Traffic evacuation plays a critical role in saving lives in devastating disasters such as hurricanes, wildfires, floods, earthquakes, etc. An ability to evaluate evacuation plans in advance for these rare events, including identifying traffic flow bottlenecks, improving traffic management policies, and understanding the robustness of the traffic management policy are critical for emergency management. Given the rareness of such events and the corresponding lack of real data, traffic simulation provides a flexible and versatile approach for such scenarios, and furthermore allows dynamic interaction with the simulated evacuation. In this paper, we build a traffic simulation pipeline to explore the above problems, covering many aspects of evacuation, including map creation, demand generation, vehicle behavior, bottleneck identification, traffic management policy improvement, and results analysis. We apply the pipeline to two case studies in California. The first is Paradise, which was destroyed by a large wildfire in 2018 and experienced catastrophic traffic jams during the evacuation. The second is Mill Valley, which has high risk of wildfire and potential traffic issues since the city is situated in a narrow valley.
A decade on from the devastating Black Saturday bushfires in Victoria, Australia, we are at a point where computer simulations of community evacuations are starting to be used within the emergency services. While fire progression modelling is embedded in strategic and operational settings at all levels of government across Victoria, modelling of community response to such fires is only just starting to be evaluated in earnest. For community response models to become integral to bushfire planning and preparedness, the key question to be addressed is: when faced with a bushfire, what will a comm…
The Pennsylvania State University（宾夕法尼亚州立大学）；The University of California, Merced（加州大学默塞德分校）
This paper describes our recent effort to use virtual reality to simulate threatening emergency evacuation scenarios in which a robot guides a person to an exit. Our prior work has demonstrated that people will follow a robot's guidance, even when the robot is faulty, during an emergency evacuation. Yet, because physical in-person emergency evacuation experiments are difficult and costly to conduct and because we would like to evaluate many different factors, we are motivated to develop a system that immerses people in the simulation environment to encourage genuine subject reactions. We are w…
Well-executed emergency evacuations can save lives and reduce suffering. However, decision makers struggle to determine optimal evacuation policies given the chaos, uncertainty, and value judgments inherent in emergency evacuations. We propose and analyze a decision support tool for pre-crisis training exercises for teams preparing for civilian evacuations and explore the tool in the case of the 2021 U.S.-led evacuation from Afghanistan. We use different classes of Markov decision processes (MDPs) to capture compounding levels of uncertainty in (1) the priority category of who appears next at …
College of Science, University of Sulaimani（苏莱曼尼大学理学院）；Sulaimania Polytechnic University（苏莱曼尼亚理工大学）；University of Kurdistan Hewler（休勒库尔德斯坦大学）
This paper attempts to design an intelligent simulation model for pedestrian crowd evacuation. For this purpose, the cellular automata(CA) was fully integrated with fuzzy logic, the kth nearest neighbors (KNN), and some statistical equations. In this model, each pedestrian was assigned a specific speed, according to his/her physical, biological and emotional features. The emergency behavior and evacuation efficiency of each pedestrian were evaluated by coupling his or her speed with various elements, such as environment, pedestrian distribution and familiarity with the exits. These elements al…
Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University（斯坦福大学伍兹环境研究所）；Institute for Computational and Mathematical Engineering, Stanford University（斯坦福大学计算与数学工程研究所）；Department of Biology, Stanford University（斯坦福大学生物系）；Department of Earth System Science, Stanford University（斯坦福大学地球系统科学系）
One of the lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic is the importance of social distancing, even in challenging circumstances such as pre-hurricane evacuation. To explore the implications of integrating social distancing with evacuation operations, we describe this evacuation process as a Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem (CVRP) and solve it using a DNN (Deep Neural Network)-based solution (Deep Reinforcement Learning) and a non-DNN solution (Sweep Algorithm). A central question is whether Deep Reinforcement Learning provides sufficient extra routing efficiency to accommodate increased social dist…
Deep Q-Learning with Q-Matrix Transfer Learning for Novel Fire Evacuation Environment
Centre for Artificial Intelligence Research（人工智能研究中心）；Department of Information and Communication Technology（信息与通信技术系）；University of Agder, Norway（阿格德大学，挪威）
New crisis response and management approaches that incorporate the latest information technologies are essential in all phases of emergency preparedness and response, including the planning, response, recovery, and assessment phases. Accurate and timely information is as crucial as is rapid and coherent coordination among the responding organizations. We are working towards a multipronged emergency response tool that provide stakeholders timely access to comprehensive, relevant, and reliable information. The faster emergency personnel are able to analyze, disseminate and act on key information…
New York University Tandon School of Engineering（纽约大学坦登工程学院）；C2SMART University Transportation Center（C2SMART大学交通中心）
Emergency vehicle (EMV) service is a key function of cities and is exceedingly challenging due to urban traffic congestion. A main reason behind EMV service delay is the lack of communication and cooperation between vehicles blocking EMVs. In this paper, we study the improvement of EMV service under V2I connectivity. We consider the establishment of dynamic queue jump lanes (DQJLs) based on real-time coordination of connected vehicles. We develop a novel Markov decision process formulation for the DQJL problem, which explicitly accounts for the uncertainty of drivers' reaction to approaching E…
Successful flood recovery and evacuation require access to reliable flood depth information. Most existing flood mapping tools do not provide real-time flood maps of inundated streets in and around residential areas. In this paper, a deep convolutional network is used to determine flood depth with high spatial resolution by analyzing crowdsourced images of submerged traffic signs. Testing the model on photos from a recent flood in the U.S. and Canada yields a mean absolute error of 6.978 in., which is on par with previous studies, thus demonstrating the applicability of this approach to low-co…
School of Artificial Intelligence, Beijing University of Posts（人工智能学院，北京邮电大学）；Beijing Big Data Center（北京大数据中心）
With increasing urban traffic complexity, Traffic Signal Control (TSC) is essential for optimizing traffic flow and improving road safety. Large Language Models (LLMs) emerge as promising approaches for TSC. However, they are prone to hallucinations in emergencies, leading to unreliable decisions that may cause substantial delays for emergency vehicles. Moreover, diverse intersection types present substantial challenges for traffic state encoding and cross-intersection training, limiting generalization across heterogeneous intersections. Therefore, this paper proposes Retrieval Augmented Gener…
New York University（纽约大学）；Siemens Corporation（西门子公司）；Shanghai Jiao Tong University（上海交通大学）
Emergency vehicles (EMVs) play a crucial role in responding to time-critical calls such as medical emergencies and fire outbreaks in urban areas. Existing methods for EMV dispatch typically optimize routes based on historical traffic-flow data and design traffic signal pre-emption accordingly; however, we still lack a systematic methodology to address the coupling between EMV routing and traffic signal control. In this paper, we propose EMVLight, a decentralized reinforcement learning (RL) framework for joint dynamic EMV routing and traffic signal pre-emption. We adopt the multi-agent advantag…
