Some martingale characterizations of compound mixed Poisson processes are proven, extending S. Watanabe's (1964) martingale characterization of Poisson processes as well as the main result of Lyberopoulos and Macheras (2012), concerning martingale characterizations of mixed Poisson processes.
Stochastic Hall-magnetohydrodynamics equations on ${\mathbb{R}}^{3}$ with random forces expressed in terms of the time homogeneous Poisson random measures are considered. We prove the existence of a global martingale solution. The construction of a solution is based on the Fourier truncation method, stochastic compactness method and a version of the Skorokhod theorem for non-metric spaces adequate for Poisson type random fields.
If a given aggregate process $S$ is a compound mixed Poisson process under a probability measure $P$, a characterization of all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$, such that $P$ and $Q$ are progressively equivalent and $S$ remains a compound mixed Poisson process with improved properties, is provided. This result generalizes earlier work of Delbaen & Haezendonck (1989). Implications related to the computation of premium calculation principles in an insurance market possessing the property of no free lunch with vanishing risk are also discussed.
The solution of Poisson's equation plays a key role in constructing the martingale through which sums of Markov correlated random variables can be analyzed. In this paper, we study two different representations for the solution in countable state space, one based on regenerative structure and the other based on an infinite sum of expectations. We also consider integrability and related uniqueness issues associated with solutions to Poisson's equation, and provide verifiable Lyapunov conditions to support our theory. Our key results include a central limit theorem and law of the iterated logari…
Let $\tilde{N}\_{t}$ be a standard compensated Poisson process on $[0,1]$. We prove a new characterization of anticipating integrals of the Skorohod type with respect to $\tilde{N}$, and use it to obtain several counterparts to well established properties of semimartingale stochastic integrals. In particular we show that, if the integrand is sufficiently regular, anticipating Skorohod integral processes with respect to $\tilde{N}$ admit a pointwise representation as usual Itô integrals in an independently enlarged filtration. We apply such a result to: (i) characterize Skorohod integral proces…
Expansion of Iterated Stochastic Integrals with Respect to Martingale Poisson Measures and with Respect to Martingales Based on Generalized Multiple Fourier Series
Generalizing earlier work of Delbaen and Haezendonck for given compound renewal process $S$ under a probability measure $P$ we characterize all probability measures $Q$ on the domain of $P$ such that $Q$ and $P$ are progressively equivalent and $S$ remains a compound renewal process under $Q$. As a consequence, we prove that any compound renewal process can be converted into a compound Poisson process through a change of measures and we show how this approach is related to premium calculation principles.
We present new properties for the Fractional Poisson process and the Fractional Poisson field on the plane. A martingale characterization for Fractional Poisson processes is given. We extend this result to Fractional Poisson fields, obtaining some other characterizations. The fractional differential equations are studied. We consider a more general Mixed-Fractional Poisson process and show that this process is the stochastic solution of a system of fractional differential-difference equations. Finally, we give some simulations of the Fractional Poisson field on the plane.
A branching Lévy process can be seen as the continuous-time version of a branching random walk. It describes a particle system on the real line in which particles move and reproduce independently in a Poissonian manner. Just as for Lévy processes, the law of a branching Lévy process is determined by its characteristic triplet $(σ^2,a,Λ)$, where the branching Lévy measure $Λ$ describes the intensity of the Poisson point process of births and jumps. We establish a version of Biggins' theorem in this framework, that is we provide necessary and sufficient conditions in terms of the characteristic …
We consider a Poisson process $η$ on a measurable space $(\BY,\mathcal{Y})$ equipped with a partial ordering, assumed to be strict almost everwhwere with respect to the intensity measure $λ$ of $η$. We give a Clark-Ocone type formula providing an explicit representation of square integrable martingales (defined with respect to the natural filtration associated with $η$), which was previously known only in the special case, when $λ$ is the product of Lebesgue measure on $\R_+$ and a $σ$-finite measure on another space $\BX$. Our proof is new and based on only a few basic properties of Poisson p…
We construct solutions to the randomly-forced Navier--Stokes--Poisson system in periodic three-dimensional domains or in the whole three-dimensional Euclidean space. These solutions are weak in the sense of PDEs and also weak in the sense of probability. As such, they satisfy the system in the sense of distributions and the underlying probability space and the stochastic driving force are also unknowns of the problem. Additionally, these solutions dissipate energy, satisfies a relative energy inequality in the sense of [4] and satisfy a renormalized form of the continuity equation in the sense…
A compound Poisson process whose randomized time is an independent Poisson process is called compound Poisson process with Poisson subordinator. We provide its probability distribution, which is expressed in terms of the Bell polynomials, and investigate in detail both the special cases in which the compound Poisson process has exponential jumps and normal jumps. Then for the iterated Poisson process we discuss some properties and provide convergence results to a Poisson process. The first-crossing-time problem for the iterated Poisson process is finally tackled in the cases of (i) a decreasin…
We show that the empirical distribution of the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix of certain random vectors (not necessarily independent entries) with bounded marginal $L^{4}$ norms converges weakly to a compound free Poisson distribution.
One major obstacle in applications of Stein's method for compound Poisson approximation is the availability of so-called magic factors (bounds on the solution of the Stein equation) with favourable dependence on the parameters of the approximating compound Poisson random variable. In general, the best such bounds have an exponential dependence on these parameters, though in certain situations better bounds are available. In this paper, we extend the region for which well-behaved magic factors are available for compound Poisson approximation in the Kolmogorov metric, allowing useful compound Po…
We are developing a new method for the analysis of queuing systems with heterogeneous in time and space compound (marked) Poisson input flow. The state space of the input flow is embedded in a higher-dimensional space with a homogeneous marked Poisson field on it. We prove limit theorems for partial sums of marks under the ordering of field points by coordinates.
Consider a surplus process which both of collected premium and payed claim size are two independent compound Poisson processes. This article derives two approximated formulas for the ruin probability of such surplus process, say double stochastic compound poisson process. More precisely, it provides two mixture exponential approximations for ruin probability of such double stochastic compound poisson process. Applications to long_term Bonus_Malus systems and a heavy-tiled claim size distribution have been given. Improvement of our findings compared to the Cramer- Lundberg upper bound has been …
In the paper we consider time-changed Poisson processes where the time is expressed by compound Poisson-Gamma subordinators $G(N(t))$ and derive the expressions for their hitting times. We also study the time-changed Poisson processes where the role of time is played by the processes of the form $G(N(t)+at)$ and by the iteration of such processes.
In this article we determine the Laplace transforms of the main boundary functionals of the oscillating compound Poisson process. These are the first passage time of the level, the joint distribution of the first exit time from the interval and the value of the overshoot through the boundary. Under certain conditions we establish the asymptotic behaviour of the mentioned functionals.
We characterize the subexponential densities on $(0,\infty)$ for compound Poisson distributions on $[0,\infty)$ with absolutely continuous Lévy measures. As a corollary, we show that the class of all subexponential probability density functions on $\mathbb R_+$ is closed under generalized convolution roots of compound Poisson sums. Moreover, we give an application to the subexponential density on $(0,\infty)$ for the distribution of the supremum of a random walk.
In this paper, the three-dimensional stochastic nonhomogeneous incompressible Navier-Stokes equations driven by Lévy process consisting of the Brownian motion, the compensated Poisson random measure and the Poisson random measure are considered in a bounded domain. We obtain the existence of martingale solutions. The construction of the solution is based on the classical Galerkin approximation method, stopping time, the compactness method and the Jakubowski-Skorokhod theorem.
A characterization of mixed Poisson processes in terms of disintegrations is proven. As a consequence some further characterizations of such processes via claim interarrival processes, martingales and claim measures are obtained. Some revisions are required
In this paper we present multivariate space-time fractional Poisson processes by considering common random time-changes of a (finite-dimensional) vector of independent classical (non-fractional) Poisson processes. In some cases we also consider compound processes. We obtain some equations in terms of some suitable fractional derivatives and fractional difference operators, which provides the extension of known equations for the univariate processes.
In this article, the compound Poisson processes of order $k$ (CPPoK) is introduced and its properties are discussed. Further, using mixture of tempered stable subordinator (MTSS) and its right continuous inverse, the two subordinated CPPoK with various distributional properties are studied. It is also shown that space and tempered space fractional versions of CPPoK and PPoK can be obtained, which generalize the results in the literature.
The Ewens-Pitman sampling model (EP-SM) is a distribution for random partitions of the set $\{1,\ldots,n\}$, with $n\in\mathbb{N}$, which is index by real parameters $α$ and $θ$ such that either $α\in[0,1)$ and $θ>-α$, or $α<0$ and $θ=-mα$ for some $m\in\mathbb{N}$. For $α=0$ the EP-SM reduces to the celebrated Ewens sampling model (E-SM), which admits a well-known compound Poisson perspective in terms of the log-series compound Poisson sampling model (LS-CPSM). In this paper, we consider a generalization of the LS-CPSM, which is referred to as the negative Binomial compound Poisson sampling m…
Given a simple transient random walk $(S_n)_{n\geq 0}$ in $\mathbf{Z}$ and a stationary sequence of real random variables $(ξ(s))_{s\in \mathbf{Z}}$, we investigate the extremes of the sequence $(ξ(S_n))_{n\geq 0}$. Under suitable conditions, we make explicit the extremal index and show that the point process of exceedances converges to a compound Poisson point process. We give two examples for which the cluster size distribution can be made explicit.
The term "moderate deviations" is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fill the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and a weak convergence to a centered Normal distribution. We talk about "non-central moderate deviations" when the weak convergence is towards a non-Gaussian distribution. In this paper we study non-central moderate deviations for compound fractional Poisson processes with light-tailed jumps.
We consider the approximation of a convolution of possibly different probability measures by (compound) Poisson distributions and also by related signed measures of higher order. We present new total variation bounds having a better structure than those from the literature. A numerical example illustrates the usefulness of the bounds, and an application in the Poisson process approximation is given. The proofs use arguments from Kerstan (Z. Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie und Verw. Gebiete 2 (1964) 173-179) and Roos (J. Multivariate Anal. 69 (1999) 120-134) in combination with new smoothness inequa…
We study the default risk in incomplete information. That means, we model the value of a firm by one Lévy process which is the sum of brownian motion with drift and compound Poisson process. This Lévy process can not be observed completely and we let an other process which representes the available information on the firm. We obtain an equation safisfied by the conditional density of the default time given the available information and closed form expression for the density.
Scale functions play a central role in the fluctuation theory of spectrally negative Lévy processes. For spectrally negative compound Poisson processes with positive drift, a new representation of the $q$-scale functions in terms of the characteristics of the process is derived. Moreover, similar representations of the derivatives and the primitives of the $q$-scale functions are presented. The obtained formulae for the derivatives allow for a complete exposure of the smoothness properties of the considered $q$-scale functions. Some explicit examples of $q$-scale functions are given for illust…
The continuous time Markov process considered in this paper belongs to a class of population models with linear growth and catastrophes. There, the catastrophes happen at the arrival times of a Poisson process, and at each catastrophe time, a randomly selected portion of the population is eliminated. For this population process, we derive an asymptotic upper bound for the maximum value and prove the local large deviation principle.
We establish, under the Cramer exponential moment condition in a neighbourhood of zero, the Extended Large Deviation Principle for the Random Walk and the Compound Poisson processes in the metric space $\V$ of functions of finite variation on $[0,\infty)$ with the modified Borovkov metric $\r(f,g)= \r_\B(\hat{f},\hat{g}) $, where $ \hat f(t)= f(t)/(1+t)$, $t\in \R$, and $\r_\B$ is the Borovkov metric. LDP in this space is "more precise" than that with the usual metric of uniform convergence on compacts.
We consider two fractional versions of a family of nonnegative integer valued processes. We prove that their probability mass functions solve fractional Kolmogorov forward equations, and we show the overdispersion of these processes. As particular examples in this family, we can define fractional versions of some processes in the literature as the Polya-Aeppli, the Poisson Inverse Gaussian and the Negative Binomial. We also define and study some more general fractional versions with two fractional parameters.
The aim of the present work is to provide a supplement to the authors' paper (2018). It is shown that our results on the approximation of distributions of sums of independent summands by the accompanying compound Poisson laws and the estimates of the proximity of sequential convolutions of multidimensional distributions on convex polyhedra may be almost automatically transferred to the infinite-dimensional case.
We use the Stein-Chen method to obtain compound Poisson approximations for the distribution of the number of subgraphs in a generalised stochastic block model which are isomorphic to some fixed graph. This model generalises the classical stochastic block model to allow for the possibility of multiple edges between vertices. Both the cases that the fixed graph is a simple graph and that it has multiple edges are treated. The former results apply when the fixed graph is a member of the class of strictly balanced graphs and the latter results apply to a suitable generalisation of this class to gr…
We show that for all $ψ$-mixing shifts distributions of the numbers of multiple recurrencies to shrinking cylindrical neighborhoods of all points are close either to Poisson or to compound Poisson distributions. We also describe completely the asymptotic behavior of these distributions.
This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known Lévy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of the compound Poisson process naturally leads to the compound fractional Poisson process, where the Poisson counting process is replaced by the Mittag-Leffler counting process also known as fractional Poisson process. This process is no longer Markovian and Lévy. However, several analytical results are available and some of them are discussed here. The functional…
Extreme values are considered in samples with random size that has a mixed Poisson distribution being generated by a doubly stochastic Poisson process. We prove some inequalities providing bounds on the rate of convergence in limit theorems for the distributions of max-compound Cox processes.
The fractional non-homogeneous Poisson process was introduced by a time-change of the non-homogeneous Poisson process with the inverse $α$-stable subordinator. We propose a similar definition for the (non-homogeneous) fractional compound Poisson process. We give both finite-dimensional and functional limit theorems for the fractional non-homogeneous Poisson process and the fractional compound Poisson process. The results are derived by using martingale methods, regular variation properties and Anscombe's theorem. Eventually, some of the limit results are verified in a Monte Carlo simulation.
The problem of European-style option pricing in time-changed Lévy models in the presence of compound Poisson jumps is considered. These jumps relate to sudden large drops in stock prices induced by political or economical hits. As the time-changed Lévy models, the variance-gamma and the normal-inverse Gaussian models are discussed. Exact formulas are given for the price of digital asset-or-nothing call option on extra asset in foreign currency. The prices of simpler options can be derived as corollaries of our results and examples are presented. Various types of dependencies between stock pric…