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arXiv 2006.15757cs.LGcs.AI
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探索有代价观测的最优控制

Exploring Optimal Control With Observations at a Cost

Stanford University(斯坦福大学)

Rui Aguiar, Nikka Mofid, Hyunji Alex Nam

摘要:

医疗保健文献的强化学习目前有一个趋势,为了准备临床数据集,研究人员将结转称为末次观测值结转(LOCF)值的非管理测试的最后结果,以填补空白,假设它仍然是患者当前状态的准确指标。这些值被结转,而没有保留关于这些值是如何估算的确切信息,从而导致歧义。我们的方法使用OpenAI Gym的Mountain Car对这个问题进行建模,旨在解决何时观察患者的生理状态以及如何进行部分干预,因为我们假设我们只能在观察后采取行动。到目前为止,我们已经发现,对于状态空间的最后一次观察结转实现,用跟踪自上次观察以来的时间的每个状态变量的计数器来增强状态,提高了代理的预测性能,支持“信息缺失”的概念,以及使用基于神经网络的动力学模型来预测非观察到的状态变量,而不是通过LOCF结转最后一个观察值,进一步提高了代理的性能,导致更快的收敛和减少方差。

英文摘要:

There has been a current trend in reinforcement learning for healthcare literature, where in order to prepare clinical datasets, researchers will carry forward the last results of the non-administered test known as the last-observation-carried-forward (LOCF) value to fill in gaps, assuming that it is still an accurate indicator of the patient's current state. These values are carried forward without maintaining information about exactly how these values were imputed, leading to ambiguity. Our approach models this problem using OpenAI Gym's Mountain Car and aims to address when to observe the patient's physiological state and partly how to intervene, as we have assumed we can only act after following an observation. So far, we have found that for a last-observation-carried-forward implementation of the state space, augmenting the state with counters for each state variable tracking the time since last observation was made, improves the predictive performance of an agent, supporting the notion of "informative missingness", and using a neural network based Dynamics Model to predict the most probable next state value of non-observed state variables instead of carrying forward the last observed value through LOCF further improves the agent's performance, leading to faster convergence and reduced variance.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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