他们会怎么做？模拟自我疏散原型
What will they do? Modelling self-evacuation archetypes
摘要：
从澳大利亚维多利亚州毁灭性的黑色星期六大火发生十年来，我们正处于社区疏散的计算机模拟开始在紧急服务中使用的时刻。虽然火灾进展建模已嵌入维多利亚州各级政府的战略和业务环境中，但社区对此类火灾的反应建模才刚刚开始认真评估。为了使社区响应模型成为火灾规划和准备的组成部分，需要解决的关键问题是：当面临火灾时，社区真正会做什么？通常，这种理解来自社区和服务部门的本地经验和专门知识，但趋势是转向更知情的数据驱动方法。在本文中，我们报告了紧急部门在这一领域的最新工作。特别是，我们讨论了应用Strahan等人。的自我疏散原型，以代理为基础的社区疏散模型在区域维多利亚。这项工作是几个应急管理利益攸关方之间的综合火灾疏散建模合作的一部分。
英文摘要：
A decade on from the devastating Black Saturday bushfires in Victoria, Australia, we are at a point where computer simulations of community evacuations are starting to be used within the emergency services. While fire progression modelling is embedded in strategic and operational settings at all levels of government across Victoria, modelling of community response to such fires is only just starting to be evaluated in earnest. For community response models to become integral to bushfire planning and preparedness, the key question to be addressed is: when faced with a bushfire, what will a community really do? Typically this understanding has come from local experience and expertise within the community and services, however the trend is to move towards more informed data driven approaches. In this paper we report on the latest work within the emergency sector in this space. Particularly, we discuss the application of Strahan et al.'s self-evacuation archetypes to an agent-based model of community evacuation in regional Victoria. This work is part of the consolidated bushfire evacuation modelling collaboration between several emergency management stakeholders.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
