Stationary stochastic processes (SPs) are a key component of many probabilistic models, such as those for off-the-grid spatio-temporal data. They enable the statistical symmetry of underlying physical phenomena to be leveraged, thereby aiding generalization. Prediction in such models can be viewed as a translation equivariant map from observed data sets to predictive SPs, emphasizing the intimate relationship between stationarity and equivariance. Building on this, we propose the Convolutional Neural Process (ConvNP), which endows Neural Processes (NPs) with translation equivariance and extends convolutional conditional NPs to allow for dependencies in the predictive distribution. The latter enables ConvNPs to be deployed in settings which require coherent samples, such as Thompson sampling or conditional image completion. Moreover, we propose a new maximum-likelihood objective to replace the standard ELBO objective in NPs, which conceptually simplifies the framework and empirically improves performance. We demonstrate the strong performance and generalization capabilities of ConvNPs on 1D regression, image completion, and various tasks with real-world spatio-temporal data.
University of Southern California(南加州大学);VinUniversity(Vin大学);VinAI Research(VinAI研究院);DeepMind(深度思维);Google Research(谷歌研究院)
We study a sequential decision problem where the learner faces a sequence of $K$-armed bandit tasks. The task boundaries might be known (the bandit meta-learning setting), or unknown (the non-stationary bandit setting). For a given integer $M\le K$, the learner aims to compete with the best subset of arms of size $M$. We design an algorithm based on a reduction to bandit submodular maximization, and show that, for $T$ rounds comprised of $N$ tasks, in the regime of large number of tasks and small number of optimal arms $M$, its regret in both settings is smaller than the simple baseline of $\t…
We are interested in learning models of non-stationary environments, which can be framed as a multi-task learning problem. Model-free reinforcement learning algorithms can achieve good asymptotic performance in multi-task learning at a cost of extensive sampling, due to their approach, which requires learning from scratch. While model-based approaches are among the most data efficient learning algorithms, they still struggle with complex tasks and model uncertainties. Meta-reinforcement learning addresses the efficiency and generalization challenges on multi task learning by quickly leveraging…
Model interpretability is a requirement in many applications in which crucial decisions are made by users relying on a model's outputs. The recent movement for "algorithmic fairness" also stipulates explainability, and therefore interpretability of learning models. And yet the most successful contemporary Machine Learning approaches, the Deep Neural Networks, produce models that are highly non-interpretable. We attempt to address this challenge by proposing a technique called CNN-INTE to interpret deep Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) via meta-learning. In this work, we interpret a specific…
Fondazione Bruno Kessler (FBK)(布鲁诺·凯斯勒基金会);University of Edinburgh(爱丁堡大学);University of Trento(特伦托大学)
Background: Convolutional Neural Networks can be effectively used only when data are endowed with an intrinsic concept of neighbourhood in the input space, as is the case of pixels in images. We introduce here Ph-CNN, a novel deep learning architecture for the classification of metagenomics data based on the Convolutional Neural Networks, with the patristic distance defined on the phylogenetic tree being used as the proximity measure. The patristic distance between variables is used together with a sparsified version of MultiDimensional Scaling to embed the phylogenetic tree in a Euclidean spa…
Model-agnostic meta-learning (MAML) formulates meta-learning as a bilevel optimization problem, where the inner level solves each subtask based on a shared prior, while the outer level searches for the optimal shared prior by optimizing its aggregated performance over all the subtasks. Despite its empirical success, MAML remains less understood in theory, especially in terms of its global optimality, due to the nonconvexity of the meta-objective (the outer-level objective). To bridge such a gap between theory and practice, we characterize the optimality gap of the stationary points attained by…
The recent surge in Deep Learning (DL) research of the past decade has successfully provided solutions to many difficult problems. The field of quantitative analysis has been slowly adapting the new methods to its problems, but due to problems such as the non-stationary nature of financial data, significant challenges must be overcome before DL is fully utilized. In this work a new method to construct stationary features, that allows DL models to be applied effectively, is proposed. These features are thoroughly tested on the task of predicting mid price movements of the Limit Order Book. Seve…
State University of New York at Buffalo(纽约州立大学布法罗分校);JD Explore Academy(京东探索研究院);Columbia University(哥伦比亚大学);Meta
The paradigm of machine intelligence moves from purely supervised learning to a more practical scenario when many loosely related unlabeled data are available and labeled data is scarce. Most existing algorithms assume that the underlying task distribution is stationary. Here we consider a more realistic and challenging setting in that task distributions evolve over time. We name this problem as Semi-supervised meta-learning with Evolving Task diStributions, abbreviated as SETS. Two key challenges arise in this more realistic setting: (i) how to use unlabeled data in the presence of a large am…
Tsinghua University(清华大学);University of Washington(华盛顿大学)
Multistep traffic forecasting on road networks is a crucial task in successful intelligent transportation system applications. To capture the complex non-stationary temporal dynamics and spatial dependency in multistep traffic-condition prediction, we propose a novel deep learning framework named attention graph convolutional sequence-to-sequence model (AGC-Seq2Seq). In the proposed deep learning framework, spatial and temporal dependencies are modeled through the Seq2Seq model and graph convolution network separately, and the attention mechanism along with a newly designed training method bas…
Convolutional deep sets are the architecture of a deep neural network (DNN) that can model stationary stochastic process. This architecture uses the kernel smoother and the DNN to construct the translation equivariant functional representations, and thus reflects the inductive bias of the stationarity into DNN. However, since this architecture employs the kernel smoother known as the non-parametric model, it may produce ambiguous representations when the number of data points is not given sufficiently. To remedy this issue, we introduce Bayesian convolutional deep sets that construct the rando…
In this paper, we study the self-healing problem of unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) swarm network (USNET) that is required to quickly rebuild the communication connectivity under unpredictable external disruptions (UEDs). Firstly, to cope with the one-off UEDs, we propose a graph convolutional neural network (GCN) and find the recovery topology of the USNET in an on-line manner. Secondly, to cope with general UEDs, we develop a GCN based trajectory planning algorithm that can make UAVs rebuild the communication connectivity during the self-healing process. We also design a meta learning scheme t…
Max-Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems(马克斯·普朗克智能系统研究所);Univ. Grenoble Alpes(格勒诺布尔大学);Inria(法国国家信息与自动化研究所);CNRS(法国国家科学研究中心);Grenoble INP(格勒诺布尔理工学院);Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学)
Online forecasting under a changing environment has been a problem of increasing importance in many real-world applications. In this paper, we consider the meta-algorithm presented in \citet{zhang2017dynamic} combined with different subroutines. We show that an expected cumulative error of order $\tilde{O}(n^{1/3} C_n^{2/3})$ can be obtained for non-stationary online linear regression where the total variation of parameter sequence is bounded by $C_n$. Our paper extends the result of online forecasting of one-dimensional time-series as proposed in \cite{baby2019online} to general $d$-dimension…
Institute of Information Engineering, Chinese Academy of Sciences(中国科学院信息工程研究所);School of Cyber Security, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences(中国科学院大学网络空间安全学院)
Recently, non-stationary spectral kernels have drawn much attention, owing to its powerful feature representation ability in revealing long-range correlations and input-dependent characteristics. However, non-stationary spectral kernels are still shallow models, thus they are deficient to learn both hierarchical features and local interdependence. In this paper, to obtain hierarchical and local knowledge, we build an interpretable convolutional spectral kernel network (\texttt{CSKN}) based on the inverse Fourier transform, where we introduce deep architectures and convolutional filters into no…
The novel corona virus (Covid-19) has introduced significant challenges due to its rapid spreading nature through respiratory transmission. As a result, there is a huge demand for Artificial Intelligence (AI) based quick disease diagnosis methods as an alternative to high demand tests such as Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR). Chest X-ray (CXR) Image analysis is such cost-effective radiography technique due to resource availability and quick screening. But, a sufficient and systematic data collection that is required by complex deep leaning (DL) models is more difficult and hence there are recen…
Helsinki Institute for Information Technology, HIIT(赫尔辛基信息技术研究所(HIIT));Aalto University(阿尔托大学)
We introduce the convolutional spectral kernel (CSK), a novel family of non-stationary, nonparametric covariance kernels for Gaussian process (GP) models, derived from the convolution between two imaginary radial basis functions. We present a principled framework to interpret CSK, as well as other deep probabilistic models, using approximated Fourier transform, yielding a concise representation of input-frequency spectrogram. Observing through the lens of the spectrogram, we provide insight on the interpretability of deep models. We then infer the functional hyperparameters using scalable vari…
In this work, we are interested in generalizing convolutional neural networks (CNNs) from low-dimensional regular grids, where image, video and speech are represented, to high-dimensional irregular domains, such as social networks, brain connectomes or words' embedding, represented by graphs. We present a formulation of CNNs in the context of spectral graph theory, which provides the necessary mathematical background and efficient numerical schemes to design fast localized convolutional filters on graphs. Importantly, the proposed technique offers the same linear computational complexity and c…
Goethe University(歌德大学);Egnatia Odos A. E.(埃格纳蒂亚公路公司)
Recognition of defects in concrete infrastructure, especially in bridges, is a costly and time consuming crucial first step in the assessment of the structural integrity. Large variation in appearance of the concrete material, changing illumination and weather conditions, a variety of possible surface markings as well as the possibility for different types of defects to overlap, make it a challenging real-world task. In this work we introduce the novel COncrete DEfect BRidge IMage dataset (CODEBRIM) for multi-target classification of five commonly appearing concrete defects. We investigate and…
We develop ensemble Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to classify the transportation mode of trip data collected as part of a large-scale smartphone travel survey in Montreal, Canada. Our proposed ensemble library is composed of a series of CNN models with different hyper-parameter values and CNN architectures. In our final model, we combine the output of CNN models using "average voting", "majority voting" and "optimal weights" methods. Furthermore, we exploit the ensemble library by deploying a Random Forest model as a meta-learner. The ensemble method with random forest as meta-learner s…
School of Aerospace Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology(佐治亚理工学院航空航天工程学院)
The adaptability of the convolutional neural network (CNN) technique for aerodynamic meta-modeling tasks is probed in this work. The primary objective is to develop suitable CNN architecture for variable flow conditions and object geometry, in addition to identifying a sufficient data preparation process. Multiple CNN structures were trained to learn the lift coefficients of the airfoils with a variety of shapes in multiple flow Mach numbers, Reynolds numbers, and diverse angles of attack. This is conducted to illustrate the concept of the technique. A multi-layered perceptron (MLP) is also us…
Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) has achieved extraordinary success in learning effective task-specific representations of nodes in graphs. However, regarding Heterogeneous Information Network (HIN), existing HIN-oriented GCN methods still suffer from two deficiencies: (1) they cannot flexibly explore all possible meta-paths and extract the most useful ones for a target object, which hinders both effectiveness and interpretability; (2) they often need to generate intermediate meta-path based dense graphs, which leads to high computational complexity. To address the above issues, we propose an…
Deep learning has become an area of interest in most scientific areas, including physical sciences. Modern networks apply real-valued transformations on the data. Particularly, convolutions in convolutional neural networks discard phase information entirely. Many deterministic signals, such as seismic data or electrical signals, contain significant information in the phase of the signal. We explore complex-valued deep convolutional networks to leverage non-linear feature maps. Seismic data commonly has a lowcut filter applied, to attenuate noise from ocean waves and similar long wavelength con…
University of Alberta(阿尔伯塔大学);Google DeepMind(谷歌DeepMind)
This paper investigates different vector step-size adaptation approaches for non-stationary online, continual prediction problems. Vanilla stochastic gradient descent can be considerably improved by scaling the update with a vector of appropriately chosen step-sizes. Many methods, including AdaGrad, RMSProp, and AMSGrad, keep statistics about the learning process to approximate a second order update---a vector approximation of the inverse Hessian. Another family of approaches use meta-gradient descent to adapt the step-size parameters to minimize prediction error. These meta-descent strategies…
Montanuniversität Leoben(莱奥本矿业大学);DeepMind(深度思维);University of Alberta(阿尔伯塔大学)
We consider a setting in which the objective is to learn to navigate in a controlled Markov process (CMP) where transition probabilities may abruptly change. For this setting, we propose a performance measure called exploration steps which counts the time steps at which the learner lacks sufficient knowledge to navigate its environment efficiently. We devise a learning meta-algorithm, MNM and prove an upper bound on the exploration steps in terms of the number of changes.
The aim of this work is to develop a fully-distributed algorithmic framework for training graph convolutional networks (GCNs). The proposed method is able to exploit the meaningful relational structure of the input data, which are collected by a set of agents that communicate over a sparse network topology. After formulating the centralized GCN training problem, we first show how to make inference in a distributed scenario where the underlying data graph is split among different agents. Then, we propose a distributed gradient descent procedure to solve the GCN training problem. The resulting m…
This study's objective was to segment spinal metastases in diagnostic MR images using a deep learning-based approach. Segmentation of such lesions can present a pivotal step towards enhanced therapy planning and validation, as well as intervention support during minimally invasive and image-guided surgeries like radiofrequency ablations. For this purpose, we used a U-Net like architecture trained with 40 clinical cases including both, lytic and sclerotic lesion types and various MR sequences. Our proposed method was evaluated with regards to various factors influencing the segmentation quality…
CMEMS-UMinho Research Unit(米尼奥大学CMEMS研究中心);University of Minho(米尼奥大学)
The retinal vascular condition is a reliable biomarker of several ophthalmologic and cardiovascular diseases, so automatic vessel segmentation may be crucial to diagnose and monitor them. In this paper, we propose a novel method that combines the multiscale analysis provided by the Stationary Wavelet Transform with a multiscale Fully Convolutional Neural Network to cope with the varying width and direction of the vessel structure in the retina. Our proposal uses rotation operations as the basis of a joint strategy for both data augmentation and prediction, which allows us to explore the inform…
This article develops a statistical test for the null hypothesis of strict stationarity of a discrete time stochastic process in the frequency domain. When the null hypothesis is true, the second order cumulant spectrum is zero at all the discrete Fourier frequency pairs in the principal domain. The test uses a window averaged sample estimate of the second order cumulant spectrum to build a test statistic with an asymptotic complex standard normal distribution. We derive the test statistic, study the properties of the test and demonstrate its application using 137Cs gamma ray decay data. Futur…
Beihang University(北京航空航天大学);Hong Kong University of Science and Technology(香港科技大学);Tencent(腾讯);Tsinghua University(清华大学);University of Illinois at Chicago(伊利诺伊大学芝加哥分校)
Events are happening in real-world and real-time, which can be planned and organized occasions involving multiple people and objects. Social media platforms publish a lot of text messages containing public events with comprehensive topics. However, mining social events is challenging due to the heterogeneous event elements in texts and explicit and implicit social network structures. In this paper, we design an event meta-schema to characterize the semantic relatedness of social events and build an event-based heterogeneous information network (HIN) integrating information from external knowle…