arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
北美退伍军人节(Veterans Day),12 日无更新
arXiv 2003.00411cs.AI
收藏

灌溉需水量预测的数据预处理及几种数据采掘方法的性能评价

Data Pre-Processing and Evaluating the Performance of Several Data Mining Methods for Predicting Irrigation Water Requirement

School of Environmental Sciences, Charles Sturt University(查尔斯斯特大学环境科学学院);School of Computing and Mathematics, Charles Sturt University(查尔斯斯特大学计算与数学学院);International Water Management Institute (IWMI)(国际水资源管理研究所)

Mahmood A. Khan, Md Zahidul Islam, Mohsin Hafeez

摘要:

最近的干旱和人口增长对使用现有的有限水资源造成了前所未有的需求。灌溉农业是淡水的主要消耗者之一。由于水资源管理不善,灌溉农业中的大量水被浪费。为了改善灌溉地区的水管理,需要建立未来需水量估算模型。开发灌溉需水量预测模型可以改善水资源管理实践,最大限度地提高水资源生产率。数据采掘可以有效地用于建立这样的模型。在这项研究中,我们准备了一个数据集,包含信息的适当属性预测灌溉用水需求。数据来自三个不同的来源,即气象数据、遥感图像和供水报表。为了使准备好的数据集有用的需求预测和模式提取,我们预处理的数据集使用一种新的方法的基础上结合灌溉和数据采掘知识。然后,我们应用和比较不同的数据采掘方法,即决策树(DT),人工神经网络(ANN),系统开发的森林(SysFor)的多棵树,支持向量机(SVM),逻辑回归,和传统的蒸散量(ETC)的方法和评估这些模型的性能来预测灌溉用水需求的有效性。我们的实验结果表明,有用的数据预处理和不同的分类器的有效性。在我们使用的六种方法中,SysFor产生最好的预测,准确率为97.5%,其次是决策树,96%和人工神经网络,分别与实际用水量密切匹配的预测。因此,我们建议使用SysFor和DT模型进行灌溉需水量预测。

英文摘要:

Recent drought and population growth are planting unprecedented demand for the use of available limited water resources. Irrigated agriculture is one of the major consumers of freshwater. A large amount of water in irrigated agriculture is wasted due to poor water management practices. To improve water management in irrigated areas, models for estimation of future water requirements are needed. Developing a model for forecasting irrigation water demand can improve water management practices and maximise water productivity. Data mining can be used effectively to build such models. In this study, we prepare a dataset containing information on suitable attributes for forecasting irrigation water demand. The data is obtained from three different sources namely meteorological data, remote sensing images and water delivery statements. In order to make the prepared dataset useful for demand forecasting and pattern extraction, we pre-process the dataset using a novel approach based on a combination of irrigation and data mining knowledge. We then apply and compare the effectiveness of different data mining methods namely decision tree (DT), artificial neural networks (ANNs), systematically developed forest (SysFor) for multiple trees, support vector machine (SVM), logistic regression, and the traditional Evapotranspiration (ETc) methods and evaluate the performance of these models to predict irrigation water demand. Our experimental results indicate the usefulness of data pre-processing and the effectiveness of different classifiers. Among the six methods we used, SysFor produces the best prediction with 97.5% accuracy followed by a decision tree with 96% and ANN with 95% respectively by closely matching the predictions with actual water usage. Therefore, we recommend using SysFor and DT models for irrigation water demand forecasting.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑