Algorithmic trading, due to its inherent nature, is a difficult problem to tackle; there are too many variables involved in the real world which make it almost impossible to have reliable algorithms for automated stock trading. The lack of reliable labelled data that considers physical and physiological factors that dictate the ups and downs of the market, has hindered the supervised learning attempts for dependable predictions. To learn a good policy for trading, we formulate an approach using reinforcement learning which uses traditional time series stock price data and combines it with news headline sentiments, while leveraging knowledge graphs for exploiting news about implicit relationships.
This paper is to explore the possibility to use alternative data and artificial intelligence techniques to trade stocks. The efficacy of the daily Twitter sentiment on predicting the stock return is examined using machine learning methods. Reinforcement learning(Q-learning) is applied to generate the optimal trading policy based on the sentiment signal. The predicting power of the sentiment signal is more significant if the stock price is driven by the expectation of the company growth and when the company has a major event that draws the public attention. The optimal trading strategy based on…
Universidade de São Paulo(圣保罗大学);Centro Universitário FEI(FEI大学中心)
The feasibility of making profitable trades on a single asset on stock exchanges based on patterns identification has long attracted researchers. Reinforcement Learning (RL) and Natural Language Processing have gained notoriety in these single-asset trading tasks, but only a few works have explored their combination. Moreover, some issues are still not addressed, such as extracting market sentiment momentum through the explicit capture of sentiment features that reflect the market condition over time and assessing the consistency and stability of RL results in different situations. Filling thi…
This scientific research paper presents an innovative approach based on deep reinforcement learning (DRL) to solve the algorithmic trading problem of determining the optimal trading position at any point in time during a trading activity in stock markets. It proposes a novel DRL trading strategy so as to maximise the resulting Sharpe ratio performance indicator on a broad range of stock markets. Denominated the Trading Deep Q-Network algorithm (TDQN), this new trading strategy is inspired from the popular DQN algorithm and significantly adapted to the specific algorithmic trading problem at ha…
MOT: A Mixture of Actors Reinforcement Learning Method by Optimal Transport for Algorithmic Trading
School of Artificial Intelligence, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences(中国科学院大学人工智能学院);Institute of Automation, Chinese Academy of Sciences(中国科学院自动化研究所)
Orchestration Framework for Financial Agents: From Algorithmic Trading to Agentic Trading
SecureFinAI Lab, Columbia University(安全金融人工智能实验室,哥伦比亚大学);Purdue University(普渡大学);Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute(拉特格斯理工学院);Stevens Institute of Technology(史蒂文斯理工学院)
University of Liverpool(利物浦大学);King’s College London(伦敦国王学院);University of Warwick(华威大学)
Within the mathematical finance literature there is a rich catalogue of mathematical models for studying algorithmic trading problems -- such as market-making and optimal execution -- in limit order books. This paper introduces \mbtgym, a Python module that provides a suite of gym environments for training reinforcement learning (RL) agents to solve such model-based trading problems. The module is set up in an extensible way to allow the combination of different aspects of different models. It supports highly efficient implementations of vectorized environments to allow faster training of RL a…
A Unified Multi-Modal Framework for Intelligent Financial Systems: Integrating Reinforcement Learning, High-Frequency Trading, and Game-Theoretic Approaches with Cross-Modal Sentiment Analysis
Henan University, International Eurasia College(河南大学,国际欧亚学院);City University of Hong Kong, College of Business(香港城市大学,商学院);Northeastern University, School of Electronic and Information Engineering(东北大学,电子与信息工程学院)
Unveiling the Potential of Sentiment: Can Large Language Models Predict Chinese Stock Price Movements?
International Digital Economy Academy (IDEA)(国际数字经济学院(IDEA));The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)(香港科技大学(广州));Data Science and Analytics Thrust, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)(香港科技大学(广州)数据科学与分析学域);Financial Technology Thrust, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)(香港科技大学(广州)金融科技学域)
This paper proposes a novel adaptive algorithm for the automated short-term trading of financial instrument. The algorithm adopts a semantic sentiment analysis technique to inspect the Twitter posts and to use them to predict the behaviour of the stock market. Indeed, the algorithm is specifically developed to take advantage of both the sentiment and the past values of a certain financial instrument in order to choose the best investment decision. This allows the algorithm to ensure the maximization of the obtainable profits by trading on the stock market. We have conducted an investment simul…