The spiked covariance model has gained increasing popularity in high-dimensional data analysis. A fundamental problem is determination of the number of spiked eigenvalues, $K$. For estimation of $K$, most attention has focused on the use of $top$ eigenvalues of sample covariance matrix, and there is little investigation into proper ways of utilizing $bulk$ eigenvalues to estimate $K$. We propose a principled approach to incorporating bulk eigenvalues in the estimation of $K$. Our method imposes a working model on the residual covariance matrix, which is assumed to be a diagonal matrix whose entries are drawn from a gamma distribution. Under this model, the bulk eigenvalues are asymptotically close to the quantiles of a fixed parametric distribution. This motivates us to propose a two-step method: the first step uses bulk eigenvalues to estimate parameters of this distribution, and the second step leverages these parameters to assist the estimation of $K$. The resulting estimator $\hat{K}$ aggregates information in a large number of bulk eigenvalues. We show the consistency of $\hat{K}$ under a standard spiked covariance model. We also propose a confidence interval estimate for $K$. Our extensive simulation studies show that the proposed method is robust and outperforms the existing methods in a range of scenarios. We apply the proposed method to analysis of a lung cancer microarray data set and the 1000 Genomes data set.
We consider a more generalized spiked covariance matrix $Σ$, which is a general non-definite matrix with the spiked eigenvalues scattered into a few bulks and the largest ones allowed to tend to infinity. By relaxing the matching of the 4th moment to a tail probability decay, a {\it Generalized Four Moment Theorem} (G4MT) is proposed to show the universality of the asymptotic law for the local spectral statistics of generalized spiked covariance matrices, which implies the limiting distribution of the spiked eigenvalues of the generalized spiked covariance matrix is independent of the actual d…
This paper aims to test the number of spikes in a generalized spiked covariance matrix, the spiked eigenvalues of which may be extremely larger or smaller than the non-spiked ones. For a high-dimensional problem, we first propose a general test statistic and derive its central limit theorem by random matrix theory without a Gaussian population constraint. We then apply the result to estimate the noise variance and test the equality of the smallest roots in generalized spiked models. Simulation studies showed that the proposed test method was correctly sized, and the power outcomes showed the r…
We consider general high-dimensional spiked sample covariance models and show that their leading sample spiked eigenvalues and their linear spectral statistics are asymptotically independent when the sample size and dimension are proportional to each other. As a byproduct, we also establish the central limit theorem of the leading sample spiked eigenvalues by removing the block diagonal assumption on the population covariance matrix, which is commonly needed in the literature. Moreover, we propose consistent estimators of the $L_4$ norm of the spiked population eigenvectors. Based on these res…
We study the asymptotic distributions of the spiked eigenvalues and the largest nonspiked eigenvalue of the sample covariance matrix under a general covariance matrix model with divergent spiked eigenvalues, while the other eigenvalues are bounded but otherwise arbitrary. The limiting normal distribution for the spiked sample eigenvalues is established. It has distinct features that the asymptotic mean relies on not only the population spikes but also the nonspikes and that the asymptotic variance in general depends on the population eigenvectors. In addition, the limiting Tracy-Widom law for …
These expository notes serve as a reference for an accompanying post Morales-Jimenez et al. [2018]. In the spiked covariance model, we develop results on asymptotic normality of sample leading eigenvalues and certain projections of the corresponding sample eigenvectors. The results parallel those of Paul [2007], but are given using the non-Gaussian model of Bai and Yao [2008]. The results are not new, and citations are given, but proofs are collected and organized as a point of departure for Morales-Jimenez et al. [2018].
The universality for the local spiked eigenvalues is a powerful tool to deal with the problems of the asymptotic law for the bulks of spiked eigenvalues of high-dimensional generalized Fisher matrices. In this paper, we focus on a more generalized spiked Fisher matrix, where $Σ_1Σ_2^{-1}$ is free of the restriction of diagonal independence, and both of the spiked eigenvalues and the population 4th moments are not necessary required to be bounded. By reducing the matching four moments constraint to a tail probability, we propose a Generalized Four Moment Theorem (G4MT) for the bulks of spiked e…
This paper aims to derive asymptotical distributions of the spiked eigenvalues of the large-dimensional spiked Fisher matrices without Gaussian assumption and the restrictive assumptions on covariance matrices. We first establish invariance principle for the spiked eigenvalues of the Fisher matrix. That is, we show that the limiting distributions of the spiked eigenvalues are invariant over a large class of population distributions satisfying certain conditions. Using the invariance principle, we further established a central limit theorem (CLT) for the spiked eigenvalues. As some interesting …
Consider two $p$-variate populations, not necessarily Gaussian, with covariance matrices $Σ_1$ and $Σ_2$, respectively, and let $S_1$ and $S_2$ be the sample covariances matrices from samples of the populations with degrees of freedom $T$ and $n$, respectively. When the difference $Δ$ between $Σ_1$ and $Σ_2$ is of small rank compared to $p,T$ and $n$, the Fisher matrix $F=S_2^{-1}S_1$ is called a {\em spiked Fisher matrix}. When $p,T$ and $n$ grow to infinity proportionally, we establish a phase transition for the extreme eigenvalues of $F$: when the eigenvalues of $Δ$ ({\em spikes}) are above…
We consider two types of spiked multivariate F distributions: a scaled distribution with the scale matrix equal to a rank-one perturbation of the identity, and a distribution with trivial scale, but rank-one non-centrality. The norm of the rank-one matrix (spike) parameterizes the joint distribution of the eigenvalues of the corresponding F matrix. We show that, for a spike located above a phase transition threshold, the asymptotic behavior of the log ratio of the joint density of the eigenvalues of the F matrix to their joint density under a local deviation from this value depends only on the…
In this paper, we establish some new central limit theorems for certain spectral statistics of a high-dimensional sample covariance matrix under a divergent spectral norm population model. This model covers the divergent spiked population model as a special case. Meanwhile, the number of the spiked eigenvalues can either be fixed or grow to infinity. It is seen from our theorems that the divergence of population spectral norm affects the fluctuations of the linear spectral statistics in a fickle way, depending on the divergence rate.
Sample correlation matrices are employed ubiquitously in statistics. However, quite surprisingly, little is known about their asymptotic spectral properties for high-dimensional data, particularly beyond the case of "null models" for which the data is assumed independent. Here, considering the popular class of spiked models, we apply random matrix theory to derive asymptotic first-order and distributional results for both the leading eigenvalues and eigenvectors of sample correlation matrices. These results are obtained under high-dimensional settings for which the number of samples n and vari…
The present manuscript studies signal detection by likelihood ratio tests in a number of spiked random matrix models, including but not limited to Gaussian mixtures and spiked Wishart covariance matrices. We work directly with multi-spiked cases in these models and with flexible priors on the signal component that allow dependence across spikes. We derive asymptotic normality for the log-likelihood ratios when the signal-to- noise ratios are below certain thresholds. In addition, we show that the variances of the log-likelihood ratios can be asymptotically decomposed as the sums of those of a …
In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the extreme eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the high dimensional spiked sample covariance matrices, in the supercritical case when a reliable detection of spikes is possible. Especially, we derive the joint distribution of the extreme eigenvalues and the generalized components of the associated eigenvectors, i.e., the projections of the eigenvectors onto arbitrary given direction, assuming that the dimension and sample size are comparably large. In general, the joint distribution is given in terms of linear combinations of finitely many Gaussi…
This paper proposes a novel methodology for the online detection of changepoints in the factor structure of large matrix time series. Our approach is based on the well-known fact that, in the presence of a changepoint, a factor model can be rewritten as a model with a larger number of common factors. In turn, this entails that, in the presence of a changepoint, the number of spiked eigenvalues in the second moment matrix of the data increases. Based on this, we propose two families of procedures - one based on the fluctuations of partial sums, and one based on extreme value theory - to monitor…
Given a large, high-dimensional sample from a spiked population, the top sample covariance eigenvalue is known to exhibit a phase transition. We show that the largest eigenvalues have asymptotic distributions near the phase transition in the rank-one spiked real Wishart setting and its general beta analogue, proving a conjecture of Baik, Ben Arous and Péché (2005). We also treat shifted mean Gaussian orthogonal and beta ensembles. Such results are entirely new in the real case; in the complex case we strengthen existing results by providing optimal scaling assumptions. One obtains the known li…
Distributed Online Estimation of Spiked Eigenvalues with Adaptive Weighting under Persistent Aspect Ratio Heterogeneity
School of Mathematical Sciences, Tiangong University（天津工业大学数学科学学院）；KLASMOE and School of Mathematics & Statistics, Northeast Normal University（东北师范大学数学与统计学院）
Using the Coulomb Fluid method, this paper derives central limit theorems (CLTs) for linear spectral statistics of three "spiked" Hermitian random matrix ensembles. These include Johnstone's spiked model (i.e., central Wishart with spiked correlation), non-central Wishart with rank-one non-centrality, and a related class of non-central $F$ matrices. For a generic linear statistic, we derive simple and explicit CLT expressions as the matrix dimensions grow large. For all three ensembles under consideration, we find that the primary effect of the spike is to introduce an $O(1)$ correction term t…
In this paper, we establish the central limit theorem (CLT) for linear spectral statistics (LSS) of large-dimensional sample covariance matrix when the population covariance matrices are not uniformly bounded, which is a nontrivial extension of the Bai-Silverstein theorem (BST) (2004). The latter has strongly stimulated the development of high-dimensional statistics, especially the application of random matrix theory to statistics. However, the assumption of uniform boundedness of the population covariance matrices is found strongly limited to the applications of BST. The aim of this paper is …
Characterizing the asymptotic distributions of eigenvectors for large random matrices poses important challenges yet can provide useful insights into a range of statistical applications. To this end, in this paper we introduce a general framework of asymptotic theory of eigenvectors (ATE) for large spiked random matrices with diverging spikes and heterogeneous variances, and establish the asymptotic properties of the spiked eigenvectors and eigenvalues for the scenario of the generalized Wigner matrix noise. Under some mild regularity conditions, we provide the asymptotic expansions for the sp…
We study the statistical decision process of detecting the low-rank signal from various signal-plus-noise type data matrices, known as the spiked random matrix models. We first show that the principal component analysis can be improved by entrywise pre-transforming the data matrix if the noise is non-Gaussian, generalizing the known results for the spiked random matrix models with rank-1 signals. As an intermediate step, we find out sharp phase transition thresholds for the extreme eigenvalues of spiked random matrices, which generalize the Baik-Ben Arous-Péché (BBP) transition. We also prove …
Under the high-dimensional setting that data dimension and sample size tend to infinity proportionally, we derive the central limit theorem (CLT) for linear spectral statistics (LSS) of large-dimensional sample covariance matrix. Different from existing literature, our results do not require the assumption that the population covariance matrices are bounded. Moreover, many common kernel functions in the real data such as logarithmic functions and polynomial functions are allowed in this paper. In our model, the number of spiked eigenvalues can be fixed or tend to infinity. One salient feature …
The problem of estimating a spiked covariance matrix in high dimensions under Frobenius loss, and the parallel problem of estimating the noise in spiked PCA is investigated. We propose an estimator of the noise parameter by minimizing an unbiased estimator of the invariant Frobenius risk using calculus of variations. The resulting estimator is shown, using random matrix theory, to be strongly consistent and essentially asymptotically normal and minimax for the noise estimation problem. We apply the construction to construct a robust spiked covariance matrix estimator with consistent eigenvalue…
We study the problem of detecting the presence of a single unknown spike in a rectangular data matrix, in a high-dimensional regime where the spike has fixed strength and the aspect ratio of the matrix converges to a finite limit. This setup includes Johnstone's spiked covariance model. We analyze the likelihood ratio of the spiked model against an "all noise" null model of reference, and show it has asymptotically Gaussian fluctuations in a region below---but in general not up to---the so-called BBP threshold from random matrix theory. Our result parallels earlier findings of Onatski et al.\ …
The asymptotic normality for a large family of eigenvalue statistics of a general sample covariance matrix is derived under the ultra-high dimensional setting, that is, when the dimension to sample size ratio $p/n \to \infty$. Based on this CLT result, we first adapt the covariance matrix test problem to the new ultra-high dimensional context. Then as a second application, we develop a new test for the separable covariance structure of a matrix-valued white noise. Simulation experiments are conducted for the investigation of finite-sample properties of the general asymptotic normality of eigen…
Magnetoencephalography (MEG) is an advanced imaging technique used to measure the magnetic fields outside the human head produced by the electrical activity inside the brain. Various source localization methods in MEG require the knowledge of the underlying active sources, which are identified by a priori. Common methods used to estimate the number of sources include principal component analysis or information criterion methods, both of which make use of the eigenvalue distribution of the data, thus avoiding solving the time-consuming inverse problem. Unfortunately, all these methods are very …
Motivated by dimension reduction in regression analysis and signal detection, we investigate the order determination for large dimension matrices including spiked models of which the numbers of covariates are proportional to the sample sizes for different models. Because the asymptotic behaviour of the estimated eigenvalues of the corresponding matrices differ completely from those in fixed dimension scenarios, we then discuss the largest possible number we can identify and introduce a "valley-cliff" criterion. We propose two versions of the criterion: one based on the original differences of …
We study the problem of detecting an abrupt change to the signal covariance matrix. In particular, the covariance changes from a "white" identity matrix to an unknown spiked or low-rank matrix. Two sequential change-point detection procedures are presented, based on the largest and the smallest eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix. To control false-alarm-rate, we present an accurate theoretical approximation to the average-run-length (ARL) and expected detection delay (EDD) of the detection, leveraging the extreme eigenvalue distributions from random matrix theory and by capturing a non…
We consider the online monitoring of multivariate streaming data for changes that are characterized by an unknown subspace structure manifested in the covariance matrix. In particular, we consider the covariance structure changes from an identity matrix to an unknown spiked covariance model. We assume the post-change distribution is unknown, and propose two detection procedures: the Largest-Eigenvalue Shewhart chart and the Subspace-CUSUM detection procedure. We present theoretical approximations to the average run length (ARL) and the expected detection delay (EDD) for the Largest-Eigenvalue …
We study principal components analyses in multivariate random and mixed effects linear models, assuming a spherical-plus-spikes structure for the covariance matrix of each random effect. We characterize the behavior of outlier sample eigenvalues and eigenvectors of MANOVA variance components estimators in such models under a high-dimensional asymptotic regime. Our results show that an aliasing phenomenon may occur in high dimensions, in which eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the MANOVA estimate for one variance component may be influenced by the other components. We propose an alternative proce…
Joint estimation of high-dimensional spiked covariance matrices via a partially shared subspace
KAIST（韩国科学技术院）；Institute for Data Innovation in Science, Seoul National University（首尔大学数据创新科学研究所）；Department of Statistics, Seoul National University（首尔大学统计系）
We propose a Bayesian methodology for estimating spiked covariance matrices with jointly sparse structure in high dimensions. The spiked covariance matrix is reparametrized in terms of the latent factor model, where the loading matrix is equipped with a novel matrix spike-and-slab LASSO prior, which is a continuous shrinkage prior for modeling jointly sparse matrices. We establish the rate-optimal posterior contraction for the covariance matrix with respect to the operator norm as well as that for the principal subspace with respect to the projection operator norm loss. We also study the poste…
Limiting laws and consistent estimation criteria for fixed and diverging number of spiked eigenvalues
School of Mathematics and Statistics, Beijing Technology and Business University（北京工商大学数学与统计学院）；Department of Statistics, University of Michigan（密歇根大学统计学系）；Department of Statistics and Key Lab NAA–MOE, Central China Normal University（华中师范大学统计学系与国家数理分析重点实验室）；Goizueta Business School, Emory University（埃默里大学戈伊泽塔商学院）
Recently, inference about high-dimensional integrated covariance matrices (ICVs) based on noisy high-frequency data has emerged as a challenging problem. In the literature, a pre-averaging estimator (PA-RCov) is proposed to deal with the microstructure noise. Using the large-dimensional random matrix theory, it has been established that the eigenvalue distribution of the PA-RCov matrix is intimately linked to that of the ICV through the Marcenko-Pastur equation. Consequently, the spectrum of the ICV can be inferred from that of the PA-RCov. However, extensive data analyses demonstrate that the…
We derive the asymptotic distributions of the spiked eigenvalues and eigenvectors under a generalized and unified asymptotic regime, which takes into account the spike magnitude of leading eigenvalues, sample size, and dimensionality. This new regime allows high dimensionality and diverging eigenvalue spikes and provides new insights into the roles the leading eigenvalues, sample size, and dimensionality play in principal component analysis. The results are proven by a technical device, which swaps the role of rows and columns and converts the high-dimensional problems into low-dimensional one…
We study estimation of the covariance matrix under relative condition number loss $κ(Σ^{-1/2} \hatΣ Σ^{-1/2})$, where $κ(Δ)$ is the condition number of matrix $Δ$, and $\hatΣ$ and $Σ$ are the estimated and theoretical covariance matrices. Optimality in $κ$-loss provides optimal guarantees in two stylized applications: Multi-User Covariance Estimation and Multi-Task Linear Discriminant Analysis. We assume the so-called spiked covariance model for $Σ$, and exploit recent advances in understanding that model, to derive a nonlinear shrinker which is asymptotically optimal among orthogonally-equiva…
We develop a model-based method for evaluating heterogeneity among several p x p covariance matrices in the large p, small n setting. This is done by assuming a spiked covariance model for each group and sharing information about the space spanned by the group-level eigenvectors. We use an empirical Bayes method to identify a low-dimensional subspace which explains variation across all groups and use an MCMC algorithm to estimate the posterior uncertainty of eigenvectors and eigenvalues on this subspace. The implementation and utility of our model is illustrated with analyses of high-dimension…
In network data analysis, it is becoming common to work with a collection of graphs that exhibit \emph{heterogeneity}. For example, neuroimaging data from patient cohorts are increasingly available. A critical analytical task is to identify communities, and graph Laplacian-based methods are routinely used. However, these methods are currently limited to a single network and do not provide measures of uncertainty on the community assignment. In this work, we propose a probabilistic network model called the ``Spiked Laplacian Graph'' that considers each network as an invertible transform of the …
Sparse PCA: A New Scalable Estimator Based On Integer Programming
Operations Research Center, Massachusetts Institute of Technology（麻省理工学院运筹学中心）；Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institute of Technology（麻省理工学院斯隆管理学院）
