data estimation when only partial features are accessible; 2) online feature selection when data contains adversarial corruption; and 3) scaling to a massive dataset. This paper proposes a novel RObust regression algorithm via Online Feature Selection (\textit{RoOFS}) that concurrently…
The $\ell_p$ linear regression problem is to minimize $f(x)=||Ax-b||_p$ over $x\in\mathbb{R}^d$, where $A\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times d}$, $b\in \mathbb{R}^n$, and $p>0$. To avoid overfitting and bound $||x||_2$, the constrained $\ell_p$ regression minimizes $f(x)$ over every unit vector $x\in\mathbb{R}^d$. This makes the problem non-convex even for the simplest case $d=p=2$. Instead, ridge regression is used to minimize the Lagrange form $f(x)+λ||x||_2$ over $x\in\mathbb{R}^d$, which yields a convex problem in the price of calibrating the regularization parameter $λ>0$. We provide the first provabl…
Technical University of Braunschweig（不伦瑞克工业大学）；University of Potsdam（波茨坦大学）
While large training datasets generally offer improvement in model performance, the training process becomes computationally expensive and time consuming. Distributed learning is a common strategy to reduce the overall training time by exploiting multiple computing devices. Recently, it has been observed in the single machine setting that overparametrization is essential for benign overfitting in ridgeless regression in Hilbert spaces. We show that in this regime, data splitting has a regularizing effect, hence improving statistical performance and computational complexity at the same time. We…
On Optimal Data Splitting for Split Conformal Prediction
Department of Statistics and Data Science, Washington University in St. Louis（华盛顿大学圣路易斯分校统计与数据科学系）；Department of Electrical and Systems Engineering, Washington University in St. Louis（华盛顿大学圣路易斯分校电气与系统工程系）
While studying response trajectory, often the population of interest may be diverse enough to exist distinct subgroups within it and the longitudinal change in response may not be uniform in these subgroups. That is, the timeslope and/or influence of covariates in longitudinal profile may vary among these different subgroups. For example, Raudenbush (2001) used depression as an example to argue that it is incorrect to assume that all the people in a given population would be experiencing either increasing or decreasing levels of depression. In such cases, traditional linear mixed effects model…
University of Oslo（奥斯陆大学）；Simula School of Research and Innovation（西穆拉研究与创新学院）；University College London（伦敦大学学院）；Simula Research Laboratory（西穆拉研究实验室）；University of California San Diego（加利福尼亚大学圣迭戈分校）
Kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a popular scheme for non-linear non-parametric learning. However, existing implementations of KRR require that all the data is stored in the main memory, which severely limits the use of KRR in contexts where data size far exceeds the memory size. Such applications are increasingly common in data mining, bioinformatics, and control. A powerful paradigm for computing on data sets that are too large for memory is the streaming model of computation, where we process one data sample at a time, discarding each sample before moving on to the next one. In this paper, …
This paper presents a new approach for trees-based regression, such as simple regression tree, random forest and gradient boosting, in settings involving correlated data. We show the problems that arise when implementing standard trees-based regression models, which ignore the correlation structure. Our new approach explicitly takes the correlation structure into account in the splitting criterion, stopping rules and fitted values in the leaves, which induces some major modifications of standard methodology. The superiority of our new approach over trees-based models that do not account for th…
This paper defines the notion of class discrepancy for families of functions. It shows that low discrepancy classes admit small offline and streaming coresets. We provide general techniques for bounding the class discrepancy of machine learning problems. As corollaries of the general technique we bound the discrepancy (and therefore coreset complexity) of logistic regression, sigmoid activation loss, matrix covariance, kernel density and any analytic function of the dot product or the squared distance. Our results prove the existence of epsilon-approximation O(sqrt{d}/epsilon) sized coresets f…
This paper considers online convex optimization (OCO) problems - the paramount framework for online learning algorithm design. The loss function of learning task in OCO setting is based on streaming data so that OCO is a powerful tool to model large scale applications such as online recommender systems. Meanwhile, real-world data are usually of extreme high-dimensional due to modern feature engineering techniques so that the quadratic regression is impractical. Factorization Machine as well as its variants are efficient models for capturing feature interactions with low-rank matrix model but t…
Gatsby Computational Neuroscience Unit, UCL（伦敦大学学院盖茨比计算神经科学单元）；Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London（伦敦帝国理工学院数学系）；WMG, University of Warwick（华威大学制造工程学院）
Large scale, streaming datasets are ubiquitous in modern machine learning. Streaming algorithms must be scalable, amenable to incremental training and robust to the presence of non-stationarity. In this work consider the problem of learning $\ell_1$ regularized linear models in the context of streaming data. In particular, the focus of this work revolves around how to select the regularization parameter when data arrives sequentially and the underlying distribution is non-stationary (implying the choice of optimal regularization parameter is itself time-varying). We propose a framework through…
We consider the robust linear regression problem in the online setting where we have access to the data in a streaming manner, one data point after the other. More specifically, for a true parameter $θ^*$, we consider the corrupted Gaussian linear model $y = \langle x , \ θ^* \rangle + \varepsilon + b$ where the adversarial noise $b$ can take any value with probability $η$ and equals zero otherwise. We consider this adversary to be oblivious (i.e., $b$ independent of the data) since this is the only contamination model under which consistency is possible. Current algorithms rely on having the …
This paper studies the inference problem in quantile regression (QR) for a large sample size $n$ but under a limited memory constraint, where the memory can only store a small batch of data of size $m$. A natural method is the naïve divide-and-conquer approach, which splits data into batches of size $m$, computes the local QR estimator for each batch, and then aggregates the estimators via averaging. However, this method only works when $n=o(m^2)$ and is computationally expensive. This paper proposes a computationally efficient method, which only requires an initial QR estimator on a small bat…
Data is continuously generated by modern data sources, and a recent challenge in machine learning has been to develop techniques that perform well in an incremental (streaming) setting. In this paper, we investigate the problem of private machine learning, where as common in practice, the data is not given at once, but rather arrives incrementally over time. We introduce the problems of private incremental ERM and private incremental regression where the general goal is to always maintain a good empirical risk minimizer for the history observed under differential privacy. Our first contributio…
