arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2006.00430math.PR
收藏

Rosenblatt关于确定性平稳序列预测误差渐近性的结果的推广

Extensions of Rosenblatt's results on the asymptotic behavior of the prediction error for deterministic stationary sequences

Nikolay M. Babayan, Mamikon S. Ginovyan, Murad S. Taqqu

摘要:

离散时间二阶平稳过程$X(t)$预测理论中的一个主要问题是描述当$n$趋于无穷大时,在给定$X(0)$的最佳线性均方预测误差的渐近行为.此行为取决于进程$X(t)$的规律性(确定性或非确定性)。在他的开创性论文{ \it“一些纯粹的确定性过程”(数学和机械,} 6(6),801-810,1957),M. Rosenblatt描述了离散时间确定性过程的预报误差在以下两种情况下的渐近行为:(a)$X(t)$的谱密度$f(λ)$是连续的,并且在一个区间上为零;(b)谱密度$f(λ)$有一个非常高阶的零接触。他指出,在情况(a)中,预测误差方差表现为指数,而在情况(b)中,它表现为双曲线,如$n\to\infty$。在本文中,使用一种新的方法,我们描述扩展Rosenblatt的结果更广泛的类的谱密度。实例说明了所得结果。

英文摘要:

One of the main problem in prediction theory of discrete-time second-order stationary processes $X(t)$ is to describe the asymptotic behavior of the best linear mean squared prediction error in predicting $X(0)$ given $ X(t),$ $-n\le t\le-1$, as $n$ goes to infinity. This behavior depends on the regularity (deterministic or non-deterministic) of the process $X(t)$. In his seminal paper {\it "Some purely deterministic processes" (J. of Math. and Mech.,} 6(6), 801-810, 1957), M. Rosenblatt has described the asymptotic behavior of the prediction error for discrete-time deterministic processes in the following two cases: (a) the spectral density $f(λ)$ of $X(t)$ is continuous and vanishes on an interval, (b) the spectral density $f(λ)$ has a very high order contact with zero. He showed that in the case (a) the prediction error variance behaves exponentially, while in the case (b), it behaves hyperbolically as $n\to\infty$. In this paper, using a new approach, we describe extensions of Rosenblatt's results to broader classes of spectral densities. Examples illustrate the obtained results.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑