We derive the asymptotic distributions of the spiked eigenvalues and eigenvectors under a generalized and unified asymptotic regime, which takes into account the spike magnitude of leading eigenvalues, sample size, and dimensionality. This new regime allows high dimensionality and diverging eigenvalue spikes and provides new insights into the roles the leading eigenvalues, sample size, and dimensionality play in principal component analysis. The results are proven by a technical device, which swaps the role of rows and columns and converts the high-dimensional problems into low-dimensional ones. Our results are a natural extension of those in Paul (2007) to more general setting with new insights and solve the rates of convergence problems in Shen et al. (2013). They also reveal the biases of the estimation of leading eigenvalues and eigenvectors by using principal component analysis, and lead to a new covariance estimator for the approximate factor model, called shrinkage principal orthogonal complement thresholding (S-POET), that corrects the biases. Our results are successfully applied to outstanding problems in estimation of risks of large portfolios and false discovery proportions for dependent test statistics and are illustrated by simulation studies.
The problem of estimating a spiked covariance matrix in high dimensions under Frobenius loss, and the parallel problem of estimating the noise in spiked PCA is investigated. We propose an estimator of the noise parameter by minimizing an unbiased estimator of the invariant Frobenius risk using calculus of variations. The resulting estimator is shown, using random matrix theory, to be strongly consistent and essentially asymptotically normal and minimax for the noise estimation problem. We apply the construction to construct a robust spiked covariance matrix estimator with consistent eigenvalue…
This paper considers sparse spiked covariance matrix models in the high-dimensional setting and studies the minimax estimation of the covariance matrix and the principal subspace as well as the minimax rank detection. The optimal rate of convergence for estimating the spiked covariance matrix under the spectral norm is established, which requires significantly different techniques from those for estimating other structured covariance matrices such as bandable or sparse covariance matrices. We also establish the minimax rate under the spectral norm for estimating the principal subspace, the pri…
We show that in a common high-dimensional covariance model, the choice of loss function has a profound effect on optimal estimation. In an asymptotic framework based on the Spiked Covariance model and use of orthogonally invariant estimators, we show that optimal estimation of the population covariance matrix boils down to design of an optimal shrinker $η$ that acts elementwise on the sample eigenvalues. Indeed, to each loss function there corresponds a unique admissible eigenvalue shrinker $η^*$ dominating all other shrinkers. The shape of the optimal shrinker is determined by the choice of l…
We study estimation of the covariance matrix under relative condition number loss $κ(Σ^{-1/2} \hatΣ Σ^{-1/2})$, where $κ(Δ)$ is the condition number of matrix $Δ$, and $\hatΣ$ and $Σ$ are the estimated and theoretical covariance matrices. Optimality in $κ$-loss provides optimal guarantees in two stylized applications: Multi-User Covariance Estimation and Multi-Task Linear Discriminant Analysis. We assume the so-called spiked covariance model for $Σ$, and exploit recent advances in understanding that model, to derive a nonlinear shrinker which is asymptotically optimal among orthogonally-equiva…
We study improved approximations to the distribution of the largest eigenvalue $\hat{\ell}$ of the sample covariance matrix of $n$ zero-mean Gaussian observations in dimension $p+1$. We assume that one population principal component has variance $\ell > 1$ and the remaining `noise' components have common variance $1$. In the high dimensional limit $p/n \to γ> 0$, we begin study of Edgeworth corrections to the limiting Gaussian distribution of $\hat{\ell}$ in the supercritical case $\ell > 1 + \sqrt γ$. The skewness correction involves a quadratic polynomial as in classical settings, but the co…
Consider the rank-1 spiked model: $\bf{X}=\sqrtνξ\bf{u}+ \bf{Z}$, where $ν$ is the spike intensity, $\bf{u}\in\mathbb{S}^{k-1}$ is an unknown direction and $ξ\sim \mathcal{N}(0,1),\bf{Z}\sim \mathcal{N}(\bf{0},\bf{I})$. Motivated by recent advances in analog-to-digital conversion, we study the problem of recovering $\bf{u}\in \mathbb{S}^{k-1}$ from $n$ i.i.d. modulo-reduced measurements $\bf{Y}=[\bf{X}]\mod Δ$, focusing on the high-dimensional regime ($k\gg 1$). We develop and analyze an algorithm that, for most directions $\bf{u}$ and $ν=\mathrm{poly}(k)$, estimates $\bf{u}$ to high accuracy …
With the development of high-throughput technologies, principal component analysis (PCA) in the high-dimensional regime is of great interest. Most of the existing theoretical and methodological results for high-dimensional PCA are based on the spiked population model in which all the population eigenvalues are equal except for a few large ones. Due to the presence of local correlation among features, however, this assumption may not be satisfied in many real-world datasets. To address this issue, we investigated the asymptotic behaviors of PCA under the generalized spiked population model. Bas…
Principal component analysis (PCA) is a widely used method for dimension reduction. In high dimensional data, the "signal" eigenvalues corresponding to weak principal components (PCs) do not necessarily separate from the bulk of the "noise" eigenvalues. Therefore, popular tests based on the largest eigenvalue have little power to detect weak PCs. In the special case of the spiked model, certain tests asymptotically equivalent to linear spectral statistics (LSS)---averaging effects over all eigenvalues---were recently shown to achieve some power. We consider a nonparametric, non-Gaussian genera…
We consider a more generalized spiked covariance matrix $Σ$, which is a general non-definite matrix with the spiked eigenvalues scattered into a few bulks and the largest ones allowed to tend to infinity. By relaxing the matching of the 4th moment to a tail probability decay, a {\it Generalized Four Moment Theorem} (G4MT) is proposed to show the universality of the asymptotic law for the local spectral statistics of generalized spiked covariance matrices, which implies the limiting distribution of the spiked eigenvalues of the generalized spiked covariance matrix is independent of the actual d…
Magnetoencephalography (MEG) is an advanced imaging technique used to measure the magnetic fields outside the human head produced by the electrical activity inside the brain. Various source localization methods in MEG require the knowledge of the underlying active sources, which are identified by a priori. Common methods used to estimate the number of sources include principal component analysis or information criterion methods, both of which make use of the eigenvalue distribution of the data, thus avoiding solving the time-consuming inverse problem. Unfortunately, all these methods are very …
We consider the problem of detecting signals in the rank-one signal-plus-noise data matrix models that generalize the spiked Wishart matrices. We show that the principal component analysis can be improved by pre-transforming the matrix entries if the noise is non-Gaussian. As an intermediate step, we prove a sharp phase transition of the largest eigenvalues of spiked rectangular matrices, which extends the Baik-Ben Arous-Péché (BBP) transition. We also propose a hypothesis test to detect the presence of signal with low computational complexity, based on the linear spectral statistics, which mi…
Sparse Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a dimensionality reduction technique wherein one seeks a low-rank representation of a data matrix with additional sparsity constraints on the obtained representation. We consider two probabilistic formulations of sparse PCA: a spiked Wigner and spiked Wishart (or spiked covariance) model. We analyze an Approximate Message Passing (AMP) algorithm to estimate the underlying signal and show, in the high dimensional limit, that the AMP estimates are information-theoretically optimal. As an immediate corollary, our results demonstrate that the posterior …
We consider general high-dimensional spiked sample covariance models and show that their leading sample spiked eigenvalues and their linear spectral statistics are asymptotically independent when the sample size and dimension are proportional to each other. As a byproduct, we also establish the central limit theorem of the leading sample spiked eigenvalues by removing the block diagonal assumption on the population covariance matrix, which is commonly needed in the literature. Moreover, we propose consistent estimators of the $L_4$ norm of the spiked population eigenvectors. Based on these res…
A central problem of random matrix theory is to understand the eigenvalues of spiked random matrix models, introduced by Johnstone, in which a prominent eigenvector (or "spike") is planted into a random matrix. These distributions form natural statistical models for principal component analysis (PCA) problems throughout the sciences. Baik, Ben Arous and Peche showed that the spiked Wishart ensemble exhibits a sharp phase transition asymptotically: when the spike strength is above a critical threshold, it is possible to detect the presence of a spike based on the top eigenvalue, and below the t…
We develop a model-based method for evaluating heterogeneity among several p x p covariance matrices in the large p, small n setting. This is done by assuming a spiked covariance model for each group and sharing information about the space spanned by the group-level eigenvectors. We use an empirical Bayes method to identify a low-dimensional subspace which explains variation across all groups and use an MCMC algorithm to estimate the posterior uncertainty of eigenvectors and eigenvalues on this subspace. The implementation and utility of our model is illustrated with analyses of high-dimension…
A central problem of random matrix theory is to understand the eigenvalues of spiked random matrix models, in which a prominent eigenvector is planted into a random matrix. These distributions form natural statistical models for principal component analysis (PCA) problems throughout the sciences. Baik, Ben Arous and Péché showed that the spiked Wishart ensemble exhibits a sharp phase transition asymptotically: when the signal strength is above a critical threshold, it is possible to detect the presence of a spike based on the top eigenvalue, and below the threshold the top eigenvalue provides …
We study the asymptotic distributions of the spiked eigenvalues and the largest nonspiked eigenvalue of the sample covariance matrix under a general covariance matrix model with divergent spiked eigenvalues, while the other eigenvalues are bounded but otherwise arbitrary. The limiting normal distribution for the spiked sample eigenvalues is established. It has distinct features that the asymptotic mean relies on not only the population spikes but also the nonspikes and that the asymptotic variance in general depends on the population eigenvectors. In addition, the limiting Tracy-Widom law for …
This paper studies the related problems of prediction, covariance estimation, and principal component analysis for the spiked covariance model with heteroscedastic noise. We consider an estimator of the principal components based on whitening the noise, and we derive optimal singular value and eigenvalue shrinkers for use with these estimated principal components. Underlying these methods are new asymptotic results for the high-dimensional spiked model with heteroscedastic noise, and consistent estimators for the relevant population parameters. We extend previous analysis on out-of-sample pred…
This paper develops nonasymptotic information inequalities for the estimation of the eigenspaces of a covariance operator. These results generalize previous lower bounds for the spiked covariance model, and they show that recent upper bounds for models with decaying eigenvalues are sharp. The proof relies on lower bound techniques based on group invariance arguments which can also deal with a variety of other statistical models.
These expository notes serve as a reference for an accompanying post Morales-Jimenez et al. [2018]. In the spiked covariance model, we develop results on asymptotic normality of sample leading eigenvalues and certain projections of the corresponding sample eigenvectors. The results parallel those of Paul [2007], but are given using the non-Gaussian model of Bai and Yao [2008]. The results are not new, and citations are given, but proofs are collected and organized as a point of departure for Morales-Jimenez et al. [2018].
We propose a Bayesian methodology for estimating spiked covariance matrices with jointly sparse structure in high dimensions. The spiked covariance matrix is reparametrized in terms of the latent factor model, where the loading matrix is equipped with a novel matrix spike-and-slab LASSO prior, which is a continuous shrinkage prior for modeling jointly sparse matrices. We establish the rate-optimal posterior contraction for the covariance matrix with respect to the operator norm as well as that for the principal subspace with respect to the projection operator norm loss. We also study the poste…
In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the extreme eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the spiked covariance matrices, in the supercritical regime. Specifically, we derive the joint distribution of the extreme eigenvalues and the generalized components of their associated eigenvectors in this regime.
We consider a spiked population model, proposed by Johnstone, whose population eigenvalues are all unit except for a few fixed eigenvalues. The question is to determine how the sample eigenvalues depend on the non-unit population ones when both sample size and population size become large. This paper completely determines the almost sure limits for a general class of samples.
A general framework for principal component analysis (PCA) in the presence of heteroskedastic noise is introduced. We propose an algorithm called HeteroPCA, which involves iteratively imputing the diagonal entries of the sample covariance matrix to remove estimation bias due to heteroskedasticity. This procedure is computationally efficient and provably optimal under the generalized spiked covariance model. A key technical step is a deterministic robust perturbation analysis on singular subspaces, which can be of independent interest. The effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is demonstrated…
We study principal components analyses in multivariate random and mixed effects linear models, assuming a spherical-plus-spikes structure for the covariance matrix of each random effect. We characterize the behavior of outlier sample eigenvalues and eigenvectors of MANOVA variance components estimators in such models under a high-dimensional asymptotic regime. Our results show that an aliasing phenomenon may occur in high dimensions, in which eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the MANOVA estimate for one variance component may be influenced by the other components. We propose an alternative proce…
This paper studies the joint limiting behavior of extreme eigenvalues and trace of large sample covariance matrix in a generalized spiked population model, where the asymptotic regime is such that the dimension and sample size grow proportionally. The form of the joint limiting distribution is applied to conduct Johnson-Graybill-type tests, a family of approaches testing for signals in a statistical model. For this, higher order correction is further made, helping alleviate the impact of finite-sample bias. The proof rests on determining the joint asymptotic behavior of two classes of spectral…
Inference for Heteroskedastic PCA with Missing Data
Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, MIT（麻省理工学院数据、系统与社会研究所）；Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania（宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院）；Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering, Princeton University（普林斯顿大学运筹学与金融工程系）
We introduce a class of separable sample covariance matrices of the form $\widetilde{\mathcal{Q}}_1:=\widetilde A^{1/2} X \widetilde B X^* \widetilde A^{1/2}.$ Here $\widetilde{A}$ and $\widetilde{B}$ are positive definite matrices whose spectrums consist of bulk spectrums plus several spikes, i.e. larger eigenvalues that are separated from the bulks. Conceptually, we call $\widetilde{\mathcal{Q}}_1$ a \emph{spiked separable covariance matrix model}. On the one hand, this model includes the spiked covariance matrix as a special case with $\widetilde{B}=I$. On the other hand, it allows for more…
The universality for the local spiked eigenvalues is a powerful tool to deal with the problems of the asymptotic law for the bulks of spiked eigenvalues of high-dimensional generalized Fisher matrices. In this paper, we focus on a more generalized spiked Fisher matrix, where $Σ_1Σ_2^{-1}$ is free of the restriction of diagonal independence, and both of the spiked eigenvalues and the population 4th moments are not necessary required to be bounded. By reducing the matching four moments constraint to a tail probability, we propose a Generalized Four Moment Theorem (G4MT) for the bulks of spiked e…
Principal component analysis (PCA) is the most commonly used statistical procedure for dimension reduction. An important issue for applying PCA is to determine the rank, which is the number of dominant eigenvalues of the covariance matrix. The Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) are among the most widely used rank selection methods. Both use the number of free parameters for assessing model complexity. In this work, we adopt the generalized information criterion (GIC) to propose a new method for PCA rank selection under the high-dimensional framework. Th…
This paper aims to derive asymptotical distributions of the spiked eigenvalues of the large-dimensional spiked Fisher matrices without Gaussian assumption and the restrictive assumptions on covariance matrices. We first establish invariance principle for the spiked eigenvalues of the Fisher matrix. That is, we show that the limiting distributions of the spiked eigenvalues are invariant over a large class of population distributions satisfying certain conditions. Using the invariance principle, we further established a central limit theorem (CLT) for the spiked eigenvalues. As some interesting …
Consider the $p\times p$ matrix that is the product of a population covariance matrix and the inverse of another population covariance matrix. Suppose that their difference has a divergent rank with respect to $p$, when two samples of sizes $n$ and $T$ from the two populations are available, we construct its corresponding sample version. In the regime of high dimension where both $n$ and $T$ are proportional to $p$, we investigate the limiting laws for extreme (spiked) eigenvalues of the sample (spiked) Fisher matrix when the number of spikes is divergent and these spikes are unbounded.
