按宗教分列的UK Covid19死亡率说明：哪些群体风险最大？
A Note on UK Covid19 death rates by religion: which groups are most at risk?
摘要：
在英国，人们非常担心来自BAME（黑人和少数民族）社区的人死于Covid 19的风险远远高于其他种族。然而，政府的国家统计局（国家统计局）关于宗教死亡的最新报告的总体死亡数据显示，犹太人（其中很少被列为BAME）的风险远远高于以BAME为主的宗教（印度教，锡克教，穆斯林）。根据国家统计局的统计分析，这一明显矛盾的结果是由年龄隐含解释的，因为报告声称，当“年龄调整”穆斯林的死亡风险最高。然而，该报告未能提供原始数据来支持这一点。在对基于宗教/种族的风险做出明确结论之前，必须将年龄以外的许多因素纳入对观察数据的任何分析中。我们提出需要一个因果模型。如果我们不考虑未知的遗传因素，那么一旦我们知道一个人的年龄，潜在的医疗状况，工作/生活条件和社交距离的程度，宗教和种族对他的Covid 19死亡风险没有任何影响。
英文摘要：
There has been great concern in the UK that people from the BAME (Black And Minority Ethnic) community have a far higher risk of dying from Covid19 than those of other ethnicities. However, the overall fatalities data from the Government's ONS (Office of National Statistics) most recent report on deaths by religion shows that Jews (very few of whom are classified as BAME) have a much higher risk than those of religions (Hindu, Sikh, Muslim) with predominantly BAME people. This apparently contradictory result is, according to the ONS statistical analysis, implicitly explained by age as the report claims that, when 'adjusted for age' Muslims have the highest fatality risk. However, the report fails to provide the raw data to support this. There are many factors other than just age that must be incorporated into any analysis of the observed data before making definitive conclusions about risk based on religion/ethnicity. We propose the need for a causal model for this. If we discount unknown genetic factors, then religion and ethnicity have NO impact at all on a person's Covid19 death risk once we know their age, underlying medical conditions, work/living conditions, and extent of social distancing.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
