Short-term traffic speed prediction has been an important research topic in the past decade, and many approaches have been introduced. However, providing fine-grained, accurate, and efficient traffic-speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks where numerous traffic detectors are deployed has not been well studied. In this paper, we propose DistPre, which is a distributed fine-grained traffic speed prediction scheme for large-scale transportation networks. To achieve fine-grained and accurate traffic-speed prediction, DistPre customizes a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model with an appropriate hyperparameter configuration for a detector. To make such customization process efficient and applicable for large-scale transportation networks, DistPre conducts LSTM customization on a cluster of computation nodes and allows any trained LSTM model to be shared between different detectors. If a detector observes a similar traffic pattern to another one, DistPre directly shares the existing LSTM model between the two detectors rather than customizing an LSTM model per detector. Experiments based on traffic data collected from freeway I5-N in California are conducted to evaluate the performance of DistPre. The results demonstrate that DistPre provides time-efficient LSTM customization and accurate fine-grained traffic-speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
Norwegian University of Science and Technology（挪威科技大学）
Over the past decade, several approaches have been introduced for short-term traffic prediction. However, providing fine-grained traffic prediction for large-scale transportation networks where numerous detectors are geographically deployed to collect traffic data is still an open issue. To address this issue, in this paper, we formulate the problem of customizing an LSTM model for a single detector into a finite Markov decision process and then introduce an Automatic LSTM Customization (ALC) algorithm to automatically customize an LSTM model for a single detector such that the corresponding p…
Beihang University（北京航空航天大学）；University of Washington（华盛顿大学）
Accurate and reliable traffic forecasting for complicated transportation networks is of vital importance to modern transportation management. The complicated spatial dependencies of roadway links and the dynamic temporal patterns of traffic states make it particularly challenging. To address these challenges, we propose a new capsule network (CapsNet) to extract the spatial features of traffic networks and utilize a nested LSTM (NLSTM) structure to capture the hierarchical temporal dependencies in traffic sequence data. A framework for network-level traffic forecasting is also proposed by sequ…
Indian Institute of Technology Madras（印度理工学院马德拉斯分校）
We develop an end-to-end deep learning-based anomaly detection model for temporal data in transportation networks. The proposed EVT-LSTM model is derived from the popular LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) network and adopts an objective function that is based on fundamental results from EVT (Extreme Value Theory). We compare the EVT-LSTM model with some established statistical, machine learning, and hybrid deep learning baselines. Experiments on seven diverse real-world data sets demonstrate the superior anomaly detection performance of our proposed model over the other models considered in the co…
Norwegian University of Science and Technology（挪威科技大学）；Simula Research Laboratory（Simula研究实验室）
Over the past decade, many approaches have been introduced for traffic speed prediction. However, providing fine-grained, accurate, time-efficient, and adaptive traffic speed prediction for a growing transportation network where the size of the network keeps increasing and new traffic detectors are constantly deployed has not been well studied. To address this issue, this paper presents DistTune based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and the Nelder-Mead method. Whenever encountering an unprocessed detector, DistTune decides if it should customize an LSTM model for this detector by comparing th…
School of Computer Science and Technology（计算机科学与技术学院）；Taiyuan Normal University（太原师范学院）；Institute of Computer Science（计算机科学研究所）；University of Göttingen（哥廷根大学）；James Watt School of Engineering（詹姆斯·瓦特工程学院）；University of Glasgow（格拉斯哥大学）；Laboratory of Intelligent Home Appliances（智能家电实验室）；College of Science and Technology（科学与技术学院）；Ningbo University（宁波大学）
Predicting large-scale transportation network traffic has become an important and challenging topic in recent decades. Inspired by the domain knowledge of motion prediction, in which the future motion of an object can be predicted based on previous scenes, we propose a network grid representation method that can retain the fine-scale structure of a transportation network. Network-wide traffic speeds are converted into a series of static images and input into a novel deep architecture, namely, spatiotemporal recurrent convolutional networks (SRCNs), for traffic forecasting. The proposed SRCNs i…
Toronto Metropolitan University（多伦多城市大学）；McMaster University（麦克马斯特大学）；Tarbiat Modares University（塔比阿特莫达勒斯大学）
Accurate traffic volume and speed prediction have a wide range of applications in transportation. It can result in useful and timely information for both travellers and transportation decision-makers. In this study, an Attention based Long Sort-Term Memory model (A-LSTM) is proposed to simultaneously predict traffic volume and speed in a critical rural road segmentation which connects Tehran to Chalus, the most tourist destination city in Iran. Moreover, this study compares the results of the A-LSTM model with the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model. Both models show acceptable performance in …
In this paper, we explore various statistical techniques for anomaly detection in conjunction with the popular Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) deep learning model for transportation networks. We obtain the prediction errors from an LSTM model, and then apply three statistical models based on (i) the Gaussian distribution, (ii) Extreme Value Theory (EVT), and (iii) the Tukey's method. Using statistical tests and numerical studies, we find strong evidence against the widely employed Gaussian distribution based detection rule on the prediction errors. Next, motivated by fundamental results from Ext…
Public transportation system commuters are often interested in getting accurate travel time information to plan their daily activities. However, this information is often difficult to predict accurately due to the irregularities of road traffic, caused by factors such as weather conditions, road accidents, and traffic jams. In this study, two neural network models namely multi-layer(MLP) perceptron and long short-term model(LSTM) are developed for predicting link travel time of a busy route with input generated using Origin-Destination travel time matrix derived from a historical GPS dataset. …
Islamic Azad University North Tehran Branch（伊斯兰阿扎德大学北德黑兰分校）；Umeå University（于默奥大学）；Shahed Univerisity（沙希德大学）；Bogazici University（博阿齐奇大学）
Traffic flow characteristics are one of the most critical decision-making and traffic policing factors in a region. Awareness of the predicted status of the traffic flow has prime importance in traffic management and traffic information divisions. The purpose of this research is to suggest a forecasting model for traffic flow by using deep learning techniques based on historical data in the Intelligent Transportation Systems area. The historical data collected from the Caltrans Performance Measurement Systems (PeMS) for six months in 2019. The proposed prediction model is a Variational Long Sh…
Ryerson University（瑞尔森大学）；University of Toronto（多伦多大学）
Mitigating the substantial undesirable impact of transportation systems on the environment is paramount. Thus, predicting Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions is one of the profound topics, especially with the emergence of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). We develop a deep learning framework to predict link-level GHG emission rate (ER) (in CO2eq gram/second) based on the most representative predictors, such as speed, density, and the GHG ER of previous time steps. In particular, various specifications of the long-short term memory (LSTM) networks with exogenous variables are examined and co…
Traffic flow prediction is an important research issue to avoid traffic congestion in transportation systems. Traffic congestion avoiding can be achieved by knowing traffic flow and then conducting transportation planning. Achieving traffic flow prediction is challenging as the prediction is affected by many complex factors such as inter-region traffic, vehicles' relations, and sudden events. However, as the mobile data of vehicles has been widely collected by sensor-embedded devices in transportation systems, it is possible to predict the traffic flow by analysing mobile data. This study prop…
University of Waterloo（滑铁卢大学）；University of Tehran（德黑兰大学）
Automatic detection of traffic accidents has a crucial effect on improving transportation, public safety, and path planning. Many lives can be saved by the consequent decrease in the time between when the accidents occur and when rescue teams are dispatched, and much travelling time can be saved by notifying drivers to select alternative routes. This problem is challenging mainly because of the rareness of accidents and spatial heterogeneity of the environment. This paper studies deep representation of loop detector data using Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) network for automatic detection of fr…
Short-term traffic flow prediction is one of the crucial issues in intelligent transportation system, which is an important part of smart cities. Accurate predictions can enable both the drivers and the passengers to make better decisions about their travel route, departure time and travel origin selection, which can be helpful in traffic management. Multiple models and algorithms based on time series prediction and machine learning were applied to this issue and achieved acceptable results. Recently, the availability of sufficient data and computational power, motivates us to improve the pred…
Nowadays, the Internet of Things (IoT) has become one of the most important technologies which enables a variety of connected and intelligent applications in smart cities. The smart decision making process of IoT devices not only relies on the large volume of data collected from their sensors, but also depends on advanced optimization theories and novel machine learning technologies which can process and analyse the collected data in specific network structure. Therefore, it becomes practically important to investigate how different optimization algorithms and machine learning techniques can b…
Pennsylvania State University（宾夕法尼亚州立大学）；Didi Chuxing（滴滴出行）
Taxi demand prediction is an important building block to enabling intelligent transportation systems in a smart city. An accurate prediction model can help the city pre-allocate resources to meet travel demand and to reduce empty taxis on streets which waste energy and worsen the traffic congestion. With the increasing popularity of taxi requesting services such as Uber and Didi Chuxing (in China), we are able to collect large-scale taxi demand data continuously. How to utilize such big data to improve the demand prediction is an interesting and critical real-world problem. Traditional demand …
How autonomous vehicles and human drivers share public transportation systems is an important problem, as fully automatic transportation environments are still a long way off. Understanding human drivers' behavior can be beneficial for autonomous vehicle decision making and planning, especially when the autonomous vehicle is surrounded by human drivers who have various driving behaviors and patterns of interaction with other vehicles. In this paper, we propose an LSTM-based trajectory prediction method for human drivers which can help the autonomous vehicle make better decisions, especially in…
Precise and timely traffic flow prediction plays a critical role in developing intelligent transportation systems and has attracted considerable attention in recent decades. Despite the significant progress in this area brought by deep learning, challenges remain. Traffic flows usually change dramatically in a short period, which prevents the current methods from accurately capturing the future trend and likely causes the over-fitting problem, leading to unsatisfied accuracy. To this end, this paper proposes a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based method that can forecast the short-term traffic …
Hybrid CNN-LSTM Framework for Intelligent Cyber Attack Detection and Prevention in U.S. Critical Digital Infrastructure: A Comparative Machine Learning Evaluation on CSE-CIC-IDS2018
Department of Computer Science, Maharishi International University（马哈拉吉国际大学计算机科学系）；Department of Information Studies, Trine University（特林大学信息学系）；Department of Business Information Systems, Central Michigan University（中央密歇根大学商业信息系统系）
Automated driving systems (ADS) have undergone a significant improvement in the last years. ADS and more precisely self-driving cars technologies will change the way we perceive and know the world of transportation systems in terms of user experience, mode choices and business models. The emerging field of Deep Learning (DL) has been successfully applied for the development of innovative ADS solutions. However, the attempt to single out the best deep neural network architecture and tuning its hyperparameters are all expensive processes, both in terms of time and computational resources. In thi…
Real-time traffic flow prediction can not only provide travelers with reliable traffic information so that it can save people's time, but also assist the traffic management agency to manage traffic system. It can greatly improve the efficiency of the transportation system. Traditional traffic flow prediction approaches usually need a large amount of data but still give poor performances. With the development of deep learning, researchers begin to pay attention to artificial neural networks (ANNs) such as RNN and LSTM. However, these ANNs are very time-consuming. In our research, we improve the…
Proactive evacuation traffic management largely depends on real-time monitoring and prediction of traffic flow at a high spatiotemporal resolution. However, evacuation traffic prediction is challenging due to the uncertainties caused by sudden changes in projected hurricane paths and consequently household evacuation behavior. Moreover, modeling spatiotemporal traffic flow patterns requires extensive data over a longer time period, whereas evacuations typically last for 2 to 5 days. In this paper, we present a novel data-driven approach for predicting evacuation traffic at a network scale. We …
Semi-decentralized Inference in Heterogeneous Graph Neural Networks for Traffic Demand Forecasting: An Edge-Computing Approach
New Jersey Institute of Technology（新泽西理工学院）；Hamad Bin Khalifa University（哈马德·本·哈利法大学）；Mohamed Bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）
Clemson University（克莱姆森大学）；West Virginia University（西弗吉尼亚大学）
The prediction of high-resolution hourly traffic volumes of a given roadway is essential for transportation planning. Traditionally, Automatic Traffic Recorders (ATR) are used to collect this hourly volume data. These large datasets are time series data characterized by long-term temporal dependencies and missing values. Regarding the temporal dependencies, all roadways are characterized by seasonal variations that can be weekly, monthly or yearly, depending on the cause of the variation. Regarding the missing data in a time-series sequence, traditional time series forecasting models perform p…
Spatial Temporal Attention based Target Vehicle Trajectory Prediction for Internet of Vehicles
The School of Computer Science and Technology, Hangzhou Dianzi University（杭州电子科技大学计算机科学与技术学院）；The School of Automation, Hangzhou Dianzi University（杭州电子科技大学自动化学院）；The China Mobile Information Technology Co., Ltd.（中国移动信息技术有限公司）；The Key Laboratory for Information Science of Electromagnetic Waves (MoE), Fudan University（复旦大学电磁波信息科学教育部重点实验室）
To accommodate the unprecedented increase of commercial airlines over the next ten years, the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen) has been implemented in the USA that records large-scale Air Traffic Management (ATM) data to make air travel safer, more efficient, and more economical. A key role of collaborative decision making for air traffic scheduling and airspace resource management is the accurate prediction of flight delay. There has been a lot of attempts to apply data-driven methods such as machine learning to forecast flight delay situation using air traffic data of depa…
Accurate traffic prediction in real time plays an important role in Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) and travel navigation guidance. There have been many attempts to predict short-term traffic status which consider the spatial and temporal dependencies of traffic information such as temporal graph convolutional network (T-GCN) model and convolutional long short-term memory (Conv-LSTM) model. However, most existing methods use simple adjacent matrix consisting of 0 and 1 to capture the spatial dependence which can not meticulously describe the urban road network topological structure and…
Emerging transportation modes, including car-sharing, bike-sharing, and ride-hailing, are transforming urban mobility but have been shown to reinforce socioeconomic inequities. Spatiotemporal demand prediction models for these new mobility regimes must therefore consider fairness as a first-class design requirement. We present FairST, a fairness-aware model for predicting demand for new mobility systems. Our approach utilizes 1D, 2D and 3D convolutions to integrate various urban features and learn the spatial-temporal dynamics of a mobility system, but we include fairness metrics as a form of …
