Link prediction can be used to extract missing information, identify spurious interactions as well as forecast network evolution. Network embedding is a methodology to assign coordinates to nodes in a low dimensional vector space. By embedding nodes into vectors, the link prediction problem can be converted into a similarity comparison task. Nodes with similar embedding vectors are more likely to be connected. Classic network embedding algorithms are random-walk-based. They sample trajectory paths via random walks and generate node pairs from the trajectory paths. The node pair set is further used as the input for a Skip-Gram model, a representative language model that embeds nodes (which are regarded as words) into vectors. In the present study, we propose to replace random walk processes by a spreading process, namely the susceptible-infected (SI) model, to sample paths. Specifically, we propose two SI-spreading-based algorithms, SINE and TSINE, to embed static and temporal networks, respectively. The performance of our algorithms is evaluated by the missing link prediction task in comparison with state-of-the-art static and temporal network embedding algorithms. Results show that SINE and TSINE outperform the baselines across all six empirical datasets. We further find that the performance of SINE is mostly better than TSINE, suggesting that temporal information does not necessarily improve the embedding for missing link prediction. Moreover, we study the effect of the sampling size, quantified as the total length of the trajectory paths, on the performance of the embedding algorithms. The better performance of SINE and TSINE requires a smaller sampling size in comparison with the baseline algorithms. Hence, SI-spreading-based embedding tends to be more applicable to large-scale networks.
Detection of patient-zero can give new insights to the epidemiologists about the nature of first transmissions into a population. In this paper, we study the statistical inference problem of detecting the source of epidemics from a snapshot of spreading on an arbitrary network structure. By using exact analytic calculations and Monte Carlo estimators, we demonstrate the detectability limits for the SIR model, which primarily depend on the spreading process characteristics. Finally, we demonstrate the applicability of the approach in a case of a simulated sexually transmitted infection spreadin…
The evolution of network structure and the spreading of epidemic are common coexistent dynamical processes. In most cases, network structure is treated either static or time-varying, supposing the whole network is observed in a same time window. In this paper, we consider the epidemic spreading on a network consisting of both static and time-varying structures. At meanwhile, the time-varying part and the epidemic spreading are supposed to be of the same time scale. We introduce a static and activity driven coupling (SADC) network model to characterize the coupling between static (strong) struc…
Many processes of spreading and diffusion take place on temporal networks, and their outcomes are influenced by correlations in the times of contact. These correlations have a particularly strong influence on processes where the spreading agent has a limited lifetime at nodes: disease spreading (recovery time), diffusion of rumors (lifetime of information), and passenger routing (maximum acceptable time between transfers). Here, we introduce weighted event graphs as a powerful and fast framework for studying connectivity determined by time-respecting paths where the allowed waiting times betwe…
Nowadays, information spreading on social networks has triggered an explosive attention in various disciplines. Most of previous works in this area mainly focus on discussing the effects of spreading probability or immunization strategy on static networks. However, in real systems, the peer-to-peer network structure changes constantly according to frequently social activities of users. In order to capture this dynamical property and study its impact on information spreading, in this paper, a link rewiring strategy based on the Fermi function is introduced. In the present model, the informed in…
Real-world systems, ranging from social and biological to infrastructural, can be modeled by multilayer networks. Promoting spreading dynamics in multilayer networks may significantly facilitate electronic advertising and predicting popular scientific publications. In this study, we propose a strategy for promoting the spreading dynamics of the susceptible-infected-susceptible model by adding one interconnecting edge between two isolated networks. By applying a perturbation method to the discrete Markovian chain approach, we derive an index that estimates the spreading prevalence in the interc…
Understanding how and how far information, behaviors, or pathogens spread in social networks is an important problem, having implications for both predicting the size of epidemics, as well as for planning effective interventions. There are, however, two main challenges for inferring spreading paths in real-world networks. One is the practical difficulty of observing a dynamic process on a network, and the other is the typical constraint of only partially observing a network. Using a static, structurally realistic social network as a platform for simulations, we juxtapose three distinct paths: …
Many researchers from a variety of fields including computer science, network science and mathematics have focused on how to contain the outbreaks of Internet misinformation that threaten social systems and undermine societal health. Most research on this topic treats the connections among individuals as static, but these connections change in time, and thus social networks are also temporal networks. Currently there is no theoretical approach to the problem of containing misinformation outbreaks in temporal networks. We thus propose a misinformation spreading model for temporal networks and d…
Social network is a main tunnel of rumor spreading. Previous studies are concentrated on a static rumor spreading. The content of the rumor is invariable during the whole spreading process. Indeed, the rumor evolves constantly in its spreading process, which grows shorter, more concise, more easily grasped and told. In an early psychological experiment, researchers found about 70% of details in a rumor were lost in the first 6 mouth-to-mouth transmissions \cite{TPR}. Based on the facts, we investigate rumor spreading on social networks, where the content of the rumor is modified by the individ…
University of Tsukuba（筑波大学）；Aix Marseille Univ（艾克斯-马赛大学）；Université de Toulon（土伦大学）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；Tokyo Institute of Technology（东京工业大学）；University of Turin（都灵大学）；ISI Foundation（ISI基金会）
Low-dimensional vector representations of network nodes have proven successful to feed graph data to machine learning algorithms and to improve performance across diverse tasks. Most of the embedding techniques, however, have been developed with the goal of achieving dense, low-dimensional encoding of network structure and patterns. Here, we present a node embedding technique aimed at providing low-dimensional feature vectors that are informative of dynamical processes occurring over temporal networks -- rather than of the network structure itself -- with the goal of enabling prediction tasks …
Spreading processes, e.g. epidemics, wildfires and rumors, are often modeled on static networks. However, their underlying network structures, e.g. changing contacts in social networks, different weather forecasts for wildfires, are due to ever-changing circumstances inherently time-varying in nature. In this paper, we therefore, propose an optimization framework for sparse resource allocation for control of spreading processes over temporal networks with known connectivity patterns. We use convex optimization, in particular exponential cone programming, and dynamic programming techniques to b…
Social contact networks underlying epidemic processes in humans and animals are highly dynamic. The spreading of infections on such temporal networks can differ dramatically from spreading on static networks. We theoretically investigate the effects of concurrency, the number of neighbors that a node has at a given time point, on the epidemic threshold in the stochastic susceptible-infected-susceptible dynamics on temporal network models. We show that network dynamics can suppress epidemics (i.e., yield a higher epidemic threshold) when the nodes' concurrency is low, but can also enhance epide…
In this paper, we analyze the dynamics of spreading processes taking place over time-varying networks. A common approach to model time-varying networks is via Markovian random graph processes. This modeling approach presents the following limitation: Markovian random graphs can only replicate switching patterns with exponential inter-switching times, while in real applications these times are usually far from exponential. In this paper, we introduce a flexible and tractable extended family of processes able to replicate, with arbitrary accuracy, any distribution of inter-switching times. We th…
Human social behavior plays a crucial role in how pathogens like SARS-CoV-2 or fake news spread in a population. Social interactions determine the contact network among individuals, while spreading, requiring individual-to-individual transmission, takes place on top of the network. Studying the topological aspects of a contact network, therefore, not only has the potential of leading to valuable insights into how the behavior of individuals impacts spreading phenomena, but it may also open up possibilities for devising effective behavioral interventions. Because of the temporal nature of inter…
Real-world networks are composed of diverse interacting and evolving entities, while most of existing researches simply characterize them as particular static networks, without consideration of the evolution trend in dynamic networks. Recently, significant progresses in tracking the properties of dynamic networks have been made, which exploit changes of entities and links in the network to devise network embedding techniques. Compared to widely proposed static network embedding methods, dynamic network embedding endeavors to encode nodes as low-dimensional dense representations that effectivel…
ISI Foundation（ISI基金会）；Alma Mater Studiorum University of Bologna（博洛尼亚大学）；Central European University（中欧大学）；Univ de Lyon（里昂大学）；ENS de Lyon（里昂高等师范学院）；INRIA（法国国家信息与自动化研究所）；CNRS（法国国家科学研究中心）；IXXI（里昂复杂系统研究所）
Network embedding techniques are powerful to capture structural regularities in networks and to identify similarities between their local fabrics. However, conventional network embedding models are developed for static structures, commonly consider nodes only and they are seriously challenged when the network is varying in time. Temporal networks may provide an advantage in the description of real systems, but they code more complex information, which could be effectively represented only by a handful of methods so far. Here, we propose a new method of event embedding of temporal networks, cal…
Network representation learning in low dimensional vector space has attracted considerable attention in both academic and industrial domains. Most real-world networks are dynamic with addition/deletion of nodes and edges. The existing graph embedding methods are designed for static networks and they cannot capture evolving patterns in a large dynamic network. In this paper, we propose a dynamic embedding method, dynnode2vec, based on the well-known graph embedding method node2vec. Node2vec is a random walk based embedding method for static networks. Applying static network embedding in dynamic…
University of Michigan（密歇根大学）；Adobe Research（Adobe研究（Adobe Research））
We introduce a general framework for leveraging graph stream data for temporal prediction-based applications. Our proposed framework includes novel methods for learning an appropriate graph time-series representation, modeling and weighting the temporal dependencies, and generalizing existing embedding methods for such data. While previous work on dynamic modeling and embedding has focused on representing a stream of timestamped edges using a time-series of graphs based on a specific time-scale (e.g., 1 month), we propose the notion of an $ε$-graph time-series that uses a fixed number of edges…
When investigating the spreading of a piece of information or the diffusion of an innovation, we often lack information on the underlying propagation network. Reconstructing the hidden propagation paths based on the observed diffusion process is a challenging problem which has recently attracted attention from diverse research fields. To address this reconstruction problem, based on static similarity metrics commonly used in the link prediction literature, we introduce new node-node temporal similarity metrics. The new metrics take as input the time-series of multiple independent spreading pro…
Embedding large graphs in low dimensional spaces has recently attracted significant interest due to its wide applications such as graph visualization, link prediction and node classification. Existing methods focus on computing the embedding for static graphs. However, many graphs in practical applications are dynamic and evolve constantly over time. Naively applying existing embedding algorithms to each snapshot of dynamic graphs independently usually leads to unsatisfactory performance in terms of stability, flexibility and efficiency. In this work, we present an efficient algorithm DynGEM b…
The emergence of infectious disease COVID-19 has challenged and changed the world in an unprecedented manner. The integration of wireless networks with edge computing (namely wireless edge networks) brings opportunities to address this crisis. In this paper, we aim to investigate the prediction of the infectious probability and propose precautionary measures against COVID-19 with the assistance of wireless edge networks. Due to the availability of the recorded detention time and the density of individuals within a wireless edge network, we propose a stochastic geometry-based method to analyze …
A temporal graph dissimilarity measure capturing epidemic spreading behavior
ISI Foundation（ISI基金会）；Politecnico di Torino（都灵理工大学）；Aix Marseille Univ, Univ Toulon, CNRS, CPT, Turing Center for Living Systems（艾克斯-马赛大学，土伦大学，法国国家科学研究中心，理论物理中心，图灵生命系统中心）
Randomized gossip is one of the most popular way of disseminating information in large scale networks. This method is appreciated for its simplicity, robustness, and efficiency. In the "push" protocol, every informed node selects, at every time step (a.k.a. round), one of its neighboring node uniformly at random and forwards the information to this node. This protocol is known to complete information spreading in $O(\log n)$ time steps with high probability (w.h.p.) in several families of $n$-node "static" networks. The Push protocol has also been empirically shown to perform well in practice,…
Peking University（北京大学）；The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology（香港科技大学）
Information networks are ubiquitous and are ideal for modeling relational data. Networks being sparse and irregular, network embedding algorithms have caught the attention of many researchers, who came up with numerous embeddings algorithms in static networks. Yet in real life, networks constantly evolve over time. Hence, evolutionary patterns, namely how nodes develop itself over time, would serve as a powerful complement to static structures in embedding networks, on which relatively few works focus. In this paper, we propose EPNE, a temporal network embedding model preserving evolutionary p…
Virginia Tech（弗吉尼亚理工大学）；Pacific Northwest National Laboratory（太平洋西北国家实验室）
Representation learning methods for heterogeneous networks produce a low-dimensional vector embedding for each node that is typically fixed for all tasks involving the node. Many of the existing methods focus on obtaining a static vector representation for a node in a way that is agnostic to the downstream application where it is being used. In practice, however, downstream tasks such as link prediction require specific contextual information that can be extracted from the subgraphs related to the nodes provided as input to the task. To tackle this challenge, we develop SLiCE, a framework brid…
