Many decision problems in science, engineering and economics are affected by uncertain parameters whose distribution is only indirectly observable through samples. The goal of data-driven decision-making is to learn a decision from finitely many training samples that will perform well on unseen test samples. This learning task is difficult even if all training and test samples are drawn from the same distribution -- especially if the dimension of the uncertainty is large relative to the training sample size. Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization seeks data-driven decisions that perform well under the most adverse distribution within a certain Wasserstein distance from a nominal distribution constructed from the training samples. In this tutorial we will argue that this approach has many conceptual and computational benefits. Most prominently, the optimal decisions can often be computed by solving tractable convex optimization problems, and they enjoy rigorous out-of-sample and asymptotic consistency guarantees. We will also show that Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization has interesting ramifications for statistical learning and motivates new approaches for fundamental learning tasks such as classification, regression, maximum likelihood estimation or minimum mean square error estimation, among others.
In many applications in statistics and machine learning, the availability of data samples from multiple possibly heterogeneous sources has become increasingly prevalent. On the other hand, in distributionally robust optimization, we seek data-driven decisions which perform well under the most adverse distribution from a nominal distribution constructed from data samples within a certain discrepancy of probability distributions. However, it remains unclear how to achieve such distributional robustness in model learning and estimation when data samples from multiple sources are available. In thi…
Inverse multiobjective optimization provides a general framework for the unsupervised learning task of inferring parameters of a multiobjective decision making problem (DMP), based on a set of observed decisions from the human expert. However, the performance of this framework relies critically on the availability of an accurate DMP, sufficient decisions of high quality, and a parameter space that contains enough information about the DMP. To hedge against the uncertainties in the hypothetical DMP, the data, and the parameter space, we investigate in this paper the distributionally robust appr…
The Chinese University of Hong Kong（香港中文大学）；Nanjing University（南京大学）
Wasserstein \textbf{D}istributionally \textbf{R}obust \textbf{O}ptimization (DRO) is concerned with finding decisions that perform well on data that are drawn from the worst-case probability distribution within a Wasserstein ball centered at a certain nominal distribution. In recent years, it has been shown that various DRO formulations of learning models admit tractable convex reformulations. However, most existing works propose to solve these convex reformulations by general-purpose solvers, which are not well-suited for tackling large-scale problems. In this paper, we focus on a family of W…
Wasserstein distance-based distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has received much attention lately due to its ability to provide a robustness interpretation of various learning models. Moreover, many of the DRO problems that arise in the learning context admits exact convex reformulations and hence can be tackled by off-the-shelf solvers. Nevertheless, the use of such solvers severely limits the applicability of DRO in large-scale learning problems, as they often rely on general purpose interior-point algorithms. On the other hand, there are very few works that attempt to develop fast it…
Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) aims to find robust and generalizable solutions by hedging against data perturbations in Wasserstein distance. Despite its recent empirical success in operations research and machine learning, existing performance guarantees for generic loss functions are either overly conservative due to the curse of dimensionality, or plausible only in large sample asymptotics. In this paper, we develop a non-asymptotic framework for analyzing the out-of-sample performance for Wasserstein robust learning and the generalization bound for its related Lipsc…
Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；EPFL（洛桑联邦理工学院）；Delft University of Technology（代尔夫特理工大学）
We introduce a distributionally robust minimium mean square error estimation model with a Wasserstein ambiguity set to recover an unknown signal from a noisy observation. The proposed model can be viewed as a zero-sum game between a statistician choosing an estimator -- that is, a measurable function of the observation -- and a fictitious adversary choosing a prior -- that is, a pair of signal and noise distributions ranging over independent Wasserstein balls -- with the goal to minimize and maximize the expected squared estimation error, respectively. We show that if the Wasserstein balls are…
This paper proposes a distributionally robust approach to logistic regression. We use the Wasserstein distance to construct a ball in the space of probability distributions centered at the uniform distribution on the training samples. If the radius of this ball is chosen judiciously, we can guarantee that it contains the unknown data-generating distribution with high confidence. We then formulate a distributionally robust logistic regression model that minimizes a worst-case expected logloss function, where the worst case is taken over all distributions in the Wasserstein ball. We prove that t…
Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；Singapore University of Technology and Design（新加坡科技设计大学）；VinAI Research（VinAI研究院）
We consider statistical methods which invoke a min-max distributionally robust formulation to extract good out-of-sample performance in data-driven optimization and learning problems. Acknowledging the distributional uncertainty in learning from limited samples, the min-max formulations introduce an adversarial inner player to explore unseen covariate data. The resulting Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) formulations, which include Wasserstein DRO formulations (our main focus), are specified using optimal transportation phenomena. Upon describing how these infinite-dimensional min-max…
We propose a distributionally robust logistic regression model with an unfairness penalty that prevents discrimination with respect to sensitive attributes such as gender or ethnicity. This model is equivalent to a tractable convex optimization problem if a Wasserstein ball centered at the empirical distribution on the training data is used to model distributional uncertainty and if a new convex unfairness measure is used to incentivize equalized opportunities. We demonstrate that the resulting classifier improves fairness at a marginal loss of predictive accuracy on both synthetic and real da…
Institute for Math and AI（数学与人工智能研究所）；Wuhan University（武汉大学）；School of Artificial Intelligence（人工智能学院）；Department of Statistics and Data Science（统计与数据科学系）；The Chinese University of Hong Kong（香港中文大学）；The Hong Kong Polytechnic University（香港理工大学）
Improving Mixup Calibration with Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Optimization
Department of Mathematics & Statistics（数学与统计学系）；Boston University（波士顿大学）；Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Division of Systems Engineering（电气与计算机工程系，系统工程 division）；Department of Biomedical Engineering（生物医学工程系）；Faculty of Computing & Data Sciences（计算与数据科学学院）
Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has attracted attention in machine learning due to its connections to regularization, generalization, and robustness. Existing work has considered uncertainty sets based on phi-divergences and Wasserstein distances, each of which have drawbacks. In this paper, we study DRO with uncertainty sets measured via maximum mean discrepancy (MMD). We show that MMD DRO is roughly equivalent to regularization by the Hilbert norm and, as a byproduct, reveal deep connections to classic results in statistical learning. In particular, we obtain an alternative proof …
École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne（洛桑联邦理工学院）；TU Delft（代尔夫特理工大学）
We study a distributionally robust mean square error estimation problem over a nonconvex Wasserstein ambiguity set containing only normal distributions. We show that the optimal estimator and the least favorable distribution form a Nash equilibrium. Despite the non-convex nature of the ambiguity set, we prove that the estimation problem is equivalent to a tractable convex program. We further devise a Frank-Wolfe algorithm for this convex program whose direction-searching subproblem can be solved in a quasi-closed form. Using these ingredients, we introduce a distributionally robust Kalman filt…
University of Texas at Austin（德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校）；New York University（纽约大学）；Georgia Institute of Technology（佐治亚理工学院）
Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has recently achieved empirical success for various applications in operations research and machine learning, owing partly to its regularization effect. Although connection between Wasserstein DRO and regularization has been established in several settings, existing results often require restrictive assumptions, such as smoothness or convexity, that are not satisfied for many problems. In this paper, we develop a general theory on the variation regularization effect of the Wasserstein DRO - a new form of regularization that generalizes tot…
Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization estimators are obtained as solutions of min-max problems in which the statistician selects a parameter minimizing the worst-case loss among all probability models within a certain distance (in a Wasserstein sense) from the underlying empirical measure. While motivated by the need to identify optimal model parameters or decision choices that are robust to model misspecification, these distributionally robust estimators recover a wide range of regularized estimators, including square-root lasso and support vector machines, among others, as particu…
We develop Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) formulations for Multivariate Linear Regression (MLR) and Multiclass Logistic Regression (MLG) when both the covariates and responses/labels may be contaminated by outliers. The DRO framework uses a probabilistic ambiguity set defined as a ball of distributions that are close to the empirical distribution of the training set in the sense of the Wasserstein metric. We relax the DRO formulation into a regularized learning problem whose regularizer is a norm of the coefficient matrix. We establish out-of-sample performance guarantees for the s…
Stanford University（斯坦福大学）；Seoul National University（首尔国立大学）
Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (WDRO) attempts to learn a model that minimizes the local worst-case risk in the vicinity of the empirical data distribution defined by Wasserstein ball. While WDRO has received attention as a promising tool for inference since its introduction, its theoretical understanding has not been fully matured. Gao et al. (2017) proposed a minimizer based on a tractable approximation of the local worst-case risk, but without showing risk consistency. In this paper, we propose a minimizer based on a novel approximation theorem and provide the correspondin…
CSIRO’s Data61（澳大利亚联邦科学与工业研究组织数据61中心）；University of Melbourne（墨尔本大学）
We use distributionally-robust optimization for machine learning to mitigate the effect of data poisoning attacks. We provide performance guarantees for the trained model on the original data (not including the poison records) by training the model for the worst-case distribution on a neighbourhood around the empirical distribution (extracted from the training dataset corrupted by a poisoning attack) defined using the Wasserstein distance. We relax the distributionally-robust machine learning problem by finding an upper bound for the worst-case fitness based on the empirical sampled-averaged f…
We introduce a distributionally robust maximum likelihood estimation model with a Wasserstein ambiguity set to infer the inverse covariance matrix of a $p$-dimensional Gaussian random vector from $n$ independent samples. The proposed model minimizes the worst case (maximum) of Stein's loss across all normal reference distributions within a prescribed Wasserstein distance from the normal distribution characterized by the sample mean and the sample covariance matrix. We prove that this estimation problem is equivalent to a semidefinite program that is tractable in theory but beyond the reach of …
Distributionally robust supervised learning (DRSL) is emerging as a key paradigm for building reliable machine learning systems for real-world applications -- reflecting the need for classifiers and predictive models that are robust to the distribution shifts that arise from phenomena such as selection bias or nonstationarity. Existing algorithms for solving Wasserstein DRSL -- one of the most popular DRSL frameworks based around robustness to perturbations in the Wasserstein distance -- have serious limitations that limit their use in large-scale problems -- in particular they involve solving…
The University of Sydney（悉尼大学）；University of Wisconsin–Madison（威斯康星大学麦迪逊分校）
We study a model for adversarial classification based on distributionally robust chance constraints. We show that under Wasserstein ambiguity, the model aims to minimize the conditional value-at-risk of the distance to misclassification, and we explore links to adversarial classification models proposed earlier and to maximum-margin classifiers. We also provide a reformulation of the distributionally robust model for linear classification, and show it is equivalent to minimizing a regularized ramp loss objective. Numerical experiments show that, despite the nonconvexity of this formulation, st…
This monograph develops a comprehensive statistical learning framework that is robust to (distributional) perturbations in the data using Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) under the Wasserstein metric. Beginning with fundamental properties of the Wasserstein metric and the DRO formulation, we explore duality to arrive at tractable formulations and develop finite-sample, as well as asymptotic, performance guarantees. We consider a series of learning problems, including (i) distributionally robust linear regression; (ii) distributionally robust regression with group structure in the pre…
Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Regret Optimization for Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback
Department of Statistics and Operations Research, University of North Carolina（统计与运筹学系，北卡罗来纳大学）；Imperial Business School, Imperial College London（帝国理工学院伦敦商学院）；Department of Management Science and Engineering, Stanford University（管理科学与工程系，斯坦福大学）
FDR-SVM: A Federated Distributionally Robust Support Vector Machine via a Mixture of Wasserstein Balls Ambiguity Set
H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering（H. Milton Stewart工业与系统工程学院）；Georgia Institute of Technology（佐治亚理工学院）；Department of Electrical Engineering（电气工程系）；University of Chile（智利大学）
University of Texas at Austin（德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校）；Stanford University（斯坦福大学）
We propose a distributionally robust classification model with a fairness constraint that encourages the classifier to be fair in view of the equality of opportunity criterion. We use a type-$\infty$ Wasserstein ambiguity set centered at the empirical distribution to model distributional uncertainty and derive a conservative reformulation for the worst-case equal opportunity unfairness measure. We establish that the model is equivalent to a mixed binary optimization problem, which can be solved by standard off-the-shelf solvers. To improve scalability, we further propose a convex, hinge-loss-b…
Columbia University（哥伦比亚大学）；Northwestern University（西北大学）；Columbia Mailman School of Public Health（哥伦比亚大学梅尔曼公共卫生学院）；Hong Kong University of Science and Technology（香港科技大学）
School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology（佐治亚理工学院工业与系统工程学院）；Department of Information, Risk, and Operations Management, University of Texas at Austin（德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校信息、风险与运营管理系）
This paper presents a distributionally robust Q-Learning algorithm (DrQ) which leverages Wasserstein ambiguity sets to provide idealistic probabilistic out-of-sample safety guarantees during online learning. First, we follow past work by separating the constraint functions from the principal objective to create a hierarchy of machines which estimate the feasible state-action space within the constrained Markov decision process (CMDP). DrQ works within this framework by augmenting constraint costs with tightening offset variables obtained through Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization…
Wasserstein Distributionally Robust Estimation in High Dimensions: Performance Analysis and Optimal Hyperparameter Tuning
Automatic Control Lab, ETH Zürich, Switzerland（苏黎世联邦理工学院自动控制实验室）；Operations Research and Information Engineering, Cornell University, USA（康奈尔大学运筹学与信息工程）
We present a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) approach to estimate a robustified regression plane in a linear regression setting, when the observed samples are potentially contaminated with adversarially corrupted outliers. Our approach mitigates the impact of outliers through hedging against a family of distributions on the observed data, some of which assign very low probabilities to the outliers. The set of distributions under consideration are close to the empirical distribution in the sense of the Wasserstein metric. We show that this DRO formulation can be relaxed to a convex o…
University of Chicago（芝加哥大学）；Argonne National Laboratory（阿贡国家实验室）
We present a distributionally robust formulation of a stochastic optimization problem for non-i.i.d vector autoregressive data. We use the Wasserstein distance to define robustness in the space of distributions and we show, using duality theory, that the problem is equivalent to a finite convex-concave saddle point problem. The performance of the method is demonstrated on both synthetic and real data.
We consider data-driven approaches that integrate a machine learning prediction model within distributionally robust optimization (DRO) given limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates. Our framework is flexible in the sense that it can accommodate a variety of regression setups and DRO ambiguity sets. We investigate asymptotic and finite sample properties of solutions obtained using Wasserstein, sample robust optimization, and phi-divergence-based ambiguity sets within our DRO formulations, and explore cross-validation approaches for sizing these ambiguity sets. Through…
University of California, Santa Barbara（加州大学圣巴巴拉分校）
Building on a recent framework for distributionally robust optimization, we consider estimation of the inverse covariance matrix for multivariate data. We provide a novel notion of a Wasserstein ambiguity set specifically tailored to this estimation problem, leading to a tractable class of regularized estimators. Special cases include penalized likelihood estimators for Gaussian data, specifically the graphical lasso estimator. As a consequence of this formulation, the radius of the Wasserstein ambiguity set is directly related to the regularization parameter in the estimation problem. Using t…
