arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2007.08254physics.soc-phcs.SI
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中国大陆对COVID-19大流行的遏制措施调查

An Investigation of Containment Measures Against the COVID-19 Pandemic in Mainland China

Ji Liu, Xiakai Wang, Haoyi Xiong, Jizhou Huang, Siyu Huang, Haozhe An, Dejing Dou, Haifeng Wang

摘要:

随着近期COVID-19疫情在全球迅速蔓延,各国已采取各种遏制措施以对抗COVID-19疫情。在中国大陆,遏制措施包括三种类型,即,武汉出行禁令、市内隔离检疫、城际出行限制。为了实施这些措施,地方经济和信息获取发挥着重要作用。本论文探讨当地经济与中国内地为抗击COVID-19疫情而采取的防控措施的相关性。首先,我们使用一个简约的模型,即,SIR-X模型,估计代表中国大陆主要城市实施市内隔离检疫的参数。为了了解城市内部隔离和隔离的执行情况,我们分析了地方经济、流动性和信息获取等代表性参数之间的相关性。为此,我们从一个广泛使用的网络地图服务中收集了国内生产总值(GDP)、武汉流入和流出的数据,以及COVID-19相关的搜索频率,即,百度地图和网络搜索引擎,即,百度搜索引擎,在中国大陆。在此基础上,我们确认了中国大陆主要城市的地方经济与信息获取执行之间的强相关性。我们进一步证明,尽管人均GDP高的城市吸引了更多的武汉流入,但人们更有可能采取隔离措施,减少外出到其他城市。最后,使用搜索数据的相关性分析表明,消息灵通的个人可能会采取遏制措施。

英文摘要:

As the recent COVID-19 outbreak rapidly expands all over the world, various containment measures have been carried out to fight against the COVID-19 pandemic. In Mainland China, the containment measures consist of three types, i.e., Wuhan travel ban, intra-city quarantine and isolation, and inter-city travel restriction. In order to carry out the measures, local economy and information acquisition play an important role. In this paper, we investigate the correlation of local economy and the information acquisition on the execution of containment measures to fight against the COVID-19 pandemic in Mainland China. First, we use a parsimonious model, i.e., SIR-X model, to estimate the parameters, which represent the execution of intra-city quarantine and isolation in major cities of Mainland China. In order to understand the execution of intra-city quarantine and isolation, we analyze the correlation between the representative parameters including local economy, mobility, and information acquisition. To this end, we collect the data of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the inflows from Wuhan and outflows, and the COVID-19 related search frequency from a widely-used Web mapping service, i.e., Baidu Maps, and Web search engine, i.e., Baidu Search Engine, in Mainland China. Based on the analysis, we confirm the strong correlation between the local economy and the execution of information acquisition in major cities of Mainland China. We further evidence that, although the cities with high GDP per capita attracts bigger inflows from Wuhan, people are more likely to conduct the quarantine measure and to reduce going out to other cities. Finally, the correlation analysis using search data shows that well-informed individuals are likely to carry out containment measures.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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