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arXiv 2005.12655astro-ph.IM
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相位校准的概率方法:I.源结构对条纹拟合的影响

A probabilistic approach to phase calibration: I. Effects of source structure on fringe-fitting

Iniyan Natarajan, Roger Deane, Ilse van Bemmel, Huib Jan van Langevelde, Des Small, Mark Kettenis, Zsolt Paragi, Oleg Smirnov, Arpad Szomoru

摘要:

本文提出了一种在甚长基线干涉测量(VLBI)观测中同时估计源结构和条纹拟合参数的概率框架。作为第一步,我们证明了这种技术,通过分析合成的短持续时间事件视界望远镜(EHT)的各种几何源模型在230 GHz的观测,在存在基线相关的热噪声。我们进行贝叶斯参数估计和不同的源模型之间的模型选择,以获得可靠的不确定性估计和各种源和条纹拟合相关的模型参数之间的相关性。我们还比较了贝叶斯后验与那些使用广泛使用的VLBI数据简化软件包,如CASA和AIPS,条纹拟合200蒙特卡罗模拟的每个源模型与不同的噪声实现,以获得最大后验(MAP)估计的分布。我们发现,在解决不对称源结构和给定的阵列几何形状的存在下,传统的做法与点源模型的条纹拟合产生可观的偏移估计相位残差,潜在的偏置或限制用于自校准的起始模型的动态范围。同时估计源结构的校准过程中早期的正式不确定性提高了精度和准确性的条纹拟合,并建立了潜在的可用数据,特别是当有很少的先验信息。我们还注意到这种方法的天体测量学和大地测量学的具体科学案例和计划的改进计算性能和分析更复杂的源分布的潜在应用。

英文摘要:

We propose a probabilistic framework for performing simultaneous estimation of source structure and fringe-fitting parameters in Very Long Baseline Interferometry (VLBI) observations. As a first step, we demonstrate this technique through the analysis of synthetic short-duration Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) observations of various geometric source models at 230 GHz, in the presence of baseline-dependent thermal noise. We perform Bayesian parameter estimation and model selection between the different source models to obtain reliable uncertainty estimates and correlations between various source and fringe-fitting related model parameters. We also compare the Bayesian posteriors with those obtained using widely-used VLBI data reduction packages such as CASA and AIPS, by fringe-fitting 200 Monte Carlo simulations of each source model with different noise realisations, to obtain distributions of the Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) estimates. We find that, in the presence of resolved asymmetric source structure and a given array geometry, the traditional practice of fringe-fitting with a point source model yields appreciable offsets in the estimated phase residuals, potentially biasing or limiting the dynamic range of the starting model used for self-calibration. Simultaneously estimating the source structure earlier in the calibration process with formal uncertainties improves the precision and accuracy of fringe-fitting and establishes the potential of the available data especially when there is little prior information. We also note the potential applications of this method to astrometry and geodesy for specific science cases and the planned improvements to the computational performance and analyses of more complex source distributions.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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